{"id":47427,"date":"2026-05-26T15:18:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-26T15:18:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%9e%90%ea%b8%88-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%b9%b4%ed%83%80%eb%a5%b4-%ec%a4%91%ec%9e%ac-%ec%86%8d-%eb%a7%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%89-%eb%82%9c%ea%b4%80%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-05-26T15:18:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-26T15:18:03","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%9e%90%ea%b8%88-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%b9%b4%ed%83%80%eb%a5%b4-%ec%a4%91%ec%9e%ac-%ec%86%8d-%eb%a7%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%89-%eb%82%9c%ea%b4%80%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%9e%90%ea%b8%88-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%b9%b4%ed%83%80%eb%a5%b4-%ec%a4%91%ec%9e%ac-%ec%86%8d-%eb%a7%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%89-%eb%82%9c%ea%b4%80%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780 \uc790\uae08 \ubd84\uc7c1, \uce74\ud0c0\ub974 \uc911\uc7ac \uc18d \u2018\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \ub09c\uad00\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\u2026\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4, \uc720\uac00\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uac70\ub798 \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc774\ub780 \ud30c\ub974\uc2a4(Fars) \ud1b5\uc2e0\uc740 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc790\uae08(frozen funds\u00b7\uc81c\uc7ac \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc678\uc5d0 \ubb36\uc5ec \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \uc790\uae08) \ud574\uc81c\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0a8\uc740 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \ubbf8\ud574\uacb0 \uc7c1\uc810\uc774\uba70, \uce74\ud0c0\ub974 \uc911\uc7ac\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc0ac\uc548\uc774 \uc815\ub9ac\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uacfc \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc758 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc784\ubc15\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \uc774 \uc8fc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacf5\uc2dd \ud655\uc778\uc740 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubcc4\ub3c4 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354\uadf8 \ubc84\uac80 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub0b4\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\uc740 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc774\ub780 \uad00\ub828 \ud569\uc758\ub97c \uc774\ub04c\uc5b4\ub0bc \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD), \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0(risk assets\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd \ub4f1 \uacbd\uae30 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc790\uc0b0), \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\uc774\uc5c8\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 \ubcf4\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc810 \uc57d 99.00 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \u2018\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\u2019 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub97c \uc911\uc694\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc544\uc9c1 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucd09\ub9e4\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uac70\uc758 \ubc18\uc751\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc740 \uc548\uc77c\ud568\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\ub294 \uac70\ub798\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacf5\uc2dd \ud655\uc778\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc139\ud130\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58)\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544 \uc2e0\uaddc \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc9c4\uc785\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud569\uc758\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5\uc740 \uc774\ub780\uc0b0 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc7ac\uc720\uc785\ub418\uba70 \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc5c5\uacc4 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub4e4\uc740 \uc81c\uc7ac\uac00 \ud574\uc81c\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc774\ub780\uc774 \uba87 \ub2ec \uc548\uc5d0 \ud558\ub8e8 \ucd5c\uc18c 100\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4(bpd\u00b7barrels per day, \uc77c\uc77c \uc0dd\uc0b0\/\uc218\ucd9c\ub7c9 \ub2e8\uc704) \uc774\uc0c1 \uc218\ucd9c\uc744 \ub298\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ucd94\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 3~4\ubd84\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8(Brent\u00b7\ubd81\ud574\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720\ub85c \uad6d\uc81c \uc720\uac00 \ubca4\uce58\ub9c8\ud06c) \ubc0f WTI(West Texas Intermediate\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720 \ubca4\uce58\ub9c8\ud06c) \uc120\ubb3c\uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(out-of-the-money put\u00b7\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305 \uc635\uc158) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2015\ub144 \ud575\ud569\uc758 \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c\ub294 \uacf5\uae09 \uc99d\uac00 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc120\ubc18\uc601\ub418\uba70 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \ud569\uc758 \ud0c0\uacb0\uc744 \uc804\ud6c4\ud55c \uba87 \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 65\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c 50\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacf5\uc2dd \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\uc774\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \uc18c\ubb38\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc139\ud130 \uc601\ud5a5\uacfc \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74 \uc790\uc0b0 \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \ubd99\uc5b4 \uc788\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(geopolitical risk premium\u00b7\ubd84\uc7c1 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc5b9\ud788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. VIX \uc9c0\uc218(VIX\u00b7S&#038;P500 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019, \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c4)\ub294 18 \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc678\uad50\uc801 \uc9c4\uc804\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 14~15 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d4\ubb3c VIX \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(front-month VIX call spread\u00b7\uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub85c \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\uac70\ub098 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548 \uc644\ud654\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u2018\ubbf8-\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \uc784\ubc15\u2019\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubcf4\ud569\u2026\ub3d9\uacb0\uc790\uae08 \ud574\uc81c\uac00 \ub9c9\ud310 \uc7c1\uc810, \uce74\ud0c0\ub974 \uc911\uc7ac\uc124. \uacf5\uc2dd \ud655\uc778\uc740 \uc544\uc9c1. \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc800\ud3c9\uac00 \uc18d \uc774\ub780 \uacf5\uae09 \uc7ac\uc720\uc785 \ub300\ube44 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47427","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta 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