GBP\/USD\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uae09\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c\uae4c\uc9c0 5\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825 \uc544\ub798 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub85c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc2dc\uac04\ub300 1.3300\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub838\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 4\uc6d4 8\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\ub3c4 \u2018\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(\uc704\uae30 \ub54c \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0)\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uc5ec\uaca8\uc9c0\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \u201c\uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc5c6\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\uace0, \ud0c0\uc784\uc2a4\uc624\ube0c\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc740 \ud1a0\uc694\uc77c \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucd94\uac00 \uacf5\uc870 \uacf5\uaca9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uad70\uc0ac \uc900\ube44\ub97c \uc9c4\uc804\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ub780 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uacfc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uac08\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ud569\uc758 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc720\uac00\uac00 2\uc8fc \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6e0\uace0, CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud574 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 Fed\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 50% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac(\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960)\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \ubcf4\ud0f0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654(\uc2a4\ud138\ub9c1)\ub3c4 \uc601\uad6d \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \ub178\ub3d9\ub2f9\uc774 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \ud328\ubc30\ud55c \ub4a4 \ud0a4\uc5b4 \uc2a4\ud0c0\uba38 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uc758 \uc0ac\ud1f4 \uc694\uad6c\uac00 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc\uc5d0\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c, \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc5b4 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE) \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uc758 \uae30\uc6d0\uc740 \uc11c\uae30 886\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac70\uc2ac\ub7ec \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\uba70, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc678\ud658(FX\u00b7\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ub098\ub77c \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \uad50\ud658\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5) \uac70\ub798\uc758 12%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4(2022\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \ud558\ub8e8 \uc57d 6,300\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec). \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 GBP\/USD(11%), GBP\/JPY(3%), EUR\/GBP(2%)\uc774\uba70, BoE\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 2%\ub85c \ub9de\ucd94\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
GBP\/USD\uac00 1.3300\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc9c0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc810\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc57d\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. 10\ub144\ubb3c \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 4.75% \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \ubc84\ud2f0\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcf4\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6e0\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc744 \uc790\uadf9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ub098\uc640\ub3c4 \u2018\ub418\ud314\uae30(\uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \ub9e4\ub3c4)\u2019 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\uc548\uacfc \ub192\uc740 \uc720\uac00\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. WTI(\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900 \uc720\uc885) \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc694\uc778\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 Fed(\ud1b5\ud654\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638)\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uba70, \ucd5c\uc2e0 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ub3c4\uad6c\ub294 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c \ud55c \ubc88\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 62%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \u2018\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ud1b5\ud654\u2019\ub85c \ub0a8\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubc18\uba74 \uc601\uad6d \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\ub294 \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\uc548\uc5d0 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\uace0\ube0c(YouGov\u00b7\uc5ec\ub860\uc870\uc0ac \uae30\uad00) \uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2a4\ud0c0\uba38 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uc758 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc728\uc740 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70 \ubd80\uc9c4 \uc774\ud6c4 28%\ub85c \uae09\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ud575\uc2ec \uc7a5\uad00 \uc0ac\uc784\uc740 \uc815\ubd80 \ub0b4\ubd80 \uade0\uc5f4\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc815\uce58 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uc5d0 \ud070 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba70 \ud574\uc678 \ud22c\uc790 \uc720\uc785\uc744 \uc704\ucd95\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc601\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1(\ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\u00b7\ub2e4\uc218 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 \ud3c9\uade0)\uc740 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.5%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)\uac00 3.1%\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ucabd\uc774\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub192\uc73c\uba74 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uc815\uce58 \ud63c\ub780\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\uba74 BoE\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ubbf8\ub8e8\uac70\ub098 \uc2e0\uc911\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u201c\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \ucd94\ub77d, \uc5b4\ub514\uae4c\uc9c0?\u201d GBP\/USD\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 1.3300\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d. Fed \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305 \uac15\ud654\uc640 \uc601\uad6d \uc815\uce58\ubd88\uc548\uc774 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46876","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46876","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46876"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46876\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46876"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46876"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46876"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}