{"id":47365,"date":"2026-05-26T02:28:41","date_gmt":"2026-05-26T02:28:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/usd-cnh-%ec%a4%91%ea%b5%ad-pmi-%ed%98%b8%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%84%ec%95%88%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce%ea%b0%80-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%a0%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-05-26T02:28:41","modified_gmt":"2026-05-26T02:28:41","slug":"usd-cnh-%ec%a4%91%ea%b5%ad-pmi-%ed%98%b8%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%84%ec%95%88%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce%ea%b0%80-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%a0%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/usd-cnh-%ec%a4%91%ea%b5%ad-pmi-%ed%98%b8%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%84%ec%95%88%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce%ea%b0%80-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%a0%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CNH, \uc911\uad6d PMI \ud638\uc870\ub85c \uc704\uc548\ud654 \uac15\uc138\u2026\ubbf8\uad6d PCE\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc81c\ud55c \uc18d 6.7820 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CNH\ub294 6.7923~6.8033\uc758 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc778 \ub4a4 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud558\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc740 6.7971\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uac10\ud574 0.05% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc11c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ubc94\uc704\ub294 6.7920~6.8060\uc600\uace0, \uc804\uc77c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc740 6.7964~6.8080\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uac00\uac00 \ub0ae\uac8c \ud615\uc131\ub41c \ub4a4 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 6.7820\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc120\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9ac\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc544\uc9c1 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ubb34\ub108\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uae30\ub294 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc800\ud56d\uc740 6.7955\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, 6.7995\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub824\uba74 \ub118\uc9c0 \ub9d0\uc544\uc57c \ud560 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

1~3\uc8fc \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 6.7820~6.8220\uc758 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud070 \ud2c0\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad00\uc810\uc740 5\uc6d4 21\uc77c(\ud604\ubb3c 6.8010) \ucc98\uc74c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 USD\/CNH\uac00 6.7820 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00 \u2018\uadf8 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uba38\ubb34\ub294\u2019 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc815\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \uc870\uc815(\ud6a1\ubcf4) \uad6d\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. 6.7820\uc744 \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud574 \uc548\ucc29\ud558\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc5ed\uc678 \uc704\uc548\ud654(CNH, \uc911\uad6d \ubcf8\ud1a0 \ubc16\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc704\uc548) \ub300\ube44 \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

—<\/p>\n

Fundamental Drivers And Current Dynamics<\/h3>\n

USD\/CNH\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uac70\ub798 \uad6c\uac04\uc758 \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uace0 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 6.7820\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774 \ubc14\ub2e5\uc774 \ubb34\ub108\uc9c0\uba74 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138(\ud558\ub77d \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \ud750\ub984)\uac00 \uc2dc\uc791\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04\uc740 6.7820~6.8220 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub20c\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\ub294 \uc911\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c \uac1c\uc120\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbfc\uac04 \uc870\uc0ac\uae30\uad00 \ucc28\uc774\uc2e0(Caixin)\uc758 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218(PMI, \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc\uc8fc\ubb38\u00b7\uc0dd\uc0b0\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \ub4f1\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\/\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac 51.5\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c \uacf5\uc7a5 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uc18c\ud3ed \uac1c\uc120(50 \ucd08\uacfc\ub294 \ud655\uc7a5)\ub410\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \ubc84\ud300\ubaa9\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba74 \uc704\uc548\ud654\uc5d0\ub294 \uac15\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 6.7820 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc778\ubbfc\uc740\ud589(PBoC, \uc911\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\ub3c4 \ub9e4\uc77c \uace0\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc900\ud658\uc728(\uc77c\uc77c \uae30\uc900 \ud658\uc728 \uace0\uc2dc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \u2018\uc6d0\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\u2019\uc744 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \uc8fc\ub294 \uc5ed\ud560)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc704\uc548\ud654 \uac15\uc138 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub3c4\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \ucabd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 2.7%\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5f0\uc900(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \ub354\ub514\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558) \uc2dc\uc810\uc774 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud574\uc838 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\ud558\uae30\ub294 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c \uac1c\uc120\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \ub048\uc801\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc11c\ub85c \ub9de\uc11c\uba74\uc11c, \ub2f9\uc7a5\uc740 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \ubb36\uc5ec \uc788\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

—<\/p>\n

Volatility, Trading Strategies, And Historical Perspective<\/h3>\n

\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c \ub4f1 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488) \uac70\ub798\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \u2018\uc2e4\ud604 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2019\uc774 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc810\uc774 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2e4\ud604 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uacfc\uac70 \uc2e4\uc81c \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc791\uc744 \ub54c\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2f8\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uc9e7\uc740 \uc77c\ubc18\ud615(\ubc14\ub2d0\ub77c) \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 6.7800 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uc0ac\ub450\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ube44\uc6a9 \ub300\ube44 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba74, \uc9c0\uae09\ud55c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc774 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba74, \uc678\uac00\uaca9(\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0\uc11c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9)\uc758 \uc591\ubc29\ud5a5 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle) \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ud48b 6.7750\uacfc \ucf5c 6.8250\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \ud314\uc544 \ud6a1\ubcf4\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \ucee4\uc838 \uc0c1\u00b7\ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \ub6ab\ub294 \u2018\uc774\ud0c8\u2019\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc190\uc808\u00b7\uc99d\uac70\uae08 \uad00\ub9ac \ub4f1 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 2023\ub144 \ucd08\ucc98\ub7fc USD\/CNH\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc624\ub7ab\ub3d9\uc548 \ub0ae\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c \ub4a4, \ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \u2018\ub3cc\ud30c\u2019\uac00 \ub4a4\ub530\ub974\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \uc989, \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uc7a5\uc138\ub77c\ub3c4 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 6.7820\uc744 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba74 \uacfc\uac70\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \uc774\ud0c8\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \ub3d9\ubc18\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/CNH, \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud558\ub2e8 \uc2dc\ud5d8\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \u2018\uae34\uc7a5\u2019. 6.7971\ub85c 0.05% \ud558\ub77d, \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0 6.7820 \uc8fc\ubaa9. \uc720\uc9c0 \uc2dc 6.7820~6.8220 \ud6a1\ubcf4, \uc774\ud0c8 \ub550 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47365","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47365","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47365"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47365\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47365"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47365"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47365"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}