{"id":47023,"date":"2026-05-19T14:20:59","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T14:20:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%91%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ed%9b%84%ed%87%b4%ec%97%90-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88\/"},"modified":"2026-05-19T14:20:59","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T14:20:59","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%91%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ed%9b%84%ed%87%b4%ec%97%90-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%91%ec%83%81-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ed%9b%84%ed%87%b4%ec%97%90-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4\uc5d0 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026\uae08\uac12 3\uac1c\uc6d4\ub798 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub85c \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uc740 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc7a5\uc911 \ucd5c\uc800 4,464\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub9b0 \ub4a4 4,482\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 3\uc6d4 30\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1\uacfc \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc778 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac70\uc2dc(\uacbd\uae30 \uc804\ubc18) \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uac78\ud504(\ud398\ub974\uc2dc\uc544\ub9cc) \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc9c0\ub3c4\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ud611\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uac04\uc744 \ub354 \ub2ec\ub77c\uace0 \uc694\uccad\ud574 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uad70\uc0ac \uacf5\uaca9 \uacc4\ud68d\uc744 \uc911\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \ud569\uc758\ub4e0 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ud575\ubb34\uae30 \ubcf4\uc720 \ubd88\uac00\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud611\uc0c1\uc774 \uacb0\ub82c\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0\ub97c \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ubbf8\uad70\uc5d0 \u2018\uc804\uba74\uc801 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uacf5\uaca9\u2019 \uc900\ube44 \ud0dc\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub77c\uace0 \uc9c0\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Drivers Of The Move<\/h3>\n<p>\uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \uc774\ud6c4 \uae08\uc740 \uc57d 15% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(\uc911\ub3d9 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud574\uc0c1 \uc694\ucda9\uc9c0) \uc8fc\ubcc0 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ub3c8\uc744 \uc870\uc774\ub294 \uc815\ucc45) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234(\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ucd5c\uc18c 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(25bp\u00b7\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 1bp=0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uc57d 50%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc77c\uc8fc\uc77c \uc804 35%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \uc218\uce58\ub2e4. \ubbf8 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac(\uc7a5\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 4.60% \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c 1\ub144 \ub0b4 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(\uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 99.33 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d(\ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ub17c\uc758\ub41c \ub0b4\uc6a9 \uc694\uc57d), \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 5\uc6d4 PMI \uc608\ube44\uce58(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218, \uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c), \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218(\uac00\uacc4 \uccb4\uac10\uacbd\uae30\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc870\uc0ac)\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801(\ucc28\ud2b8) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA\u00b7\uc77c\ubcc4 \uc885\uac00 \ud3c9\uade0\uc758 200\uc77c \uac12)\uc774 4,358\ub2ec\ub7ec, RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218, \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc4f0\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 40 \ubd80\uadfc, ADX(\ucd94\uc138 \uac15\ub3c4 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 19 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 4,705\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,793\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,850\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 4,500\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 4,358\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \uae08 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubd84\uc7c1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \uc720\uac00\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b0 \ub370 \uc788\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ud568\uaed8 \uc624\ub974\uba70, \uc774\uc790(\uc218\uc775)\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \uc870\uc131\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Trade Implications And Risks<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uac00\uc7a5 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.1% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 3.9%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc27d\uac8c \ub204\uadf8\ub7ec\ub728\ub9ac\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.5% \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \uae08 \ub300\uc2e0 \uc774\uc790\uac00 \ubd99\ub294 \uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \u2018\uae30\ud68c\ube44\uc6a9(\ub2e4\ub978 \uc120\ud0dd\uc744 \ud3ec\uae30\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc783\ub294 \uc218\uc775)\u2019\uc774 \uae08\uc5d0 \ud070 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158\ucc98\ub7fc \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488) \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \uc911 \u2018\uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM\u00b7Out-of-the-money, \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ud589\uc0ac\ud558\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uad6c\uac04)\u2019\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uac70\ub098, \ubca0\uc5b4 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\/\ud6a1\ubcf4 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 4,705\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub3fc \uc788\uc5b4, \uae08\uc774 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub118\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\uc81c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4. ADX\uac00 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uac15\ud55c \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub418\uba70, \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704) \ud639\uc740 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2025\ub144\uacfc\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc 3\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc548\uc815\ub418\uba70 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc9c4\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(\uad6d\uc81c \uc720\uac00\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 110\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c 8\uc8fc \ub118\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba70, \ubb3c\uac00 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub354 \uae4a\uac8c \uace0\ucc29\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc744 \ub354 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc555\ubc15\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae08 \ud558\ub77d(\ubca0\uc5b4\ub9ac\uc2dc) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc704\ud5d8\uc740 \uc774\ub780\uacfc\uc758 \uc678\uad50\uc801 \ub3cc\ud30c\uad6c\ub2e4. \uac80\uc99d \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uace0, \ubb3c\uac00 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\uba74 \uae08\uc744 \ub204\ub974\ub358 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \uc0ac\ub77c\uc838 \uae09\ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ud6c4\ubc18 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uacfc 5\uc6d4 PMI\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ud310\ub2e8 \ub2e8\uc11c\ub97c \ucc3e\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud558\ub294 4,358\ub2ec\ub7ec \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\uba74 \ub354 \uae4a\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138 \ud655\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1b\uc544\ub4e4\uc5ec\uc838, \ub354 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc20f(\ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ub298\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uac12 3\uc6d4\ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800\u2026\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1\uc740 \u2018\uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\u2019\ubfd0. \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\u2191, \ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uae08\uc5d0 \uc545\uc7ac. 4,358\ub2ec\ub7ec 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