{"id":47334,"date":"2026-05-25T11:18:05","date_gmt":"2026-05-25T11:18:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-pce-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%ec%99%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-05-25T11:18:05","modified_gmt":"2026-05-25T11:18:05","slug":"%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-pce-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%ec%99%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-pce-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%ec%99%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d\u2026\uc2dc\uc7a5, PCE \ubc1c\ud45c\uc640 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD)\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 \uac2d(\uc804\uc77c \uc885\uac00 \ub300\ube44 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub04a\uaca8 \ub0ae\uac8c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1) \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud574 99.30(\uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud558\ub2e8) \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c 99.00\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c(\ubd09\uc1c4 \ud574\uc81c) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba70 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0) \uc131\uaca9\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uc804 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uacfc\uc758 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc784\ubc15\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uc790 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc628, \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638) \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub410\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uadf8\ub294 \ud611\uc0c1\ub2e8\uc774 \u201c\ud569\uc758\ub97c \uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \ub9d0\uc544\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\u201d\uace0\ub3c4 \ud588\uace0, \ud569\uc758 \uc11c\uba85 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubd09\uc1c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ubcc4\ub3c4\ub85c \ub9c8\ucf54 \ub8e8\ube44\uc624 \uad6d\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\uc740 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \u201c\uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \uc720\ub825\ud55c \uc81c\uc548\uc774 \ud14c\uc774\ube14 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ub2e4\ub978 \uc218\ub2e8\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uae30\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \uc678\uad50(\uc678\uad50\uc801 \ud574\uacb0)\ub97c \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uba54\ubaa8\ub9ac\uc5bc\ub370\uc774(\ud604\ucda9\uc77c) \uc740\ud589 \ud734\uc77c\ub85c \ud734\uc7a5\ud574 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \uc77c\uc815\uc740 \ube44\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc9c0\ucd9c\ud55c \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4)\uc774 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc54c\ub824\uc838 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uace0, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub3c4 \ube60\ub974\uba74\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c(\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc8fc\ubaa9\ub3c4\uac00 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. CME\uadf8\ub8f9\uc758 FedWatch Tool(\uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc774\ub780 \uacf5\uaca9(2\uc6d4 28\uc77c) \uc774\uc804\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc14\ub00c\uc5b4 \uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 50% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ubcc0\uc218\uc640 \uc6d0\uc720 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc8fc \ucd08 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uacfc \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780 \uac04 \uc678\uad50 \ub300\ud654 \uc7ac\uac1c\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc751\ud558\uba70 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc6d0\uc720 \uacf5\uae09\uc758 \uc57d 20%\uac00 \ud1b5\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc644\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 80\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc911\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\ub3c4 \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uad6d\ubb34\ubd80\uc758 \u201c\uac74\uc124\uc801 \ud2c0(constructive framework)\u201d \uad00\ub828 \uae0d\uc815\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc 2024\ub144\uacfc 2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc678\uad50\uc801 \uc9c4\uc804\uc774 \uacb0\uad6d \uad50\ucc29 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c \ub05d\ub09c \uc804\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5b4, \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uacbd\uacc4\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>PCE\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \ubcc0\ud654<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc 4\uc6d4 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9b0\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 2.8%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c(2%)\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc774\ubc88 \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc790 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \ud0dc\ub3c4)\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.  <\/p>\n<p>CME FedWatch Tool\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 40%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2026\ub144 \ucd08\uc5d0 \uc6b0\uc138\ud588\ub358 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c4 \ubcc0\ud654\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\uc758 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815)\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud574, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ud070 \ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ud734\uc804 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uae09\ub77d?\u201d \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ub300\ud654\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc7ac\uac1c \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694 \uc904\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec 99\uc120 \ud6c4\ud1f4. \ub2e4\ub9cc PCE \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c \ubca0\ud305 \uc7ac\ubd80\uc0c1, \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d4 \uc81c\ub3d9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u201c\ud734\uc804 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uae09\ub77d?\u201d \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ub300\ud654\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc7ac\uac1c \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694 \uc904\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec 99\uc120 \ud6c4\ud1f4. \ub2e4\ub9cc PCE \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c \ubca0\ud305 \uc7ac\ubd80\uc0c1, \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d4 \uc81c\ub3d9.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-pce-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%ec%99%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.1.1\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d\u2026\uc2dc\uc7a5, PCE \ubc1c\ud45c\uc640 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u201c\ud734\uc804 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uae09\ub77d?\u201d \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ub300\ud654\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc7ac\uac1c \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694 \uc904\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec 99\uc120 \ud6c4\ud1f4. \ub2e4\ub9cc PCE \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c \ubca0\ud305 \uc7ac\ubd80\uc0c1, \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d4 \uc81c\ub3d9.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-pce-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%ec%99%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-25T11:18:05+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-05-25T11:18:05+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/vtmarketsglobal\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@vtmarketsglobal\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d\u2026\uc2dc\uc7a5, PCE \ubc1c\ud45c\uc640 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9 - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" 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