{"id":47236,"date":"2026-05-21T19:17:48","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T19:17:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%9c%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%85-pmi%ea%b0%80-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%eb%8a%94\/"},"modified":"2026-05-21T19:17:48","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T19:17:48","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%9c%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%85-pmi%ea%b0%80-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%eb%8a%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%9c%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%85-pmi%ea%b0%80-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%eb%8a%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc2dd\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uac15\uc138\u2026\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc804\ub9dd"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d S&P \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218: \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4 \ub2f4\ub2f9\uc790 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b0\ucd9c\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 5\uc6d4 55.3\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(54)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

PMI\uac00 50\uc744 \ub118\uc73c\uba74 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uc804\uc6d4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \u2018\ud655\uc7a5\u2019\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. 5\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc774 \uc131\uc7a5 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n

5\uc6d4 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI 55.3\uc740 \uacbd\uae30 \ud0c4\ub825\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud588\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c(\uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubc29\ud5a5)\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud3c9\uac00\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd98\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234(CME FedWatch Tool: \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 45%\uc5d0\uc11c 30% \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub450\uace0 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \u2018\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb38\ub2e4\u2019\ub294 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub294 \uc591\uba74\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uba74 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc774\uc775\uc5d0\ub294 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba74 \uc8fc\uac00 \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158(\uae30\uc5c5\uac00\uce58 \ud3c9\uac00)\uc774 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 S&P500\uc758 \uc120\ud589 PER(Forward P\/E: \ud5a5\ud6c4 12\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc774\uc775 \ub300\ube44 \uc8fc\uac00 \uc218\uc900)\uc774 21\ubc30 \uadfc\ucc98\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \ud3b8\uc774\ub2e4. SPY \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ud48b\uc635\uc158: \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c, \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8)\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ubc29 \ubc29\uc5b4\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uac70\ub098, VIX(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218: S&P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3c4\ucd9c\ub418\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ucf5c\uc635\uc158: \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\ub3c4 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. VIX\ub294 13.5\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc720\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778)\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uba74 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub294 \ud638\uc7ac\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY: \uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uba87 \uc8fc 105 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uace0, \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc758 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc7ac\uac1c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub610\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \ub4f1 \ud0c0 \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc218\uc694 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n

\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc6a9 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac(\uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc5d0 \uc4f0\uc774\ub294 \uae08\uc18d\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ub4f1) \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30 \uccb4\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc790\uc8fc \uc5b8\uae09\ub418\ub294 \uad6c\ub9ac \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc774\ub0a0 \uc624\uc804 1.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub2f9 4.70\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 PMI\ub294 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uccb4\ub4e4\uc758 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uad6c\ub9e4\uac00 \ub298 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc918, \uc0b0\uc5c5\uae08\uc18d\uc774\ub098 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI 55.3\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1 \uc0c1\ud68c, \uacbd\uae30 \ud0c4\ub825 \ud655\uc778. 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 \uae09\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01. \uc8fc\uc2dd \ubd80\ub2f4\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138, \uad6c\ub9ac \ub4f1 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc218\uc694 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47236","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47236","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47236"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47236\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47236"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47236"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47236"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}