{"id":47455,"date":"2026-05-26T22:48:08","date_gmt":"2026-05-26T22:48:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-05-26T22:48:08","modified_gmt":"2026-05-26T22:48:08","slug":"%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026\uc720\ub85c \ud558\ub77d, ECB \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\ub860\uc740 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ucda9\ub3cc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc778\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uad50\uc804\uc744 \ubc8c\uc778 \ub4a4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub300\ud654\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ubd81\ubbf8\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\ub294 1.1622\ub85c 0.15% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(\uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 0.21% \uc624\ub978 99.21\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \uc92c\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\ub294 \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4. WTI(\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud45c \uc6d0\uc720 \uae30\uc900)\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 94.34\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c 2.75% \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ub2e4\uc18c \ub204\uadf8\ub7ec\uc9c4 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d 2\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc57d 4bp(bp=0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 4.074%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 \ucf58\ud37c\ub7f0\uc2a4\ubcf4\ub4dc(\ubbf8\uad6d \ubbfc\uac04\uc870\uc0ac\uae30\uad00)\uc758 5\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 93.1\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ube14\ub8f8\ubc84\uadf8 \uc124\ubb38 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 92\ub294 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc ECB(\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0 1\uba85\uc740 6\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\uace0, \ub85c\uc774\ud130 \uc124\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8 \ube44\uc911\uc740 85%\uc600\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874(\uc720\ub85c\ud654 \uc0ac\uc6a9 20\uac1c\uad6d) \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\ub3c4 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960(\uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44)\uc740 0.8%\ub85c, \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 4\ubd84\uae30 1.3%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 EUR\/USD\uac00 1.1618\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ub410\uace0, 50\u00b7100\u00b7200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA, \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc774 \ubaa8\uc778 1.1659 \ubd80\uadfc \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 1.1576, \ub354 \uc544\ub798\ub85c\ub294 1.1265 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4. RSI(14\u00b7\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218, \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d\uc758 \ud798\uc744 0~100\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4 \uacfc\uc5f4\u00b7\uce68\uccb4\ub97c \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 43 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300<\/h3>\n<p>\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uad50\uc804\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \u2018\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud68c\ud53c)\u2019 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c, EUR\/USD\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc815\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9bc)\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4\uac00 99.00 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc7a0\uc2dc \ub20c\ub7ec\ub193\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uacbd\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ub450\ub824\uc6c0\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\ub9e4\uc218 \uc911\uc2ec\uc758 \ud22c\uc790 \ubc29\ud5a5)\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218\ubc16\uc5d0 \uc5c6\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacfc\uac70 \uc911\ub3d9\ubc1c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ucda9\uaca9\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6cc\uc654\ub2e4. EVZ(CBOE \uc720\ub85c \ud1b5\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218, \uc720\ub85c \uad00\ub828 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ucda9\ub3cc \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub450 \uc790\ub9bf\uc218(%) \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub41c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c EUR\/USD\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle, \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc11c \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \uac19\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud070 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub9de\ud788\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784 \uc790\uccb4\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>ECB \uc815\ucc45, \uacbd\uae30 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654, \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>ECB\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0b4\uba70 \ubcc0\uc218\ub97c \ub354\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 0.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub3fc \uc815\ucc45 \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 ECB\uac00 \uacbd\uae30 \uce68\uccb4(\uacbd\uae30 \ud6c4\ud1f4) \uc704\ud5d8 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc6b0\ub824\ud558\uba70, \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ubc18\ub4f1 \ud3ed\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud658\uacbd\uc758 \ub300\ube44\ub3c4 \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218, 50\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\u00b7\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\ub974\ub294 \uc124\ubb38\uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 49.5\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00 \uc704\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ube80 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc911\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 3.5%\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uacbd\uae30 \uc57d\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 1.1659 \ubd80\uadfc\uc740 EUR\/USD\uc758 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc800\ud56d\uc120(\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc218\uc900 \uc774\uc0c1\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub85c \ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc77c\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc9c0\ub294 \uac70\ub798)\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc774 \ub9c9\ud790 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc0c1\ub3c4 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4. 1.1576 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc744 \ub6ab\uace0 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud655\uc2e4\ud574\uc9c0\uba74 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc77c\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \ub354 \uae4a\uc740 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubd84\uc7c1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 94\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac04 \uc810\uc740, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc218\uc694 \uc704\ucd95(\uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uc744 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \uac71\uc815\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc57d\ud654, \uc720\ub7fd \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc640\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubc30\uacbd\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac19\uc740 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ubcf4\uc720 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uad50\uc804\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub300\ud654 \uc9c0\uc18d \uc18d \u2018\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc624\ud504\u2019\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc790\uadf9, EUR\/USD 1.1622 \ud558\ub77d. \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\u00b7\ubbf8 2\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\u2193. ECB \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \ubd80\ub2f4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47455","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47455","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47455"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47455\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47455"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47455"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47455"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}