{"id":47204,"date":"2026-05-21T09:48:05","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T09:48:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-159%ec%97%94%eb%8c%80-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%93%b1%eb%9d%bd%ec%83%81%eb%b0%a9-%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-05-21T09:48:05","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T09:48:05","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-159%ec%97%94%eb%8c%80-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%93%b1%eb%9d%bd%ec%83%81%eb%b0%a9-%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-159%ec%97%94%eb%8c%80-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%93%b1%eb%9d%bd%ec%83%81%eb%b0%a9-%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4, 159\uc5d4\ub300 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\u2026\uc0c1\ubc29 \ub3cc\ud30c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uace0\uc870\uc5d0 \uc635\uc158 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ubca0\ud305 \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd \ucd08\ubc18 158.90 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ud2c0\uc9f8 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc740 9\uc77c \ubc0f 50\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(EMA\u00b7\ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub454 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0) \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>14\uc77c \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218(RSI\u00b7\uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c 0~100\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4 \uacfc\uc5f4\/\uce68\uccb4\ub97c \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 54.5\ub85c, \uc911\ub9bd\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uac15\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ucf30\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Key Technical Inflection Zone<\/h3>\n<p>\uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \ucc44\ub110(\uace0\uc810\uacfc \uc800\uc810\uc774 \uc810\ucc28 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ubc94\uc704) \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud574 \u2018\ub3cc\ud30c\ub0d0 \ubc18\ub77d\uc774\ub0d0\u2019\uc758 \ubd84\uae30\uc810\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucc44\ub110 \uc704\ub85c \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \uc62c\ub77c\uc11c\uba74 \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ud658 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \uc800\ud56d\uc5d0 \ub9c9\ud788\uba74 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\ud6a1\ubcf4) \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc0c1\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 4\uc6d4 30\uc77c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c 22\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810 160.73\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc800\ud56d\uc740 2024\ub144 7\uc6d4\uc758 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 162.00\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud558\ubc29\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 1\ucc28 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 9\uc77c EMA 158.51, \uc774\ud6c4 50\uc77c EMA 158.23\uc774\ub2e4. \ub450 \uc120\uc744 \ubaa8\ub450 \ubc11\ub3cc\uba74 5\uc6d4 6\uc77c\uc758 \uc57d 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 155.04, \ub2e4\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \ucc44\ub110 \ud558\ub2e8\uc778 153.80 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Derivative Positioning Considerations<\/h3>\n<p>\uc0c1\ubc29 \ub3cc\ud30c\ub97c \uae30\ub300\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 \ub610\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 160.00~161.00 \uc218\uc900 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI(\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\uac00 2.9%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba70 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub2a6\ucdb0\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uc5d4\ud654\ub97c \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uac1c\uc785(\uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ucc38\uc5ec)\ud574 \uc628 \uc804\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc8fc\uc758\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 \ubd04 \ud658\uc728\uc774 160\uc120\uc744 \ub118\uae38 \ub54c \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc774 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uac1c\uc785\ud558\uba70 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub9e4\uc218 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uae09\ubcc0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 \uad00\ub9ac\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ub9cc\ud07c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4. USD\/JPY 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58)\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc57d 8.0%\uc5d0\uc11c 9.5%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud3c9\uc18c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\ub3d9\uc77c \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\ub3d9\uc77c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b \ub3d9\uc2dc \ub9e4\uc218) \ub610\ub294 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b \ub3d9\uc2dc \ub9e4\uc218)\uc774 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub2e8\uc815\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0\ub3c4 \ub3cc\ud30c \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc800\ud56d \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0 \uc2e4\ud328\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 50\uc77c EMA 158.23 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ub192\uc740 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc758 \ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc640 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\u00b7\ud6a1\ubcf4 \ubca0\ud305)\ub85c \ud6a1\ubcf4 \ub610\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 50\uc77c EMA\ub97c \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\uba74 \uc774\ub2ec \ucd08 \ud655\uc778\ud55c 155.00 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ube68\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 158.90\uc11c \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30, \u2018\ub3cc\ud30c\ub0d0 \ubc18\ub77d\uc774\ub0d0\u2019 \ubd84\uae30\uc810. 160.73~162 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc5f4\ub9ac\ub098, 158.51\u00b7158.23 \uc774\ud0c8 \ub550 155~153.80. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \uc720\ud6a8.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47204","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47204","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47204"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47204\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47204"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47204"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47204"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}