NZD\/USD\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c 0.5830\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uc57d\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\uc628 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD)\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc911\uad6d\uc758 4\uc6d4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4(\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \ubb3c\uac74\uc744 \uc0b0 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 0.2% \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\uccd0 3\uc6d4(1.7%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud06c\uac8c \ub454\ud654\ud588\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(2.0%)\ub3c4 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0(\uacf5\uc7a5\u00b7\uad11\uc0b0\u00b7\uc804\uae30 \ub4f1 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud65c\ub3d9\uc758 \uc99d\uac00\uc728)\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.1% \uc99d\uac00\ub85c, \uc774\uc804(5.7%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uace0 \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4(5.9%)\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubabb \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubbf8\uad6d \ucabd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub048\uc9c8\uae30\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74\uc11c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4. Fed \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ucd5c\uc6b0\uc120 \uacfc\uc81c\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uace0, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc30\uc81c\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
CME FedWatch(\ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc120\ubb3c\uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud574 \ud655\ub960\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 Fed\uac00 12\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(25bp\u00b7bp\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ub2e8\uc704\ub85c 1bp=0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 48.4%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc77c\uc8fc\uc77c \uc804 14.3%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub978 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD) \uac15\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ\u00b7\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589)\uc740 \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 1~3% \ubc94\uc704\ub85c \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\uace0, 2% \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc911\uc2ec \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ub454\ub2e4. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc911\uad6d \uc218\uc694, \uc720\uc81c\ud488(\ub099\ub18d) \uc218\ucd9c \uac00\uaca9, \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638(\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
NZD\/USD\uac00 0.5830\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\ud574\uc9c4 \ubc30\uacbd\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0\ub2e4. \ucd5c\ub300 \uad50\uc5ed\uad6d\uc778 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc92c\uace0, \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 Fed\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc0b4\uc544\ub098\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc911\uad6d\uc758 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\uc640 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uace0 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud574 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4. \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218\u00b750\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\/\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \uc124\ubb38 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub3c4 50.8\ub85c \ud655\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74\uc774\uae34 \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2e0\uaddc \uc218\ucd9c \uc8fc\ubb38\uc774 \uae09\uac10\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uc218\ucd9c \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ud070 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubc18\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \ud55c\uce35 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.4%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 Fed \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. 12\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 50%\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud55c \uac83\uc740 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc6b0\uc138\ud588\ub358 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \ud06c\uac8c \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774(\ub450 \ub098\ub77c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669)\ub294 \uc8fc\uc758 \uae4a\uac8c \ubcfc \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. Fed\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uace0\ubbfc\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\uc774, RBNZ\ub294 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 4.0%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\ub77c\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc548\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub450 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub610\ud55c \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc218\ucd9c\ud488\uc778 \uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uac00\uaca9\ub3c4 \uc57d\uc138\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uacbd\ub9e4(Global Dairy Trade\u00b7\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 2.1% \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74(\uc218\ucd9c\uac00\uaca9 \ub300\ube44 \uc218\uc785\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uc218\uc900)\uc744 \uc545\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\ubc1c \uc545\uc7ac\ub85c \uc774\ubbf8 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c4 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc555\ubc15\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 0.6000\uc120 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0 \uae68\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, 2025\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub358 \uc800\uc810 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uacfc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc810\uac80\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud568\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba74 \uc774 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \ub354 \ube68\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
NZD\/USD 0.5830\uc120 \ubd95\uad34\u2026\uc911\uad6d \uc18c\ub9e4\u00b7\uc0b0\uc5c5\uc9c0\ud45c \uc1fc\ud06c\uc5d0 \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud754\ub4e4, Fed 12\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 48%\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138. \uc720\uc81c\ud488\uac12 \ud558\ub77d\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacb9\uccd0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825 \ud655\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46882","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46882","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46882"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46882\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46882"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46882"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46882"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}