{"id":47124,"date":"2026-05-20T14:18:18","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T14:18:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-4%ec%9b%94-%ec%a0%80%ec%a0%90%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5%ec%97%90-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T14:18:18","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T14:18:18","slug":"aud-usd-4%ec%9b%94-%ec%a0%80%ec%a0%90%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5%ec%97%90-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/aud-usd-4%ec%9b%94-%ec%a0%80%ec%a0%90%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5%ec%97%90-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, 4\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \uc81c\ud55c"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 0.7085 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uac04 \ub4a4 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \uc720\uc785\ub418\uba70 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub0a0 \uae30\ub85d\ud55c 4\uc6d4 14\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub09c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 \ud658\uc728\uc740 0.7115 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uc9c0\ub9cc, 6\uc8fc \ub9cc\uc758 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\ub3c4\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uac04 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\uad6c\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ub0a8\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uacfc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc774\uacac\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc131\uc0ac\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud0c0\uaca9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \uc2e4\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c<\/h3>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc804\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub97c \uacbd\uc6b0 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0, \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7Federal Reserve)\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub354 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6b4\uc601\ud560 \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. CME FedWatch Tool(\uc5f0\uc900 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc120\ubb3c\uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uc18c 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(25bp\u00b7bp\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ub2e8\uc704) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 50% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac(US Treasury yields)\ub97c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uac8c \ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ub2a6\uac8c \uacf5\uac1c\ub420 FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d(FOMC Minutes\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\ud68c\uc758 \ub17c\uc758 \uae30\ub85d)\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \ub2e8\uc11c\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub838\ub2e4. \uc20f\ucee4\ubc84\ub9c1(\ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ub418\uc0ac\uba70 \uccad\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)\uacfc \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\uc774 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uac15\ud55c \ucd94\uaca9 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc5c6\uc774 \ubc14\ub2e5 \ud655\uc778\uc740 \uc544\uc9c1 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uacac\uc870\ud574 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \uc624\ub974\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc5ec\uac74\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\uac00 104.50 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\ud638\uac00 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud558\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 AUD\/USD\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c \uc758\uc9c0\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc758 \uae30\ubc18\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Fed Funds Rate\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 1\ub144 \ub118\uac8c 5.25%~5.50% \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub974\uba74\uc11c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub0ae\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub97c \ud655\ub300<\/h3>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud560 \ub54c \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc774\uc790 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ub354 \ub192\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc778 RBA(Reserve Bank of Australia\u00b7\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(cash rate\u00b7\ud638\uc8fc \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac) 4.35%\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\ubcf4\ub2e4 1%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ub0ae\uc544, \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc720\ub3c4\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(safe-haven\u00b7\uc704\uae30 \ub54c \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0) \uc131\uaca9\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218\uc778 VIX(CBOE Volatility Index\u00b7S&P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc 13 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc778\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub09c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uae30\ubcf8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uacc4\uc2ec\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives\u00b7\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d) \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 AUD\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub354 \uac15\ud574\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ud658 \uc2dc \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uad8c\ub9ac \ub300\uac00) \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \uac1c\uc124<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ud568\uc815?\u201d AUD\/USD\ub294 0.7085 \uc800\uc810 \ud6c4 0.7115\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \ubbf8-\ud638 \uae08\ub9ac\uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694\ub3c4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47124","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47124","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47124"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47124\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47124"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47124"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47124"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}