{"id":47440,"date":"2026-05-26T18:50:35","date_gmt":"2026-05-26T18:50:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%98%bc%ec%a1%b0pce-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a0%84\/"},"modified":"2026-05-26T18:50:35","modified_gmt":"2026-05-26T18:50:35","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%98%bc%ec%a1%b0pce-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a0%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%98%bc%ec%a1%b0pce-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a0%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud63c\uc870\u2026PCE \ubc1c\ud45c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc804\ub9dd \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uace0 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc624\ub974\uba74\uc11c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900) \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc774 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub099\uad00\ub860\uc774 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694(\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc790\uae08)\ub97c \ub204\ub974\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\ub97c \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ub7f0 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \uaebe\uc774\uba74 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uace7 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 PCE(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc815\ucc45\ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\u2019(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778) \ucabd \ud574\uc11d\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574 \uc904\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218), PPI(\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218), \uc218\uc785\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c 4\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub294 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ub370\uc11c \uc2dc\uc791\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub0b4 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2\ub144\ubb3c \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0c8 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \ucc0d\uc73c\uba70 \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c \uad6c\uac04(\ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uc9e7\uc740 \uad6d\ucc44)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6e0\uace0, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub97c \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 OIS(\uc775\uc77c\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\uc651\u00b7\uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651)\uc5d0\uc11c 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc FOMC(\uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \uae30\uad6c) \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc804\uba74\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ub048\uc9c8\uae34 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\ub2e4\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc810\uc810 \ub354 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825\uc744 \uc5bb\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucf54\uc5b4 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ube80 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00)\uac00 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 3.1%\ub85c \ub098\uc624\uba70, \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c(2%)\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ub354 \uc644\ud654\uc801\uc778(\u2018\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\u2019) \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc744 \uac00\uc9c4 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\ud574\uc9c0\uae30 \uc27d\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc624\ub974\uba74\uc11c 2\ub144\ubb3c \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 4.85%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c, \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uad6d\ucc44 ETF(\uc0c1\uc7a5\uc9c0\uc218\ud380\ub4dc)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub974\uba74 \ucc44\uad8c \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ubcf4\ud1b5 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed funds futures\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)\uc740 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 60% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ud68c\uc640 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8<\/h3>\n<p>\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc2e0\uc911\ud574 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud2b9\ud788 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc11c \ud070 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc744 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0 \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ud65c\uc6a9\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud3c9\ud654\ud611\uc0c1 \uad00\ub828 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub274\uc2a4\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub204\ub974\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ub7f0 \ub099\uad00\ub860\uc740 \uc27d\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud611\uc0c1\uc774 \ud2c0\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638(\uc704\ud5d8 \ud68c\ud53c)\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uc640 \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc624\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc218 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uad00\ub828 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8 \ud68c\ud53c) \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\u00b7\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \u2018\uc5f0\uc900 \uc7ac\uae34\ucd95\u2019 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\uc0b0. \uc911\ub3d9 \ub099\uad00\ub860\uc774 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694 \ub20c\ub800\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1 \uac00\ub2a5. PCE\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47440","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\u00b7\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \u2018\uc5f0\uc900 \uc7ac\uae34\ucd95\u2019 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\uc0b0. \uc911\ub3d9 \ub099\uad00\ub860\uc774 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694 \ub20c\ub800\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1 \uac00\ub2a5. PCE\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uc8fc\ubaa9.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%98%bc%ec%a1%b0pce-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%a0%84\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.1.1\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud63c\uc870\u2026PCE \ubc1c\ud45c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc804\ub9dd \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\u00b7\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \u2018\uc5f0\uc900 \uc7ac\uae34\ucd95\u2019 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\uc0b0. \uc911\ub3d9 \ub099\uad00\ub860\uc774 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694 \ub20c\ub800\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1 \uac00\ub2a5. 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