{"id":46856,"date":"2026-05-16T02:54:12","date_gmt":"2026-05-16T02:54:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/cftc-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%c2%b7%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%ea%b8%88-%ed%88%ac%ea%b8%b0%ec%a0%81-%ec%88%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-05-16T02:54:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-16T02:54:12","slug":"cftc-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%c2%b7%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%ea%b8%88-%ed%88%ac%ea%b8%b0%ec%a0%81-%ec%88%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/cftc-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%c2%b7%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%ea%b8%88-%ed%88%ac%ea%b8%b0%ec%a0%81-%ec%88%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"CFTC \ub370\uc774\ud130: \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uacac\uc870\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc18d \uae08 \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218 \uc99d\uac00"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc0c1\ud488\uc120\ubb3c\uac70\ub798\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(CFTC) \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uae08 \ube44\uc0c1\uc5c5(Non-commercial\u00b7\uc0c1\uc5c5\uc801 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubaa9\uc801\uc774 \uc544\ub2cc \ub300\ud615 \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825) \uc21c\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(net positions\u00b7\ub9e4\uc218(\ub871)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f)\uc744 \ube80 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218 \uaddc\ubaa8)\uc774 17\ub9cc1,600\uacc4\uc57d(K\u00b7\ucc9c \ub2e8\uc704)\uc73c\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c1\uc804 \uc218\uce58\ub294 16\ub9cc3,300\uacc4\uc57d\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub294 \uc774\uc804 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \ub300\ube44 \uc21c\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 8,300\uacc4\uc57d \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ucc9c \ub2e8\uc704(K)\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub300\ud615 \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825\uc774 \uae08 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218(\ub137 \ub871\u00b7\uc21c\ub9e4\uc218 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158)\ub97c \ud655\ub300\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uae08\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac15\uc138 \ubca0\ud305\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ub298\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825 \uc788\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 \uae08\uac12 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uac70\ub798) \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc2dc\uc810\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc9c0\ud45c) \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c\ub3c4 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub41c\ub2e4. CPI\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uc774 3.8%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub3fc \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \ud1b5\uc0c1 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74 \uac00\uce58 \ubcf4\uc874 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uae08(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc790\uc0b0)\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \uc720\uc785\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc740 2022~2024\ub144 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138(\uae30\ucd08 \uc5ec\uac74) \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c(futures\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \ud45c\uc900\ud654 \uacc4\uc57d) \ub871 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774\ub098 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option\u00b7\ub9cc\uae30 \uc804 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(U.S. Dollar Index\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc218)\uac00 103.5 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \ud574\uc678 \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdb0 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uc728 \uc694\uc778\ub3c4 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \ubcf4\ud0e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc791\ub144\uc778 2025\ub144 \uc5ec\ub984\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc21c\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ud655\ub300\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ub4a4 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc800\ud56d\uc120(resistance\u00b7\uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \ub9c9\ud788\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba70 \uac15\ud55c \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\ucc98\ub7fc \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140(momentum\u00b7\ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubc00\uc5b4\uc8fc\ub294 \ud798)\uc774 \uc313\uc774\uba74 4~6\uc8fc \uc548\uc5d0 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c, \ud604\uc7ac \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3cc\ud30c(breakout\u00b7\uc800\ud56d \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \ub610\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread\u00b7\ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218+\ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub85c \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud3ed\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uace0 \ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc544\uc6b8\ub7ec \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131)\uc744 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba74 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \uc784\ubc15\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08 \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218 17\ub9cc1,600\uacc4\uc57d\u2026\uac15\uc138 \ubca0\ud305 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654. CPI 3.8%\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uae08 \ub9e4\ub825 \ud0a4\uc6cc 4~6\uc8fc \u2018\ub3cc\ud30c\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131. 6~7\uc6d4 \ucf5c\u00b7\ubd88\ucf5c\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46856","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46856","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46856"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46856\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46856"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46856"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46856"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}