{"id":46954,"date":"2026-05-18T21:51:08","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T21:51:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1-%ec%9e%ac%ed%8f%89%ea%b0%80-%ec%86%8d-rba-%ea%b8%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-05-18T21:51:08","modified_gmt":"2026-05-18T21:51:08","slug":"td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1-%ec%9e%ac%ed%8f%89%ea%b0%80-%ec%86%8d-rba-%ea%b8%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%89-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1-%ec%9e%ac%ed%8f%89%ea%b0%80-%ec%86%8d-rba-%ea%b8%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"TD\uc99d\uad8c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 ‘\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1’ \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00 \uc18d RBA \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc815\uc810 4.60% \uc804\ub9dd \uc720\uc9c0"},"content":{"rendered":"

TD\uc99d\uad8c(TD Securities)\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uc778 \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(cash rate)\ub97c \ucd5c\uace0 4.60%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub9b4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 TD\uac00 2\uc6d4 \ucc98\uc74c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc73c\ub85c, \ud604\uc7ac\ub3c4 \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

TD\ub294 5\uc6d4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc131\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 6\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc18c\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4\uace0 \ud574\uc11d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, RBA \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d(minutes\u00b7\ud68c\uc758\ub85d)\uc5d0 \uc774\uc0ac\ud68c\uac00 6\uc6d4 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc811\uadfc\ud55c \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \ub354 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ub2f4\uae38 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub300\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c<\/h3>\n

TD \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ub2e4\uc74c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 8\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc774\ub904\uc838 \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.60%\ub85c \uc815\uc810\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2025\ub144 \ub17c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 RBA\uac00 \uacb0\uad6d \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.60%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub9b4 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\uace0, 8\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \ud575\uc2ec \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\uac00 \u2018\ub108\ubb34 \ube60\ub978 \uc778\uc0c1\u2019\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub9dd\uc124\uc784\uc744 \ub0b4\ube44\ucce4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c, \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc810\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc 4.60% \uc815\uc810\uc740 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 4.35%\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\uace0, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uc740 \uc798 \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 3.6%\ub85c RBA \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704(2~3%)\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70, \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \u2018\ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8(\uad6c\uc778\ub09c\uc774 \ud06c\uace0 \uc778\ub825 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uac15\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc)\u2019\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc838 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4%\ub97c \uc870\uae08 \ub118\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n

\uc774 \uc870\ud569\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\ubbf8\ub798 \uae08\ub9ac\ub098 \uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5c8\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0, \u2018\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc791\uc9c0\ub9cc \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. ASX 30\uc77c \uc740\ud589\uac04 \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(30 Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures\u00b730\uc77c \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)\uc740 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b70.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 40%\ub85c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \u2018\uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\u2019\ubcf4\ub2e4 \u2018\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\u2019\uc774 \ub354 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc704\ud5d8 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c RBA \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uacf5\uac1c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5(\uc608: \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b4\uc218\ub85d \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uad6c\uc870)\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778) \ub258\uc559\uc2a4\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ud504\ub7f0\ud2b8\uc5d4\ub4dc \uc2a4\uc651(\ub2e8\uae30 \uad6c\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651\u00b7\uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uad50\ud658\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1\u201d \ubcf5\ubcd1? TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 RBA \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc815\uc810 4.60%(8\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1) \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0. \ubb3c\uac00 3.6%\u00b7\ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\uc5d0 9\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 40%, \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ubca0\ud305 \uc720\ub9ac.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46954","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46954","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46954"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46954\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46954"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46954"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46954"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}