{"id":47417,"date":"2026-05-26T12:48:04","date_gmt":"2026-05-26T12:48:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4580%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%84%eb%9e%98%ec%84%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-05-26T12:48:04","modified_gmt":"2026-05-26T12:48:04","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4580%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%84%eb%9e%98%ec%84%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%eb%b2%a0%ed%8c%85%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-4580%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%84%eb%9e%98%ec%84%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubca0\ud305\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 4,580\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc11c \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08(XAU\/USD)\uc740 \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \uc77c\uc911 \uc800\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc720\uc785\ub418\uba74\uc11c 4,580\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc744 \ub610\ub2e4\uc2dc \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub450\uace0 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub3fc \u2018\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\u2019(\uc704\uae30 \ub54c \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc548\uc804\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5ec\uaca8\uc9c0\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc6d0\uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \u2018\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\u2019(\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac71\uc815)\uac00 \ub418\uc0b4\uc544\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc870\ud569\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\u2019(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub4f1 \uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638) \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud574, \uc774\uc790\ub97c \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uae08(\ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0)\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. CME \uadf8\ub8f9\uc758 FedWatch \ud234(\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ucc28\ub840 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\ubd80\uc0ac\ub839\ubd80(CENTCOM)\ub97c \uc778\uc6a9\ud55c \ubcf4\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ubbf8\uad70\uc740 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc774\ub780 \ub0a8\ubd80\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uc790\uc704 \ubaa9\uc801\u2019\uc758 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc2e4\uc2dc\ud574 \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c \ubc1c\uc0ac \uac70\uc810\uacfc \uae30\ub8b0 \uc124\uce58\ub97c \uc2dc\ub3c4\ud558\ub358 \uc120\ubc15\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uacfc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uac08\ub4f1\uc774 \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc774\ub780\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uac78\ud504 \uc9c0\uc5ed \ud574\uc6b4\uc744 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uba48\ucdb0 \uc138\uc6e0\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc6d0\uc720 \uacf5\uae09\uc758 \uc57d 20%\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc774\ub780 \ud56d\ub9cc \ubd09\uc1c4\ub85c \uc6d0\uc720\ub294 2\uc8fc \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uac12\uc740 4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900 100\uae30\uac04 EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120: \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub450\uc5b4 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 4,580\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc774\ud6c4 4,593.73\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. MACD(\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0 \uc218\ub834\u00b7\ud655\uc0b0 \uc9c0\ud45c: \ub450 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub85c \ucd94\uc138\uc640 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0, RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218: \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 47 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 4,490~4,485\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ub2e4\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c 4,450\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d PCE\uc640 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0: \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub41c \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\ud569) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uad00\ub9dd \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub3c4 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\u00b7\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd \uc9c0\uc9c0<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uae08\uc5d0 \uac00\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ud558\ub77d \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY: \uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 2\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 1.5% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc62c\ub790\uace0 \ud604\uc7ac 106.20 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\ub3d9 \uac08\ub4f1 \uc2ec\ud654\ub294 \uc6d0\uc720\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0, \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc774 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc6d0\uc720 \uacf5\uae09\uc758 \uc57d 20%\ub97c \ud754\ub4e4\uba74\uc11c \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\ub85c \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc62c\ub77c 3\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud588\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ucda9\uaca9\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \ub300\uc751\uc744 \uc720\ub3c4\ud55c \uc804\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc7ac\uc5f0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ucc98\ub7fc \uc774\uc790\ub97c \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. CME FedWatch \ud234\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8: \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc740 65%\ub85c, \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804 40%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc758 PCE \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218: \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uac8c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub97c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uad73\ud788\uace0 \uae08\uac12 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>4,580\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd98 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 4,500\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 4,450\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub85c \ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ud48b\uc635\uc158: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \ud558\ubc29 \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 4,600\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\ucabd\uc5d0 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub97c \ub454 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc: \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc870\ud569\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5, \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc2dc \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub428)\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \uae30\ubc18\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9) \uc218\ucde8\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08, 4,580\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc88c\uc808\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \ubc18\ub4f1\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacb9\uccd0 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\ub300. PCE\u00b7GDP \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uad00\ub9dd \uc18d 4,490~4,450 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc2dc\ud5d8.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47417","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47417","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47417"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47417\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47417"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47417"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47417"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}