{"id":46993,"date":"2026-05-19T06:50:41","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T06:50:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98-%ed%98%bc%eb%9e%80%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-05-19T06:50:41","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T06:50:41","slug":"%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98-%ed%98%bc%eb%9e%80%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98-%ed%98%bc%eb%9e%80%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc601\uad6d \uc815\uce58 \ud63c\ub780\uc73c\ub85c \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uc57d\uc138\u2026\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4, \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \ub300\uae30"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>GBP\/USD\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c 1.3415 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub0a0 \ub2a6\uac8c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud0a4\uc5b4 \uc2a4\ud0c0\uba38 \ucd1d\ub9ac\ub294 5\uc6d4 7\uc77c \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70 \ubd80\uc9c4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2f9\ub0b4 \ub9ac\ub354\uc2ed \uc704\uae30\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \ud575\uc2ec \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \uc0ac\uc784\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub4a4\ub530\ub790\uace0, \uc7ac\uc815 \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c \uc601\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44(\uae38\ud2b8\u00b7gilt) \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 28\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. *(\uae38\ud2b8\ub294 \uc601\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ubc1c\ud589\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4.)*<\/p>\n<h3>\uc601\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131<\/h3>\n<p>IMF(\uad6d\uc81c\ud1b5\ud654\uae30\uae08)\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uc62c\ud574 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\uc548\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uad6d\ub0b4 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc18c\ube44\uc640 \ud22c\uc790(\uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5 \ud22c\uc790)\ub97c \uc704\ucd95\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\u2019 \uc785\uc7a5(\ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294 \ud0dc\ub3c4)\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. CME FedWatch(\uc2dc\uce74\uace0\uc0c1\ud488\uac70\ub798\uc18c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 25bp(0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 35.0%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. *(bp\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \ub2e8\uc704\ub2e4.)*<\/p>\n<p>\uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c GBP\/USD\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc815\ubd80 \uc778\uc0ac \uc0ac\uc784\uacfc \uc7ac\uc815 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc774 \uac04\ub2e8\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. *(\uc635\uc158\uc740 \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc774\ub2e4.)*<\/p>\n<p>\uc601\uad6d 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae38\ud2b8 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 5.5%\uc5d0 \uc811\uadfc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 1998\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcf4\uae30 \ud798\ub4e0 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9(\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4)\uc774 \ube44\uc2f8\uc9c0\ubbc0\ub85c, \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uad6c\uc870)\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 1.3200\uc758 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uac8c \ubcf4\ub294 \u2018\ub77c\uc6b4\ub4dc \ub118\ubc84\u2019 \uac00\uaca9\ub300) \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub2e8\uae30 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c<\/h3>\n<p>\uc624\ub298 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub2f9\uc7a5\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud558\uba74 \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud574 \uae30\uc870 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 3.6% \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc798 \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. FedWatch\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac 35%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70 \ub354 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc8fc\uc758\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uacfc\uac70 \uc601\uad6d \uc7ac\uc815 \ucda9\uaca9 \ub54c\ucc98\ub7fc \uc815\ucc45 \uc2e0\ub8b0\uac00 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\uba70 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ucd9c\ub801\uc600\ub358 \uad6d\uba74\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uce21\uba74\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \ucf00\uc774\ube14(cable\u00b7GBP\/USD\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc4\uce6d)\uc758 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58\u2019)\uc774 20%\ub97c \ub118\uc73c\uba70 \uae09\ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \uc815\uce58 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc815\uce58 \ubd88\uc548 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ubd99\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8 \ubd80\ub2f4)\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc5ec \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. *(\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \u2018\uc635\uc158\uc758 \ube44\uc308\/\uc308\u2019\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4.)*<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc815\uce58 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \ud754\ub4e4\u201d\u2026GBP\/USD 1.3415 \ud558\ub77d. \uc2a4\ud0c0\uba38 \ub9ac\ub354\uc2ed \uc704\uae30\u00b7\uae38\ud2b8 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \ubd80\ub2f4, IMF \uc131\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uacbd\uace0. \ubbf8 \ubb3c\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0, \uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubd84\uc218\ub839. \ud48b\u00b7\ubca0\uc5b4\ud48b \uac80\ud1a0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46993","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46993","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46993"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46993\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46993"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46993"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46993"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}