{"id":47553,"date":"2026-05-27T23:55:37","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T23:55:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-ons-%ea%b3%84%ec%a0%88-%ec%9a%94%ec%9d%b8-%ec%99%9c%ea%b3%a1-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-gdp-%ed%98%b8%ec%a1%b0-%ea%b3%bc%eb%8c%80%ed%8f%89\/"},"modified":"2026-05-27T23:55:37","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T23:55:37","slug":"td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-ons-%ea%b3%84%ec%a0%88-%ec%9a%94%ec%9d%b8-%ec%99%9c%ea%b3%a1-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-gdp-%ed%98%b8%ec%a1%b0-%ea%b3%bc%eb%8c%80%ed%8f%89","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-ons-%ea%b3%84%ec%a0%88-%ec%9a%94%ec%9d%b8-%ec%99%9c%ea%b3%a1-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-gdp-%ed%98%b8%ec%a1%b0-%ea%b3%bc%eb%8c%80%ed%8f%89\/","title":{"rendered":"TD\uc99d\uad8c \u201cONS \uacc4\uc808 \uc694\uc778 \uc65c\uace1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\u2026\uc601\uad6d GDP \ud638\uc870 \uacfc\ub300\ud3c9\uac00, \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 \uc601\uad6d \ud1b5\uacc4\uccad(ONS)\uc774 \uc601\uad6d \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP)\uc758 **\uacc4\uc808\uc801(\uacc4\uc808 \uc694\uc778) \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784**\uc744 \uc798\ubabb \uce21\uc815\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc **\uc5f0\uac04 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960(1\ub144 \uc804\uccb4 \ud569\uacc4)**\uc740 \ubc14\uafb8\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \ucc44, **\uc5f0\ucd08 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 \uc2e4\uc81c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\uac8c**, **\ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uacbd\uae30\ub294 \uc2e4\uc81c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c** \ubcf4\uc774\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. TD\ub294 \uc601\uad6d\uc774 2025\ub144 \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30(2025H1)\uc5d0 \uc8fc\uc694 10\uac1c\uad6d(G10) \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uac00\uc7a5 \ube60\ub978 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30(2026Q1) \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud604\uc7ac\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc120\ub450\ub97c \ub2ec\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubd84\uae30\u00b7\uc6d4\uac04 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0\uc11c **\uc0c1\ubc18\uae30 \uae09\uc99d \ud6c4 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uc815\uccb4**\uac00 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\ub294 \ud328\ud134\uc744 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4. ONS\ub294 \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc790\uc0ac \ubc29\ubc95\ub860\uc744 \uc639\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc744 \uacf5\uac1c\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>TD\ub294 \uc0cc\ud504\ub780\uc2dc\uc2a4\ucf54 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589(San Francisco Fed\u00b7\uc0cc\ud504\ub780\uc2dc\uc2a4\ucf54 \uc5f0\uc740) \uc5f0\uad6c\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c **\u2018\uc774\uc911 \uacc4\uc808\uc870\uc815(double-seasonal adjustment)\u2019**\uc744 \uc801\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 **\uacc4\uc808\uc870\uc815(\ud1b5\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ub144 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\ub294 \uc124\u00b7\ud734\uac00\ucca0\u00b7\ud559\uae30 \ub4f1 \uacc4\uc808 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc81c\uac70\ud574 \ube44\uad50 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0 \ucc98\ub9ac)** \ub41c GDP \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud55c \ubc88 \uacc4\uc808\uc870\uc815\ud574, **\ubc18\ubcf5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub294 \uc65c\uace1**\uc744 \ucc3e\uc544\ub0b4\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. TD \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2023\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 ONS\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \uacc4\uc808\uc870\uc815 GDP\ub294 \uc774\uc911 \uacc4\uc808\uc870\uc815 \uacb0\uacfc\ubcf4\ub2e4 **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \ud06c\uace0**, 1\u00b72\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 **\uc0c1\ud5a5 \ud3b8\ud5a5**, 3\u00b74\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 **\uacfc\uc18c \ucd94\uc815**\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba74 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 0.6%(\uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44\u00b7q\/q)\ub294 \ucd5c\ub300 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(ppt) \uacfc\ub300\ud3c9\uac00\ub410\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uadf8\ub9cc\ud07c 3\u00b74\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 \uac01\uac01 \ucd5c\ub300 0.2%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ub410\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ucd94\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcf4\uace0\ub41c \uc601\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5 \uac15\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubb38\uc81c \uc81c\uae30<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc601\uad6d GDP \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc624\ud574\ub97c \ubd80\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uacf5\uc2dd \ud1b5\uacc4\uac00 \ub9e4\ub144 \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \uacfc\ub300 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \uadf8\ub7f4 \uacbd\uc6b0 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 0.6%\uac00 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \ud0c4\ub825\uc740 \uc2e4\uc81c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc601\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \uac15\uc870\ud574 \uc628 \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c\uc640 \ucda9\ub3cc\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \uc758\uad6c\uc2ec\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub41c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 2.1%\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(\ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4)\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ud68c\ud574, \uacbd\uae30\uac00 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc0c1\ud0dc(\uc218\uc694\uac00 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uad6d\uba74)\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc900\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc778 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE)\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(4%\ub300 \uc0c1\ud68c)\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, GDP\uac00 \uacfc\ub300 \uacc4\uc0c1\ub410\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uba74 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub2a6\ucd9c \uba85\ubd84\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 3\ubd84\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud604 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\uce58\uac8c \ud655\uc2e0\uc5d0 \ucc28 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 2026\ub144 \ub9d0 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 **SONIA \uc120\ubb3c(\uc601\uad6d \ubb34\ub2f4\ubcf4 \uc775\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\uc778 SONIA\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\ub85c \ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601)**\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud604 \uae08\ub9ac \uace1\uc120\uc740 \uac15\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc65c\uace1\ub410\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud070 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \uc774\ubbf8 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc744 \uc804\ub9dd\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud560 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5\uacfc \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc601\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728\uc774 1.28 \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub978 \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\ub294 \ub17c\ub780\uc758 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc2a4\ud1a0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc77c\ubd80 \ubc18\uc601\ub410\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 **GBP\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ud658\uc728\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)** \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud658\uc728\uc774 1.25 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub354 \uae34 \uc2dc\uacc4\ub85c \ubcf4\uba74, \ub3d9\uc77c\ud55c \uacc4\uc808 \uc65c\uace1\uc740 \uc5f0\uc911 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \uacfc\uc18c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \ubbf8\uad6d GDP\uc5d0\uc11c 2015\ub144 \uc804\ud6c4 \uad00\uce21\ub41c \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud1b5\uacc4\uc0c1 \uc694\uc778\ucc98\ub7fc, \uc774\ub7f0 \ubb38\uc81c\ub294 \uc218\uc815\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\ub41c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc62c\uc5ec\ub984 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 3\u00b74\ubd84\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc62c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0\ub85c \uac08\uc218\ub85d \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\ub824\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5)\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc11c\ub294 \uacc4\uae30\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc601\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5\ub960, \uacfc\ub300\ud3c9\uac00\ub41c \ucc29\uc2dc?\u201d TD\ub294 ONS \uacc4\uc808\uc870\uc815 \uc624\ub958\ub85c \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5 \uacfc\ub300\u00b7\ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uacfc\uc18c\ub97c \uc9c0\uc801. BoE \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\u00b7SONIA\u00b7\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uac15\uc138 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00, GBP\/USD \ud558\ubc29 \ubca0\ud305 \uac80\ud1a0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47553","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47553","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47553"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47553\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47553"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47553"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47553"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}