{"id":47536,"date":"2026-05-27T17:17:53","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T17:17:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/adp-4%ec%a3%bc-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ed%99%95%ec%82%b0%c2%b7\/"},"modified":"2026-05-27T17:17:53","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T17:17:53","slug":"adp-4%ec%a3%bc-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ed%99%95%ec%82%b0%c2%b7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/adp-4%ec%a3%bc-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ed%99%95%ec%82%b0%c2%b7\/","title":{"rendered":"ADP 4\uc8fc \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00 \ud3c9\uade0 \ub454\ud654\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud655\uc0b0\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694 \uc99d\uac00"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d ADP \uace0\uc6a9\ubcc0\ud654(\ubbfc\uac04 \ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0\uc740 5\uc6d4 2\uc77c \uae30\uc900 3\ub9cc5,750\uba85\uc73c\ub85c, \uc774\uc804 4\ub9cc2,250\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 4\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ubbfc\uac04 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc808\ub300 \uac10\uc18c\ud3ed\uc740 6,500\uba85\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud3c9\uade0\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4(+)\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub3fc, ADP \uc9d1\uacc4 \uae30\uc900 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 \uacc4\uc18d \ub298\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub454\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 ADP \uace0\uc6a9 \ud3c9\uade0 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc2dd\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc774\ub978 \uacbd\uace0\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0\uc774 4\ub9cc2,250\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 3\ub9cc5,750\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac04 \uac83\uc740 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4, \uc2e0\uaddc \ucc44\uc6a9(\uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9 \ud655\ub300) \ud798\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5ec\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \uac08\uc218\ub85d \uacbd\uae30 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \ud574\uc11d\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uacf5\uc2dd \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub41c\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP\u00b7\ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc804\uccb4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c)\uc740 8\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\uccd0, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1(\ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\u00b7\ub2e4\uc218 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 \ud3c9\uade0) 15\ub9cc \uba85\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \ub610 5\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7\uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ub960) \uc911 \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00(\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)\ub294 3.1%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc838, 1\ub144\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub290\ub9b0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825 \uc644\ud654\uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74\uc11c, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \ub354 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ud0dd\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5\uacfc \ub300\uc751<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\ubcc4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\/\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud574 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 65%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804 30%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc62c\ub77c\uac04 \uc218\uce58\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(SOFR\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub2f4\ubcf4\ubd80 \ucd08\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac, \uc774\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\ub85c \ud55c \uc120\ubb3c)\uacfc \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed Funds futures\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc9c0\uc218\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc9c0\uc218\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1) \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uc8fc\uac00\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4(\uc57d\uc138 \uc694\uc778)\uc778 \ubc18\uba74, \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558)\ub294 \uc8fc\uac00\uc5d0 \ud638\uc7ac(\uac15\uc138 \uc694\uc778)\uc5ec\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \uc7a1\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 S&#038;P500 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option\u00b7\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uac70\ub098, VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option\u00b7\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac, VIX\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305) \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uad73\uc5b4\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc57d\uc138 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc644\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uccab \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc804 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uc9c0\uc218)\uac00 \ud3c9\uade0 2~3% \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ud1b5\ud654\uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158(\ud658\uc728 \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uc635\uc158) \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc720\ub85c\uc640 \uc5d4 \uad00\ub828 \uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654, \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \u2018\uce74\uc6b4\ud2b8\ub2e4\uc6b4\u2019\uc778\uac00. ADP 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0 3\ub9cc5,750\uba85\uc73c\ub85c 6,500\uba85 \uac10\uc18c, NFP\u00b7\uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\ub3c4 \ub0c9\uac01. 9\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 65%\u2026 SOFR\u00b7\ud48b\u00b7VIX\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47536","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47536","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47536"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47536\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47536"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47536"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47536"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}