\uae08(XAU\/USD)\uc740 15\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac04) \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d\uc5d0 1.3% \ub118\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 16\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \uadfc\ucc98\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 \ud55c\ub54c 4,589\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub978 \ub4a4 4,506\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ud611\uc0c1\uc740 \uc9c4\uc804\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc81c\uc548\uc774 \ubc14\ub00c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\ub3c4\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba70, \uc6b0\ub77c\ub284 \ub18d\ucd95(\uc6b0\ub77c\ub284\uc5d0\uc11c \ud575\uc5f0\ub8cc\ub85c \uc4f0\uc774\ub294 \uc131\ubd84 \ube44\uc728\uc744 \ub192\uc774\ub294 \uacfc\uc815) \ub17c\uc758\uac00 \uc9c0\uc5f0\ub410\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 15\uc77c \uc774\ub780 \uacf5\uaca9\uc744 \uc790\uc81c\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc720\uac00\ub294 4\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900\uc720)\uc740 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 104.07\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c 1.57% \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ud589\ub3d9 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \u201c1\uc2dc\uac04 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ub9d0\ud574, \ucda9\ub3cc \uc7ac\uac1c \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc92c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9)\ub294 3.8%, \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(PPI\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ubc1b\ub294 \ub3c4\ub9e4 \ub2e8\uacc4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9)\ub294 6%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d 30\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 5%\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4 2007\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 0.31% \uc624\ub978 99.26\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ud504\ub77c\uc784 \ud130\ubbf8\ub110\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uba38\ub2c8\ub9c8\ucf13(\ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 50%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc77c\uc815\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac \ubc1c\uc5b8, FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d(\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \ud68c\uc758 \uae30\ub85d), \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c\ub2e4.
\n\uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d(\uacfc\uac70 \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc9c0\u00b7\uc800\ud56d\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95)\uc5d0\uc11c 4,600\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uac00 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 4,500\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,464\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,400\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA\u00b7\ucd5c\uadfc 200\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uac00\uaca9 \ud3c9\uade0)\uc778 4,334\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 4,550\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,600\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc, 20\uc77c SMA(4,638), 50\uc77c SMA(4,704)\uac00 \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc624\ub298(2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 20\uc77c)\uc758 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \ub2e4\ub974\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc CPI\ub294 2.9%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub3fc, \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc790\uadf9\ud588\ub358 3.8%\uc640 \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4. WTI\ub294 \uacf5\uae09 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba70 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 81\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub3c4 2025\ub144 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uc57d 4.2% \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc62c\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \ud655\ub960\uc740 15% \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc838, 1\ub144 \uc804 50%\uc640 \uc815\ubc18\ub300\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub9e1\ub294 \uae30\uad00) \uae30\ub300 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ud22c\uc790 \ud310\ub2e8\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ub7f0 \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc548\uc815\ub418\uac70\ub098 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 3~6\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \uae08 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac(\uba85\ubaa9\uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \ube80 \uac12)\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba74 \uc774\uc790\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294 \uae08(\ube44\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0)\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc120\ud638\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \ucd95\uc18c)\uc774 \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\uc81c\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud55c \uac70\ub798\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub610\ud55c \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574\ucc98\ub7fc \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ubcc0\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc758 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\uae30\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac VIX(\ubbf8 \uc99d\uc2dc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 14 \uadfc\ucc98\ub85c, 2025\ub144 \uc720\uac00 \ucda9\uaca9 \ub54c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc73c\uba74 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc774 \uc2f8\uc9c0\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 ETF(\uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uad00\ub828 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ubb36\uc5b4 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\uc7a5\uc9c0\uc218\ud380\ub4dc)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7a5\uae30 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc744 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4)\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
2025\ub144\uc5d0 \uac15\ud588\ub358 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub3c4 \ud798\uc774 \ube60\uc84c\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 97 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc911\ub9bd\uc801(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \uce58\uc6b0\uce58\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294) \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucd94\uc885 \ud380\ub4dc\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uadc0\uae08\uc18d \ub4f1 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub9e4\uaca8\uc9c0\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 1.3% \uae09\ub77d, 4,600\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc800\ud56d \ud655\uc778. 2026\ub144\uc5d4 \ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \ub454\ud654\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\u2193\u2026 \uae08 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47067","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47067","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47067"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47067\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47067"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47067"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47067"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}