{"id":47538,"date":"2026-05-27T17:32:32","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T17:32:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/adp-4%ec%a3%bc-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0%ec%b9%98-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ed%99%95%ec%82%b0%c2%b7%eb%b3%80\/"},"modified":"2026-05-27T17:32:32","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T17:32:32","slug":"adp-4%ec%a3%bc-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0%ec%b9%98-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ed%99%95%ec%82%b0%c2%b7%eb%b3%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/adp-4%ec%a3%bc-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0%ec%b9%98-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ed%99%95%ec%82%b0%c2%b7%eb%b3%80\/","title":{"rendered":"ADP 4\uc8fc \uace0\uc6a9 \ud3c9\uade0\uce58 \ud558\ub77d\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud655\uc0b0\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694 \uc99d\uac00"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d ADP \uace0\uc6a9\ubcc0\ud654(\ubbfc\uac04 \ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac10) 4\uc8fc \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc740 5\uc6d4 2\uc77c \uae30\uc900 3\ub9cc5,750\uba85\uc73c\ub85c, \uc9c1\uc804 4\ub9cc2,250\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 4\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ubbfc\uac04 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub410\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc808\ub300 \uac10\uc18c\ud3ed\uc740 6,500\uba85\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud3c9\uade0\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4(\uc99d\uac00)\uc5ec\uc11c, ADP \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ub298\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub454\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ubc88 ADP \uace0\uc6a9 \ud3c9\uade0 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc2dd\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc774\ub978 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0\uc774 4\ub9cc2,250\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 3\ub9cc5,750\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac04 \uac83\uc740 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4, \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \ucc44\uc6a9(\uc0ac\ub78c\uc744 \ubf51\ub294 \uc18d\ub3c4) \ud798\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5ec\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \uac08\uc218\ub85d \uacbd\uae30 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub7f0 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uacf5\uc2dd \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub3c4 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub41c\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(Non-Farm Payrolls\u00b7\ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc804\uccb4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218 \uc99d\uac10)\uc740 8\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\uccd0, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(\ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\u00b7\uc5ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0) 15\ub9cc \uba85\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 5\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7\uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00(\ucf54\uc5b4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)\uac00 3.1%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud574 1\ub144\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub290\ub9b0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\ub3c4 \ub204\uadf8\ub7ec\uc9c0\ub294 \uc870\ud569\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \ub354 \uc2e0\uc911\ud574\uc9c8(\uae34\ucd95\uc744 \uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744) \uadfc\uac70\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5\uacfc \ub300\uc751 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ub7f0 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(CME FedWatch\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 65%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\ub294\ub370, \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804 30%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(SOFR\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubb34\ub2f4\ubcf4 \uc775\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\ud45c \uae30\ubc18 \uc120\ubb3c)\uacfc \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed Funds futures\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)\ub85c \uc811\uadfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 ADP 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0 \uace0\uc6a9\uc99d\uac00 4.2\ub9cc\u21923.575\ub9cc, 6,500\uba85 \ub454\ud654. NFP\u00b7\uadfc\uc6d0 CPI \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub824 \u2018\uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\ud558\u2019 \ubb34\uac8c\u2191. 9\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558\ud655\ub960 65%. SOFR\u00b7Fed Funds \uc120\ubb3c \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47538","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47538","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47538"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47538\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47538"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47538"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47538"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}