{"id":47139,"date":"2026-05-20T18:51:22","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T18:51:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b8%eb%8f%84%eb%84%a4%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b9%9c%ec%a7%9d-50bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%c2%b7%ec%99%b8%ed%99%98%ec%8b%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T18:51:22","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T18:51:22","slug":"%ec%9d%b8%eb%8f%84%eb%84%a4%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b9%9c%ec%a7%9d-50bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%c2%b7%ec%99%b8%ed%99%98%ec%8b%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b8%eb%8f%84%eb%84%a4%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84-%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ea%b9%9c%ec%a7%9d-50bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%c2%b7%ec%99%b8%ed%99%98%ec%8b%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc778\ub3c4\ub124\uc2dc\uc544 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589, \u2018\uae5c\uc9dd\u2019 50bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uaddc\uc81c \uac15\ud654\ub85c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc18d \ub8e8\ud53c\uc544 \ubc29\uc5b4"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc778\ub3c4\ub124\uc2dc\uc544 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(Bank Indonesia)\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc778\ub3c4\ub124\uc2dc\uc544 \ub8e8\ud53c\uc544(IDR)\ub97c \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 50bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 0.50%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 5.25%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \ud658\uc728 \uc548\uc815\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uc870\uce58\ub3c4 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud398\ub9ac \uc640\ub974\uc9c0\uc694 \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \uc5ed\uc678 \ubc0f \uc5ed\ub0b4 NDF(Non-Deliverable Forward, \uc2e4\uc81c \ud1b5\ud654 \uc778\ub3c4 \uc5c6\uc774 \ucc28\uc561\ub9cc \uc815\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ub3c4\ud658 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc640 \ud604\ubb3c\ud658(spot, \uc989\uc2dc \uacb0\uc81c\ub418\ub294 \ud658\uac70\ub798) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ub610 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131(\uc2dc\uc911 \uc790\uae08 \ud750\ub984)\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\uace0 \ub8e8\ud53c\uc544 \uc548\uc815\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc218\ub2e8 \uac1c\uc120\ub3c4 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub8e8\ud53c\uc544 \ubc29\uc5b4\uac00 \ucd5c\uc6b0\uc120<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0\ub3c4 2026~2027\ub144 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 1.5~3.5% \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \ub450\ub824\ub294 \ubaa9\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uae30\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uad6d\ubd80\ud380\ub4dc(\uad6d\uac00\uac00 \uc6b4\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ud22c\uc790\uae30\uae08)\ub97c \ud1b5\ud55c \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc218\ucd9c \ub300\uae08\uc758 \uc911\uc559 \uc9d1\uc911 \uad00\ub9ac \uacc4\ud68d\ub3c4 \uac70\ub860\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2026\ub144 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 4.9~5.7%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub418\uba70, \uc815\ubd80 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc774 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \uacbd\uc0c1\uc218\uc9c0 \uc801\uc790(\ub300\uc678 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc8c\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc774\ub294 \ub3c8\uacfc \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc758 \ucc28\uc774)\ub294 GDP \ub300\ube44 0.5~1.3%\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc778\ub3c4\ub124\uc2dc\uc544 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \u2018\uae5c\uc9dd\u2019 50bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \ub8e8\ud53c\uc544 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0b8 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc870\uce58\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud1b5\ud654 \uac00\uce58 \ud558\ubc29(\uc57d\uc138) \ubc29\uc5b4\uc120\uc774 \ub354 \ub2e8\ub2e8\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub8e8\ud53c\uc544 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798(\ub8e8\ud53c\uc544\ub97c \uacf5\ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158)\uac00 \ud6e8\uc52c \uc704\ud5d8\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc758\ub3c4\ub97c \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0b8 \ub9cc\ud07c \ub2e8\uae30 \ud658\uc728 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9 \ucd9c\ub801\uc784)\ub3c4 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \uc2e0\ud765\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548 \ub54c\ub3c4 \uacfc\uac10\ud55c \ub300\uc751 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ubc18\uc601\ub428)\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ub8e8\ud53c\uc544(USD\/IDR) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc548\uc815\ub418\uac70\ub098 \ub8e8\ud53c\uc544\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc124 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\ub3c4 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uce90\ub9ac\u00b7\ud5e4\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc7ac\uc0b0\uc815<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc778\uc0c1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uba85\ubd84\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ud658\uc728\uc774\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 3.1%\ub85c, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc654\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uc120\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \ub8e8\ud53c\uc544 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2e0\ub8b0)\uac00 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 5.25%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\uba74\uc11c IDR \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc(\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\ub85c \uc870\ub2ec\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 5.0% \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28(\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uaca9\ucc28)\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uba74 \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc744 \uc720\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc120\ub3c4\ud658 \uc2dc\uc7a5(\ubbf8\ub798 \ud658\uc728\ub85c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uac70\ub798)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub8e8\ud53c\uc544 \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871 IDR) \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub8e8\ud53c\uc544\uc5d0 \uafb8\uc900\ud55c \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uac70\uc2dc \uae30\ucd08\uccb4\ub825\ub3c4 \ub8e8\ud53c\uc544 \uc790\uc0b0 \ubcf4\uc720\uc5d0 \uc77c\uc815 \ubd80\ubd84 \uc548\uc815\uac10\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 5% \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uacbd\uc0c1\uc218\uc9c0 \uc801\uc790\ub3c4 \uad00\ub9ac \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub77c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uae30\ubc18 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\ubb3c, NDF \ub4f1 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc218\ub2e8\uc744 \ub3d9\uc6d0\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74 \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \ud658\uc728\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \u2018\ud328\ud0a4\uc9c0 \ub300\uc751\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ubd10\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub8e8\ud53c\uc544 \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\ud658\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uac70\ub798) \ube44\uc6a9\ub3c4 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ub3cc\ud30c\ud588\ub358 16,450 \uc218\uc900 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c USD\/IDR\uc774 \ubc84\ud2f8 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ub8e8\ud53c\uc544 \uc0ac\uc218\u201d \uc778\ub2c8\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 50bp \u2018\uae5c\uc9dd\u2019 \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 5.25%\u2026\ud604\ubb3c\u00b7NDF \uac1c\uc785 \uac15\ud654\ub85c \ud658\uc728 \ubc29\uc5b4 \ud328\ud0a4\uc9c0 \uac00\ub3d9. \uce90\ub9ac \ub9e4\ub825\u2191, \ud5e4\uc9c0\ube44\uc6a9\u2191, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2193 \uae30\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47139","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47139","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47139"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47139\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47139"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47139"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47139"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}