NZD\/USD\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 0.4% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uc7a5\uc911 \uc800\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \ub9c8\ucce4\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub3c4 \ub113\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984)\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 3\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uace0\uc810\uc778 0.6120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud604\uc9c0 \uc7a5 \ub9c8\uac10 \ud6c4 4\uc6d4 \ube44\uc988\ub2c8\uc2a4NZ PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 50\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\uba74 \ud655\uc7a5, \uc544\ub798\uba74 \uc704\ucd95)\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4(\uc774\uc804 53.2). PSI(\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uacbd\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc8fc\ub9d0\uc5d0 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4(\uc774\uc804 46). 1\ubd84\uae30 PPI \uc0b0\ucd9c(\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ucd9c\ud558\ud558\ub294 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00)\uc740 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc911\uad6d\uc758 4\uc6d4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0\uacfc \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc804 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44(YoY\u00b7\uc804\ub144 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04 \ub300\ube44) \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uac01\uac01 5.7%, 1.7%\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\uc740 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uac00 \uc911\uad6d\uacfc \ubb34\uc5ed \uc5f0\uacc4\uac00 \ud06c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc911\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 4\uc6d4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\uac00 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44(MoM\u00b7\uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44) 0.5% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218(Initial Jobless Claims\u00b7\uc8fc\uac04 \uace0\uc6a9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc120\ud589 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 21\ub9cc1000\uac74\uc73c\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 20\ub9cc5000\uac74\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \uc218\uc694\uc77c FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d(\ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \ud68c\uc758 \uae30\ub85d)\uacfc, \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218 \ubc0f 1\ub144 \uae30\ub300\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ud5a5\ud6c4 1\ub144 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd; \uc774\uc804 4.5%)\uc744 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
5\ubd84\ubd09(\uc544\uc8fc \ub2e8\uae30 \uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 0.5916 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c, \ub2f9\uc77c \uc2dc\uac00 0.5937 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI(\uacfc\ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc8fc\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \ud558\ub2e8 \ubc34\ub4dc(\uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \ub0ae\uc740 \uad6c\uac04) \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc644\ub9cc\ud788 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd09(\ud558\ub8e8 \ub2e8\uc704 \ucc28\ud2b8)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 NZD\/USD\uac00 0.5916 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c 50\uc77c EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\u00b7\ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \uac00\uc911\uce58\ub97c \uc8fc\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0) \uc57d 0.5884\uc640 200\uc77c EMA \uc57d 0.5864 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI\ub294 78 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
2025\ub144 \uc911\ubc18\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74 NZD\/USD\ub294 0.5916 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uac07\ud600 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\uc73c\uba70 \uad6d\ub0b4(\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc) \uc7ac\ub8cc\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ubaa8\uba58\ud140(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub824\ub294 \ud798)\uc774 \uc313\uc774\ub294 \ub4ef\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc7a5\uae30 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc774 \ubd88\ubd84\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uba70 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucef8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\uc774 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc740 1\ub144 \ub118\uac8c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(OCR\u00b7\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 5.50%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00)\uac00 3.9%\ub85c \ub098\uc640 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba74\uc11c, \uae34\ucd95 \uc131\ud5a5(\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc870)\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uc9c0\uae08\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub35c \ubd84\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc774 1\ub144 \uc804 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \ucd08 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud6c4 \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \uba48\ucd98 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc774\uba70, \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)\uc774 \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc774\uc720\ub85c \ub4e0\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc218\uce58\uc0c1 \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 3.2% \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc791\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ucc3e\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 \uacac\uc870\ud588\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c)\uc740 19\ub9cc5000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
2025\ub144 \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub358 \uc911\uad6d \uc601\ud5a5\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD\u00b7\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc758 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 5.5% \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \ubb34\ub09c\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\uac00 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ubabb \ubbf8\uce58\uba70 \uc911\uad6d \uc18c\ube44 \uc218\uc694 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc774\ub2ec \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uacbd\ub9e4(GDT\u00b7\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc720\uc81c\ud488 \uc218\ucd9c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \uad6d\uc81c \uacbd\ub9e4) \uacb0\uacfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 2.1% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c \uc218\uc775\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc555\ubc15\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
NZD\/USD 0.4% \ud558\ub77d, 0.6120 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8 \uc2e4\ud328\u2026\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc18d \ubcc0\uc218\ub294 \u2018\uc9c0\ud45c\u2019. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc PMI\u00b7PPI, \uc911\uad6d \uc0b0\uc5c5\u00b7\uc18c\ub9e4, \ubbf8\uad6d FOMC\u00b7\uc18c\ube44\uc2ec\ub9ac \ub300\uae30. \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub85c RBNZ \ub9e4\ud30c, Fed \uc2e0\uc911, GDT \ud558\ub77d \ubd80\ub2f4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46764","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46764","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46764"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46764\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46764"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46764"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46764"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}