{"id":47146,"date":"2026-05-20T20:20:43","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T20:20:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%a7%88%ec%8a%a4%ed%84%b0%ec%b9%b4%eb%93%9c-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%b5%ec%8b%ac-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80%ec%84%a0-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91%ec%97%98%eb%a6%ac%ec%97%87-%ed%8c%8c%eb%8f%99-%ec%a1%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T20:20:43","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T20:20:43","slug":"%eb%a7%88%ec%8a%a4%ed%84%b0%ec%b9%b4%eb%93%9c-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%b5%ec%8b%ac-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80%ec%84%a0-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91%ec%97%98%eb%a6%ac%ec%97%87-%ed%8c%8c%eb%8f%99-%ec%a1%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a7%88%ec%8a%a4%ed%84%b0%ec%b9%b4%eb%93%9c-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%b5%ec%8b%ac-%ec%a7%80%ec%a7%80%ec%84%a0-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91%ec%97%98%eb%a6%ac%ec%97%87-%ed%8c%8c%eb%8f%99-%ec%a1%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub9c8\uc2a4\ud130\uce74\ub4dc \uc8fc\uac00, \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uadfc\uc811\u2026\uc5d8\ub9ac\uc5c7 \ud30c\ub3d9 \uc870\uc815 \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac \uc784\ubc15 \uc18d \u2018\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubc18\ub4f1\u2019 \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ub9c8\uc2a4\ud130\uce74\ub4dc(Mastercard Inc\u00b7NYSE: MA)\ub294 \uc8fc\uac04(weekly) \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc870\uc815(correction\u00b7\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc) \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uc5d8\ub9ac\uc5c7 \ud30c\ub3d9(Elliott Wave\u00b7\uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \u2018\ud30c\ub3d9\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ub220 \ucd94\uc138\uc640 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ud574\uc11d\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d) \uad6c\uc870\uc640 \ubaa9\ud45c\uac00\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc8fc\uac00\ub294 2022\ub144 \uc800\uc810 277.79\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 5\uac1c \ud30c\ub3d9(\uc0c1\uc2b9 5\ud30c\u00b7\ucd94\uc138 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 5\ub2e8\uacc4\ub85c \ubcf8 \uac83)\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 1\ud30c(Wave I)\uac00 582\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc810\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 3\uac1c \ud30c\ub3d9(3\ud30c\u00b7\uc870\uc815 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 3\ub2e8\uacc4\ub85c \ubcf8 \uac83)\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub904\uc9c4 \ud50c\ub7ab \uc870\uc815(flat correction\u00b7\ud6a1\ubcf4\ud615 \uc870\uc815)\uc774 \uc2dc\uc791\ub410\uace0, ((A))\ud30c\ub294 465\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \uc800\uc810, ((B))\ud30c\ub294 601\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac ((C))\ud30c\uac00 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc774\uba70, \uc8fc\uac00\ub294 511~463\ub2ec\ub7ec \uad6c\uac04\uc758 \u2018\uc774\ud004 \ub808\uadf8(equal-legs) \uc874\u2019(\uc870\uc815\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \ud3ed\uc774 \uc774\uc804 \ud558\ub77d \ud3ed\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uad6c\uac04)\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 2\ud30c(Wave II\u00b71\ud30c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub4a4 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc)\uac00 \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc601\uc5ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub418\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 3\ud30c(Wave III\u00b7\ub2e4\uc74c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138 \uad6c\uac04)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2e0\uace0\uac00(all-time high\u00b7\uc5ed\ub300 \ucd5c\uace0\uac00)\ub85c \ud5a5\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ub9c8\uc2a4\ud130\uce74\ub4dc\ub294 \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uac00\ub294 511~463\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0(support\u00b7\ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc720\uc785\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\ub300) \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc811\uadfc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ub9d0 \uace0\uc810 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives\u00b7\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d, \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc635\uc158) \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 511~463\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubaa9\ud45c \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money\u00b7\ud604\uc7ac \uc8fc\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc989\uc2dc \ud589\uc0ac\ud574\ub3c4 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uac00\uaca9) \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ub610\ub294 \ud48b \ud06c\ub808\ub527 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(put credit spread\u00b7\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ub3c4\u00b7\ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc218\ucde8\uc640 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uac00 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubc18\uc804(bullish reversal\u00b7\ud558\ub77d \ud6c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc804\ud658)\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(premium\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58)\uc774 \uc5f0\uc911 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc18c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574, \ud574\ub2f9 \ud48b\uc758 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub825\ub3c4\ub294 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ud6c4 \ubaa9\ud45c \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc14\ub2e5 \ud655\uc778 \uc2e0\ud638(\uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub2e5\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984)\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uae30\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ub9cc\uae30 3~6\uac1c\uc6d4\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ucf5c \ub370\ube57 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(call debit spread\u00b7\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc9c0\ubd88\ud558\uace0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub418 \uc704\ud5d8\uacfc \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub7a0\ub9ac(rally\u00b7\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984)\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud30c\ub3d9\uc740 \uc8fc\uac00\ub97c \uc2e0\uace0\uac00\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc870\uc815 \ub05d? MA, 463~511\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uac00 \u2018\ub9e4\uc218 \uad6c\uac04\u2019\u201d \uc5d8\ub9ac\uc5c7 Wave II ((C)) \uc9c4\ud589, equal-legs \uc874 \uc811\uadfc. OTM \ud48b \ub9e4\ub3c4\u00b7\ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub85c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4, \ubc14\ub2e5 \ud655\uc778 \ub4a4 \ucf5c\ub85c \uc2e0\uace0\uac00 \ub178\ub9b0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47146","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47146","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47146"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47146\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47146"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47146"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47146"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}