{"id":47510,"date":"2026-05-27T13:42:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T13:42:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/rba-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94%c2%b7%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ed%95%9c-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b3%bc%ec%9d%98\/"},"modified":"2026-05-27T13:42:00","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T13:42:00","slug":"rba-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94%c2%b7%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ed%95%9c-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b3%bc%ec%9d%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/rba-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%95%bd%ed%99%94%c2%b7%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ed%95%9c-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%c2%b7%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b3%bc%ec%9d%98\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \uc57d\ud654\u00b7\ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900\uacfc\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\uc5d0 AUD\/USD \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 0.7180 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 **\uacf5\uae09 \uad6c\uac04(\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc774 \ub9ce\uc774 \uc313\uc5ec \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub9c9\ud788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)**\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c9\ud78c \ub4a4 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc11c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \uc911 0.7135 \uc548\ud30e\uc758 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc800\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\uac04 \uc57d\uc138\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ubcc4\ub2e4\ub978 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. **\uc6d0\uc720(\ud06c\ub8e8\ub4dc \uc624\uc77c)**\ub294 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uc678\uad50 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \uc9c4\uc804\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uba70 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, **\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uc6b0\ub824**\uac00 \ub2e4\uc18c \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc6d0\uc720 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 **\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac(\ubbf8\uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960)**\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9ac\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, **\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)**\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 **\uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub354 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \uac83)** \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc2dd\uc73c\uba74\uc11c AUD\/USD\ub294 \ubc18\ub4f1 \ub3d9\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc \ud1b5\uacc4\uccad\uc740 4\uc6d4 **\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)** \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.2%\ub85c 3\uc6d4(4.6%)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 **\uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960(\uc77c\ud560 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \ubabb \uad6c\ud55c \ube44\uc728)**\uc740 4.5%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\uc744 \uae68\uace0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \uace0\uc6a9\ub3c4 \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 6\uc6d4 RBA \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 10%\ub85c \ub0ae\uac8c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0 \ub610\ub294 \uc5f0\ub0b4 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 **0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(25bp\u00b7\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ub2e8\uc704)** \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc740 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uacfc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2f8\uace0 \uac08\ub4f1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\uc774\ub780 \uacf5\uaca9 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub85c 3\uac1c\uc6d4\uc9f8 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \ub05d\ub0a0 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub3c4 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ucd5c\uc18c \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 0.7100 \uc544\ub798 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uba70 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Policy Divergence and Weak Australian Data<\/h3>\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 0.7180 \ubd80\uadfc \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc744 \uc9c0\ud0a4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \ub4a4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, **\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)**\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \uac15\uacbd\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc778\uc2dd\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 AUD\/USD\uac00 \ub354 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c\ub97c \ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>RBA\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc CPI\uac00 4.2%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud588\uace0 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\ub3c4 4.5%\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 4\uc6d4 **\uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4(\uc18c\ube44 \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\uac00 0.5% \uac10\uc18c\ud574 \ud638\uc8fc \uacbd\uae30\uac00 \uc2dd\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud560 \uc720\uc778\uc774 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud1b5\ud654\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Bearish Outlook and Strategic Positioning<\/h3>\n<p>\ubc18\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc744 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c **\uadfc\uc6d0 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(Core PCE\u00b7\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc911\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.9%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba70 \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \ucda9\ubd84\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2026\ub144 \uc911 \ucd5c\uc18c \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 25bp \uc778\uc0c1 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ub0a8\uae34\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ucd5c\uc2e0 **COT \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(Commitment of Traders\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\uc758 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc9d1\uacc4\ud55c \ubbf8 CFTC \uc790\ub8cc)**\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \ud070\uc190 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 **\uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uacc4\uc57d\uc774 \ub9e4\uc218 \uacc4\uc57d\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc)**\uc744 50\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub298\ub9b0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 2026\ub144 7\uc6d4\uacfc 8\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 **\ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)** \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubaa9\ud45c **\ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\ud560 \uac00\uaca9)**\ub294 0.7100 \ubd80\uadfc\uacfc \uadf8 \uc544\ub798\ub85c, \uc6d4\uac04 \uc800\uc810 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\ub97c \uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>0.7180 \uacf5\uae09\uad6c\uac04 \ub9c9\ud78c AUD\/USD, 0.7135 \uc8fc\uac04\uc800\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4. \ud638\uc8fc CPI \ub454\ud654\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 RBA \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300 \uaebe\uc600\ub2e4. Fed \uac15\uacbd \uc778\uc2dd\u00b7\uc6d0\uc720 \ud558\ub77d \uc5ec\ud30c \uc18d 0.7100 \ud558\ud5a5 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\uc0b0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47510","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47510","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47510"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47510\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47510"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47510"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47510"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}