{"id":46636,"date":"2026-05-13T16:24:30","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T16:24:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9e%ac%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ea%b3%bc-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ec%b0%a8%ec%a7%88%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9b%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-05-13T16:24:30","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T16:24:30","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9e%ac%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ea%b3%bc-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ec%b0%a8%ec%a7%88%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9b%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9e%ac%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ea%b3%bc-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ec%b0%a8%ec%a7%88%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9b%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ucc28\uc9c8\ub85c \uc6cc\uc2dc\uc758 \uc870\uae30 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc758\ubb38\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc624\ub974\uace0 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ucc28\uae30 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uc758\uc7a5 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uccb4\uc81c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc870\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub354 \ubd88\ud22c\uba85\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uac01\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801(\ub2e8\uae30\uc801) \ud604\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ubd09\uc1c4\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud574\ud611\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud1b5\ub85c\ub85c, \ubd09\uc1c4\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub418\uba74 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uac70\ub098 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9<\/h3>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uac70\ub098, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300(\uac00\uacc4\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5\u00b7\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba74 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uae30\uad6c)\ub294 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638)\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd80 FOMC \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc81c\uae30\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ub2e8\ud589\ud558\uae30\uac00 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c4\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc774\uc288\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc7ac\uc810\uac80\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\ubd80\ud130 \ub204\uc801\ub41c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc9c4\uc815\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c, \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub4f1 \uacbd\uae30 \ubd80\uc591 \ucabd\uc758 \uc815\ucc45)\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud558\uae30\ub294 \ub354 \uae4c\ub2e4\ub85c\uc6cc\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9 \ubc18\uc601\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138<\/h3>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uad6c\uc785\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.8% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c(\ud1b5\uc0c1 2%)\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub2e4. \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubd09\uc1c4\uac00 \ud574\uacb0\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c, 6\uc6d4\ubb3c WTI \uc6d0\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c(\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720\ub97c \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \ud45c\uc900\ud654\ub41c \uc120\ubb3c \uacc4\uc57d)\uc740 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ubc18\ub300\ud558\ub294 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ud798\uc744 \uc2e3\ub294\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc2a4\uc651 \ub4f1)\uc740 \u2018\ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294\u2019(higher for longer) \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \ub354 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed Funds futures\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c) \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba74, 7\uc6d4 FOMC\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc774\ub904\uc9c8 \ud655\ub960\uc740 20% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ub9d0 \uc57d 60%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub418\ub358 \uac83\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uac70\ub098 \uc624\ub974\uace0, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc758 \ud06c\uae30)\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654(\ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uae34\ucd95 \uc720\uc9c0, \ub2e4\ub978 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc740 \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ud655\ub300)\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uac15\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 12\uac1c\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc778 107.50 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub978 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \ub354 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc5b8\uae09\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc9c4\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ucde8\uc57d\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uad8c \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\uc0c1\ub300 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub9e4\ub3c4)\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 2022\ub144 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uacbd\uae30 \uce68\uccb4 \uc6b0\ub824\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc6b0\uc120\ud588\ub358 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \ub5a0\uc62c\ub9ac\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc758 \uc804\ub840\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc2e0\ub8b0(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815 \uc758\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubbff\uc74c)\ub97c \ud6fc\uc190\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \u2018\uc131\uae09\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\u2019\ub97c \ud53c\ud558\ub824 \ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub4f1 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\uc870\ub85c\uc758 \uc804\ud658)\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc77c\uc774 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ubcc0\uc218\u201d\uc5d0 \ubb3c\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub4e4\uc369. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uae09\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uccb4\uc81c \uc870\uae30 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \uae09\ub7ad, higher for longer \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01. Fed \uc120\ubb3c \uc778\ud558\ud655\ub960 20%\u2193, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7DXY 107.5.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46636","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46636","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46636"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46636\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46636"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46636"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46636"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}