{"id":47547,"date":"2026-05-27T21:58:18","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T21:58:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b4%80%eb%a0%a8-%ec%a3%bc%ec%9e%a5-%eb%b6%80%ec%9d%b8%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88-3%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ec%b5%9c%ec%a0%80%eb%af%b8-pce-%ec%95%9e\/"},"modified":"2026-05-27T21:58:18","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T21:58:18","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b4%80%eb%a0%a8-%ec%a3%bc%ec%9e%a5-%eb%b6%80%ec%9d%b8%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88-3%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ec%b5%9c%ec%a0%80%eb%af%b8-pce-%ec%95%9e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b4%80%eb%a0%a8-%ec%a3%bc%ec%9e%a5-%eb%b6%80%ec%9d%b8%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88-3%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94%eb%9e%98-%ec%b5%9c%ec%a0%80%eb%af%b8-pce-%ec%95%9e\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uad00\ub828 \uc8fc\uc7a5 \ubd80\uc778\uc5d0 \uae08 3\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \ucd5c\uc800\u2026\ubbf8 PCE \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uc73c\uba70 XAU\/USD(\uae08 \ud604\ubb3c\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec)\uac00 \uc7a5\uc911 \uc800\uc810 \uc57d 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4 4,440\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 3\uc6d4 30\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \uad6d\uc601TV\ub294 \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uacfc \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc774 \ube44\uacf5\uc2dd \uc591\ud574\uac01\uc11c(MOU\u00b7\ub2f9\uc0ac\uc790 \uac04 \uae30\ubcf8 \ud569\uc758 \ubb38\uc11c) \ucd08\uc548\uc744 \ub9c8\ub828\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubbf8\uad70\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0\uc11c \ucca0\uc218\ud558\uace0 \ud574\uc0c1 \ubd09\uc1c4\ub97c \ud574\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ud55c \ub2ec \ub0b4\ub85c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc0c1\uc5c5 \uc6b4\ud56d\uc744 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf5\uc6d0\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud574\ub2f9 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub97c \u201c\uc644\uc804\ud55c \uc870\uc791\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc77c\ucd95\ud588\uace0, \uc774 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \ub3c4\uc654\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 \uac01\ub8cc\ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc5ec\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \uc911 99.00 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uc7a0\uc2dc \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4\uac00 99.20 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub41c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd(\uae08\ub9ac \uace0\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \uc778\ud558 \uc9c0\uc5f0)\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc120\uc744 \ubb36\uc5b4\ub450\uba74\uc11c \uae08 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub294 \ucde8\uc57d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5\uacfc \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uacb9\ucce4\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d PCE(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uc18c\ube44 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ubc1c\ud45c\uc640 \ucd94\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c XAU\/USD\ub294 \ud558\ub2e8 \ubcfc\ub9b0\uc800 \ubc34\ub4dc(\uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc0c1\u00b7\ud558\ub2e8 \ub760\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc778 4,422\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, 20\uae30\uac04 \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA\u00b7\uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9)\uc778 4,594\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c9\ud614\ub2e4. RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uacfc\ub9e4\uc218\/\uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc815\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 37 \ubd80\uadfc, ADX(\ucd94\uc138 \uac15\ub3c4 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 22 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 4,594\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ub2e4\uc74c\uc740 4,767\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uace0, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 4,422\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc774\uc5b4 4,350\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 4,100\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Headline Risk and Volatility Strategies Dominate Near-Term Outlook<\/h3>\n<p>\uae08\uc774 \ubbf8-\uc774\ub780 \uc0c1\ud669 \uad00\ub828 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc18d\ubcf4\uc5d0 \uc989\uac01 \ubc18\uc751\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \uc88c\uc6b0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub294 \u2018\ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\u2019(\ub274\uc2a4 \ud55c \uc904\uc5d0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8)\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6cc, \ucd08\ub2e8\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubca0\ud305(\uc624\ub97c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub9b4\uc9c0 \ud55c\ucabd\uc5d0 \uac78\uae30)\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uc804\uc81c\ub85c \ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9 \ucd9c\ub801\uc784) \uc790\uccb4\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Inflation, Fed Policy, and Tactical Options Approaches<\/h3>\n<p>\ub354 \ud070 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubd80\ucd94\uae30\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc PCE \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)\uc774 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.8%\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \u2018\ub048\uc801\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\u2019\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc11c\ub458\ub7ec \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Fed Funds Rate\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc778 5.50%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \uc774\uc790\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08\uc758 \ubcf4\uc720 \ube44\uc6a9(\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ud68c\ube44\uc6a9)\uc740 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed Funds futures\u00b7\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc0c1\ud488) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 20% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138(\uae30\ucd08 \uc5ec\uac74) \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\uac12\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uae08\uc774 4,422\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uacbd\uc6b0\ub97c \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0, \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ud558\ubc29 \ub178\ucd9c\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc740 4,350\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bear put spread\u00b7\ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \uc804\ub7b5)\ub85c \ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ub3cc\ubc1c\uc801\uc778 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758\ub294 \uae09\ub4f1\uc744 \ubd80\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \u2018\uc591\uc790\ud0dd\uc77c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\u2019(\uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \ub458 \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub85c \uac08\ub9ac\uba70 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc704\ud5d8)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574, \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle\u00b7\uc0c1\ud558 \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc774\uc288\uac00 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \uc815\ub9ac\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc740 2022\ub144 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uc804\uc7c1 \ucd08\uae30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uacf5\ud3ec\ub85c \uae08\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \ub4a4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub418\ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. \ud3c9\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uae08 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \ub098\uc624\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uae30\uc870)\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc5ed\ud48d\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub52a\ud790 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ub274\uc2a4 \ud55c \uc904\uc5d0 \ucd9c\ub801\u201d \uae08\uac12, 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc800\uc810 \ud6c4 4,440\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub300\u2026\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 MOU \ud574\ud504\ub2dd\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1, \ub048\uc801\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825 \uc9c0\uc18d. PCE \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47547","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47547","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47547"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47547\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47547"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47547"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47547"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}