{"id":47555,"date":"2026-05-28T00:25:29","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T00:25:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5%ea%b3%bc-pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%a2%8c%ec%9a%b0%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-99%ec%84%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-05-28T00:25:29","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T00:25:29","slug":"%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5%ea%b3%bc-pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%a2%8c%ec%9a%b0%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-99%ec%84%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5%ea%b3%bc-pce-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%a2%8c%ec%9a%b0%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-99%ec%84%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uacfc PCE \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \uc88c\uc6b0\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec, 99\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uad00\ub828 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\uc744 \uac70\ub4ed\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 99.00\uc120 \uc704\uc758 \uc775\uc219\ud55c \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ub0b4\uad6c\uc7ac \uc218\uc8fc(\ud56d\uacf5\uae30\u00b7\uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \ub4f1 \uc624\ub798 \uc4f0\ub294 \uc81c\ud488 \uc8fc\ubb38), PCE(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, 1\ubd84\uae30 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP\u00b7\ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub41c \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\uc561) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc218\uc815\uce58, \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ub4dd\uacfc \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5b4 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218(\uc8fc\uac04 \uc2e4\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc640 \uc2e0\uaddc\uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4, EIA(\ubbf8 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc815\ubcf4\uccad)\uc758 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc7ac\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac\uc778 \uc70c\ub9ac\uc5c4\uc2a4\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\ub3c4 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>G10(\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc8fc\uc694 10\uac1c\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654\uad8c)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 1.1650 \ubd80\uadfc\uacfc \uc218\uc77c \ub9cc\uc758 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874(EMU\u00b7\uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub97c \uc4f0\ub294 \ub098\ub77c\ub4e4) \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218 \ucd5c\uc885\uce58, \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300, ECB(\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ud68c\uc758\ub85d \uacf5\uac1c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub808\uc778, \ub77c\uac00\ub974\ub4dc, \uce58\ud3f4\ub85c\ub124, \uc288\ub098\ubca8\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uc608\uace0\ub410\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 1.3450 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uace0, \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \ubc1c\ud45c\uc640 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE) \ube0c\ub9ac\ub4e0\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc740 159.00\ub300 \uc911\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\uc73c\uba70, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uc8fc\uac04 \ud574\uc678\ucc44\uad8c \ud22c\uc790(\ub300\uc678 \uc790\uae08 \ud750\ub984), \uc8fc\ud0dd\ucc29\uacf5, \uac74\uc124\uc218\uc8fc\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ) \uc6b0\uc5d0\ub2e4 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 0.7120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub838\uace0, \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ubbfc\uac04 \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790(\uae30\uc5c5 \ud22c\uc790)\uc640 \uac00\uacc4\uc9c0\ucd9c \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub300\uae30 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 WTI(\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud45c \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 88\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824 \uc218\uc8fc \uc800\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \uae08\uc740 \ud2b8\ub85c\uc774\uc628\uc2a4(\uadc0\uae08\uc18d \uac70\ub798\uc5d0 \uc4f0\ub294 \uc911\ub7c9 \ub2e8\uc704)\ub2f9 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(SMA\u00b7\uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uac00\uaca9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \uc774\uc740 \ucd94\uc138\uc120)\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ud575\uc2ec \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\ub300 \ubcc0\uc218\ub294 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc9c0\ucd9c\ud55c \ud56d\ubaa9\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uac15\ud558\uba74) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub354 \ub4a4\ub85c \ubc00\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\ub2e4. CME FedWatch Tool(\uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub2e8\ud589\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 50% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc9c0\uae08\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ubb34\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>G10 \uc678\ud658, \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac, \uc8fc\uc694 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c<\/h3>\n<p>\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc ECB\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \uad00\ucc30\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. ECB\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud574 \uc654\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ud070 \ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 1.2700 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\ubb3c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \ub048\uc9c8\uae34 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc 7\uc6d4 4\uc77c \ucd1d\uc120(\uc815\uad8c \uad6c\ub3c4\uac00 \ubc14\ub014 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc815\uce58 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8) \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0 \ud0d3\uc774\ub2e4. \uc815\uce58 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ud070 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc635\uc158(\ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9bc) \uae09\uc99d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8 \ud68c\ud53c)\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \uc120\uac70 \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \ud655\uc815\ub420 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc7a5\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\ub294 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc744 157.00 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uac8c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \ud658\uc728 \uae09\ub4f1\uc744 \ub9c9\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785(\uc678\ud658\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314\uc544 \ud658\uc728\uc744 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc870\uce58)\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 WTI\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 80\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7fd\uac8c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 2\uc77c \uc5f4\ub9ac\ub294 OPEC+(\uc0b0\uc720\uad6d \ud611\uc758\uccb4)\uc758 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc120\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc790\ubc1c\uc801 \uac10\uc0b0(\uc2a4\uc2a4\ub85c \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc870\uce58) \uc5f0\uc7a5 \uc5ec\ubd80\uac00 \uacb0\uc815\ub418\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc720\uac00\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc911\ub3d9 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 99\uc120 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ub4f1\ub77d, PCE\u00b7GDP\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc120 \uc9d1\uc911. \uc720\ub85c \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc5d4 \uc57d\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d, WTI 88\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ud68c\u00b7\uae08 200\uc77c\uc120 \uadfc\uc811. \uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47555","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47555","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47555"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47555\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47555"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47555"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47555"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}