{"id":47533,"date":"2026-05-27T17:07:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T17:07:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-ecb%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ea%b0%80-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%a5%bc-%ec%83%81%ec%87%84%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-1-1640-%eb%b6%80\/"},"modified":"2026-05-27T17:07:25","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T17:07:25","slug":"%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-ecb%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ea%b0%80-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%a5%bc-%ec%83%81%ec%87%84%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-1-1640-%eb%b6%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-ecb%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ea%b0%80-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%a5%bc-%ec%83%81%ec%87%84%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-1-1640-%eb%b6%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc720\ub85c\ud654, ECB\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uba70 1.1640 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569\u2026\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 1.1640\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc8fc\uac04 \uace0\uc810 \uad6c\uac04\uc778 1.1650\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB) \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 **\ud1b5\ud654\uae34\ucd95(\ub9e4\ud30c\u00b7hawkish: \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \uc131\ud5a5)** \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\ub97c \ub0b4\ub193\uc73c\uba74\uc11c \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825\uc774 \ubd99\uc5c8\ub2e4. ECB \uc774\uc0ac\uc778 \uc774\uc790\ubca8 \uc288\ub098\ubca8\uc740 **\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae09\ub4f1\uc744 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ud604\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub118\uae30\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4**\uace0 \ud588\uace0, 6\uc6d4 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc870\uc815(\uc778\uc0c1) \ud544\uc694\uc131**\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ud544\ub9bd \ub808\uc778 ECB \uc218\uc11d\uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub294 \ub2c8\ud63c\uac8c\uc774\uc790\uc774\uc2e0\ubb38\uacfc\uc758 \uc778\ud130\ubdf0\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 **\uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4(\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uc2e0\ud638)**\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub3c4 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ucc28\ubd84\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uac08\ub4f1\uc758 **\ud611\uc0c1 \ud0c0\uacb0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131**\uc744 \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uace0\uc810 \ub300\ube44 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub410\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub85c\ub9ac \ub85c\uac74 \ub308\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc5f0\uc740 \ucd1d\uc7ac\uac00 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc815\ucc45 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\uac00 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(hike)**\uc77c \uc218\ub3c4, **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(cut)**\uc77c \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud574 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub480\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uacf5\uac1c\ub420 **\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c EUR\/USD\ub294 1.1638\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \ucd5c\uadfc 10\uac70\ub798\uc77c \ub3d9\uc548 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 **\ud6a1\ubcf4 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uad6c\uac04)** \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uace0, \ud558\ub2e8\uc740 1.1550~1.1560 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. 4\uc2dc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 **RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218: \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d\uc758 \ud798\uc744 0~100\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\ub294 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uac15\uc138 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ucf30\uace0, **MACD(\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc218\ub834\u00b7\ud655\uc0b0: \ub2e8\u00b7\uc7a5\uae30 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub85c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\ub3c4 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. 1.1660\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba74 1.1720, \uc774\ud6c4 1.1790\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 1.1615\uc640 1.1575\uc774\uba70, \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \ubb34\ub108\uc9c0\uba74 1.1505~1.1525\uac00 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc815\ucc45 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \uae30\ucd08 \uc5ec\uac74<\/h3>\n

ECB\uac00 6\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub0b4\ube44\uce58\uba74\uc11c, \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900)\uc640\uc758 **\uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ucc28\uc774(\uc815\ucc45 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc)**\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \uac15\uc138\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc EUR\/USD\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uc870\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud750\ub984\ub3c4 \ud655\uc778\ub41c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c **\uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00(core inflation\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)**\uac00 2.7%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub3c4 2.7% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\ucd08 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc624\ub97c \uacf5\uac04\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \uc2e3\ub294\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc804\ub7b5\u00b7\uc704\ud5d8 \uc694\uc778, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc720\uac00 \ud658\uacbd<\/h3>\n

1.1660 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 **EUR\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)** \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub77c\uc774\ud06c) 1.1700 \ubd80\uadfc, 6\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 1.1720 \ub610\ub294 1.1790\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \ub178\ucd9c\ub418\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 **\uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uacc4\uc57d \uac00\uaca9)**\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc704\ud5d8\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d PCE \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud574 **\ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread\u00b7\ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud558\ub098 \uc0ac\uace0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud558\ub098 \ud30c\ub294 \uc870\ud569)**\ub97c \uc4f0\uba74 \ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc190\uc775\ubd84\uae30\uc810\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd9c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub610\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uac04 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc720\uac00\ub97c \ub0ae\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \ubc30\uacbd\uc774\ub2e4. 2022\ub144\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub410\ub358 \uc804\ub840\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ub35c\uace0 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc7ac\ub8cc\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ECB \ub9e4\ud30c \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec 1.1640\uc120 \uc9c0\uc9c0, 1.1660 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc2dc 1.1720\u00b71.1790 \uc5f4\ub824. \u7f8e PCE \ubcc0\uc218\uc640 \uc720\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc81c\ud55c, \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47533","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47533","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47533"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47533\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47533"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47533"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47533"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}