{"id":47226,"date":"2026-05-21T16:47:59","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T16:47:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%84%ec%86%8d-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85%ec%88%98%eb%8b%b9-%ec%b2%ad%ea%b5%ac-%ea%b1%b4%ec%88%98-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80\/"},"modified":"2026-05-21T16:47:59","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T16:47:59","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%84%ec%86%8d-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85%ec%88%98%eb%8b%b9-%ec%b2%ad%ea%b5%ac-%ea%b1%b4%ec%88%98-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%84%ec%86%8d-%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85%ec%88%98%eb%8b%b9-%ec%b2%ad%ea%b5%ac-%ea%b1%b4%ec%88%98-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8c%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uacc4\uc18d \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c \uac74\uc218, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \ud558\ud68c\u2026\uc5f0\uc900 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd \uac15\ud654"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc8fc\uac04 **\uc9c0\uc18d \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c(continuing jobless claims: \uc2e4\uc5c5\uae09\uc5ec\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c \uc218)**\ub294 5\uc6d4 8\uc77c\ub85c \ub05d\ub09c \uc8fc\uc5d0 **178\ub9cc2,000\uac74**\uc73c\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 **\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(179\ub9cc \uac74)**\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\uc18d \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc870\uae08 \ub0ae\uac8c \ub098\uc628 \uac83\uc740 **\uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4(\ud68c\ubcf5\ub825\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4)**\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub77c\uba74 **\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900: \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)**\uac00 **\uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uae30\uc5d0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(interest rate cuts: \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)**\ub97c \uc11c\ub450\ub97c \uc774\uc720\ub294 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 **\u2018\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \ub192\uac8c, \ub354 \uc624\ub798(higher for longer: \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud658\uacbd)\u2019** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \ubc30\uacbd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ub2e8\ub3c5\uc73c\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc5c6\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc11c 4\uc6d4 **\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc0ac\ub294 \ubb3c\uac74\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\uac00 **\uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.4%**\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub410\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58(2%)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc740 \uc9c1\uc804 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 **2%\ub85c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc548\uc815\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud655\uc2e0\uc774 \ubd80\uc871\ud558\ub2e4**\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. **\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669**\uacfc **\uacac\uace0\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9**\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\uba74, \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 **\uae34\ucd95\uc801 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45(restrictive policy: \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)**\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uba85\ubd84\uc744 \uac16\ub294\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc601(\uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \ubc18\uc601)**\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0 \uacbd\uacc4\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub300\uc751 \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 **SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158(options on SOFR futures: \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\uc778 SOFR\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\ub85c \ud55c \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc120\ud0dd\uad8c)**\uc744 \ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \ub354 \ub4a4\ub85c \ubbf8\ub8f0 \uacbd\uc6b0** \uc720\ub9ac\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 2022~2023\ub144 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(hiking) \uad6d\uba74**\uc758 **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(volatility: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)**\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, \uc131\uae09\ud55c \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc14\ub014 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc54c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5(\uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\uc5d0\ub294 \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\ub2e4. **\ucc28\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9(borrowing costs: \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ub3c8\uc744 \ube4c\ub9b4 \ub54c \ub4dc\ub294 \uc774\uc790 \ube44\uc6a9)**\uc774 \ub192\uc73c\uba74 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \uc555\ubc15\ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574, **\uc9c0\uc218 \uc635\uc158(index options: \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\ub85c \ud55c \uc635\uc158)**\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 **SPY \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(put spreads on SPY: SPY\uc5d0\uc11c \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc190\uc775 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)**\ub294 **\uc190\uc2e4 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c(defined-risk: \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4)** \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801( hawkish: \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638)\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub418\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ub420 \ub54c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \ubcf4\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \uc774\ub7f0 \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74, \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc758\ubbf8\ub97c \ud574\uc11d\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub354 \uac70\uce60\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c **VIX \uc9c0\uc218 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives on the VIX: \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218\uc778 VIX\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\ub85c \ud55c \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1)**\uc73c\ub85c **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44**\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ub3c4 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. **VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(VIX calls: VIX\uac00 \uc624\ub97c \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)**\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uae09\uc99d\uacfc \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ud5e4\uc9c0\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c) \uace0\ub824\uc0ac\ud56d<\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc9c0\uc18d \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 178.2\ub9cc\uac74, \uc608\uc0c1 \ud558\ud68c\ub85c \uace0\uc6a9 \uacac\uc870. CPI 3.4%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacb9\uce58\uba70 \uc5f0\uc900 \u2018higher for longer\u2019 \ubb34\uac8c. \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uacbd\uacc4, SOFR\u00b7\uc9c0\uc218\ud48b\u00b7VIX\ub85c \ubc29\uc5b4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47226","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47226","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47226"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47226\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47226"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47226"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47226"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}