{"id":47055,"date":"2026-05-19T22:48:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T22:48:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/uae%ec%9d%98-opec-%ed%83%88%ed%87%b4%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99%eb%b0%9c-%ec%9b%90%ec%9c%a0-%ec%9e%ac%ea%b3%a0-%ec%a0%81%ec%b8%b5\/"},"modified":"2026-05-19T22:48:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T22:48:03","slug":"uae%ec%9d%98-opec-%ed%83%88%ed%87%b4%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99%eb%b0%9c-%ec%9b%90%ec%9c%a0-%ec%9e%ac%ea%b3%a0-%ec%a0%81%ec%b8%b5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/uae%ec%9d%98-opec-%ed%83%88%ed%87%b4%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b3%b5%ea%b8%89-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99%eb%b0%9c-%ec%9b%90%ec%9c%a0-%ec%9e%ac%ea%b3%a0-%ec%a0%81%ec%b8%b5\/","title":{"rendered":"UAE\uc758 OPEC \ud0c8\ud1f4\ub85c \uacf5\uae09 \ud655\ub300\u2026\uc911\ub3d9\ubc1c \uc6d0\uc720 \u2018\uc7ac\uace0 \uc801\uce35\u2019 \uc6b0\ub824\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ub77c\ubcf4\ubc45\ud06c(Rabobank)\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ud300\uc740 UAE(\uc544\ub78d\uc5d0\ubbf8\ub9ac\ud2b8)\uac00 \uc57d 60\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 OPEC(\uc11d\uc720\uc218\ucd9c\uad6d\uae30\uad6c)\uc5d0\uc11c \ud0c8\ud1f4\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ud574\ub2f9 \uc870\uc9c1\uc758 \uacb0\uc18d\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\ub2e4. UAE\ub294 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9\uc744 \uc804\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\uc728\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacb0\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, OPEC\uc758 \uc81c\ud55c \uc5c6\uc774 \u2018\uc789\uc5ec \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825(\ud544\uc694 \uc2dc \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ub298\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc5ec\ub825)\u2019\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 UAE\uac00 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc744 \ub298\ub9ac\uace0, \ube44\uc11d\uc720 \ubd80\ubb38 \uc721\uc131 \ub4f1 \u2018\ud0c8\uc11d\uc720 \uc804\ub7b5(\uc11d\uc720 \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\ub97c \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ud658 \uacc4\ud68d)\u2019 \uc790\uae08 \uc870\ub2ec\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uba70, \ub300\ub7c9 \uacf5\uae09\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac\ub9e4\uae40\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \u2018\uc2a4\uc651\ub77c\uc778(\uc704\uae30 \uc2dc \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub4f1 \uc678\ud654\ub97c \uc11c\ub85c \ube4c\ub824\uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uac04 \ud1b5\ud654 \uad50\ud658 \uacc4\uc57d)\u2019 \ubc0f \uad6d\ubc29 \ud611\ub825 \uac15\ud654\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \ud655\ub300 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub97c \ub192\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5f0\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Uae Output Shift And Price Impact<\/h3>\n

\uae30\uc0ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 UAE\uc758 OPEC \ud0c8\ud1f4\ub294 \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc885\ub8cc \uc774\ud6c4 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc6d0\uc720 \uacf5\uae09\uc744 \ub298\ub824 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd9c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610 \uc774\ub7f0 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 OPEC\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc774\ud0c8\uc744 \ubd80\ucd94\uaca8 \uc870\uc9c1\uc774 \ubd84\uc5f4\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uac70\ub860\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ub098\uc624\ub294 UAE \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc774 \uc5b4\ub514\ub85c \ud5a5\ud560\uc9c0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uc81c\uae30\ud588\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub3d9\ub9f9\uad6d\uacfc \uadf8\ub4e4\uc774 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798 \uc0c1\ub300\uc5d0\uac8c \ud310\ub9e4\uac00 \uc3e0\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc774\ub2e4. \uc544\uc6b8\ub7ec OPEC, NOPEC(\ube44OPEC \uc0b0\uc720\uad6d), \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc0c8\ub85c \ub4f1\uc7a5\ud558\ub294 \u2018\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2a4\ud0dd(\uc7a5\uae30 \uacc4\uc57d\u00b7\uad6d\uac00 \uac04 \uacf5\uae09 \ubb36\uc74c \ub4f1 \uc9c0\uc5ed\u00b7\ub3d9\ub9f9 \ub2e8\uc704\ub85c \uc313\uc774\ub294 \uacf5\uae09 \uad6c\uc870)\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubd84\ub9ac\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2025\ub144 \ubd84\uc11d\uc744 \ub418\uc9da\uc5b4\ubcf4\uba74, UAE\uc758 OPEC \uc774\ud0c8 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ub410\uace0 \uc774\ub294 \uc720\uac00\uc5d0 \ud070 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. UAE\ub294 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc744 \ub298\ub838\uc73c\uba70, 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ucd08 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc77c\uc77c \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9\uc774 380\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\uc744 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uacf5\uae09 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \uba87 \ub2ec\uac04 \uc720\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Market Positioning And Key Risks<\/h3>\n

\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 72\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc84\ud2f0\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2e0\uaddc \uacf5\uae09 \ud655\ub300\uc640 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 \ub354\ub518 \uacbd\uae30 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc774 \uacb9\uce5c \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ud480\uc774\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2024\ub144 \ub9d0(\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc774\ud6c4) 90\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\ub358 \uace0\uc810\uacfc \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc7ac\uace0\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \u2018\ub9e4\ub3c4\ud560 \uad8c\ub9ac\u2019) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc81c\uc548\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubb34\uac81\uace0 70\ub2ec\ub7ec \u2018\uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub354 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\uc2dd\ub418\ub294 \uc218\uc900)\u2019\uc774 \uae68\uc9c0\uba74 60\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc911\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ube44OPEC \uacf5\uae09 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \u2018\uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\uac00 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4(\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc9c0\ubd88\ud55c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc774\uc0c1 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c)\u2019 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc608\uc0c1\ub410\ub358 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd84\uc808\ub3c4 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ub418\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. UAE\uac00 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc778\ub3c4\uc640 \uc7a5\uae30 \uacf5\uae09 \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud574 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \ud604\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5(\uc989\uc2dc \uc778\ub3c4\ub418\ub294 \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc744 \uc6b0\ud68c\ud55c \ub4a4, \uc6d0\uc720 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \u2018\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed)\u2019\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \u2018\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2a4\ud0dd\u2019 \ud615\ud0dc\uc758 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \ud758\ub7ec\uac08 \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc744 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \ube7c\ub0b4\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud574\uc57c \ud568\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \u2018\uc120\ubb3c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ub9cc\uae30 \ub610\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ucc28\uc774)\u2019\ub97c \uc810\uac80\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8- WTI \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uacf5\uae09 \uacc4\uc57d\uc774 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \uae30\uc900\uc720(\uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc6d0\uc720) \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294\uc9c0 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \ucc99\ub3c4\ub77c\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uba74 \uc720\ub7fd\uc740 OPEC+ \uac10\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub354 \ucde8\uc57d\ud558\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \ub354 \ub109\ub109\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc9c0\uc5ed\ubcc4 \uac00\uaca9 \uad34\ub9ac\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \uc790\uc8fc \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ubc18\ub300 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544\uc640 \ub098\uba38\uc9c0 OPEC+\uc758 \ub300\uc751\uc774 \uaf3d\ud78c\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0, \uc720\uac00 \ubc29\uc5b4\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uac10\uc0b0(\uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc870\uce58)\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uc758\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc774\ub2e4. \ub9ac\uc57c\ub4dc(\uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514 \uc815\ubd80)\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8(\ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uac00\uaca9 \ubc29\uc5b4\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uac15\uacbd \uc870\uce58\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ubc1c\uc5b8)\u2019\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\uc20f\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158: \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775) \ucd95\uc18c \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud558\uac8c(\uacf5\uae09 \ubd80\uc871 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c) \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uac16\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc774\uc720\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cUAE OPEC \ud0c8\ud1f4\u201d\uac00 \uc720\uac00 \ud310\uc744 \ud754\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc790\uc728\u00b7\uc789\uc5ec\ub2a5\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uacf5\uae09 \ud655\ub300, WTI 70\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd95\uad34 \ub550 60\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub300 \uae09\ub77d \uacbd\uace0. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \u2018\uc2a4\ud0dd\u2019 \ubd84\uc808 \uc2ec\ud654, \ubcc0\uc218\ub294 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514 \uac10\uc0b0 \ub300\uc751.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47055","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47055","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47055"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47055\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47055"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47055"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47055"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}