\ucf54\uba54\ub974\uce20\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc624\ub974\uace0 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \ucc28\uae30 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uc758\uc7a5\uc778 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc\uac00 \uc870\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2e4\ud589\ud558\uae30\uac00 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\ub294 \uc815\ucc45) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uc218\ubc16\uc5d0 \uc5c6\uc5b4, \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0ae\ucdb0 \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \ub3d5\ub294 \uc815\ucc45) \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc740\ud589\uc740 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc744 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc694\uc778\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ubd09\uc1c4\ub418\uace0 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub354 \uc624\ub974\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uace0 \uae30\ub300\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1)\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub610 \uc77c\ubd80 FOMC(\uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \uae30\uad6c) \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc81c\uae30\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uae30\uac04\uc774 \uae38\uc5b4\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ub2e8\ud589\ud558\uae30\uac00 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c4\ub2e4\uace0\ub3c4 \ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ucf54\uba54\ub974\uce20\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc0c1\ud669 \uc804\uac1c\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc6cc\uc2dc\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc774\ub04c \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\uad6c\uc2ec\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\uace0, \uc774\ub7f0 \ubc30\uacbd\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ucd5c\uadfc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c, \uc6cc\uc2dc\ub294 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc804\ub0a0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 4\uc6d4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.9% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574, \uc5ec\ub984 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654 \ucd94\uc9c4\uc774 \uc27d\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ubc88 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uacfc \uadf8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc774 \uc720\uc870\uc120 \ud1b5\ud589\uc5d0 \ub2eb\ud78c \uc0c1\ud0dc\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(\uad6d\uc81c \uc720\uac00 \ub300\ud45c \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 115\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc6b4\uc1a1\u00b7\uc81c\uc870\u00b7\uc804\uae30\uc694\uae08 \ub4f1 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ubc18 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ubc00\uc5b4\uc62c\ub824 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uae38\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ucda9\uaca9\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uae30\ub294 \uc5b4\ub835\uace0, \uc6cc\uc2dc\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc00\uc5b4\ubd99\uc774\uae30 \ud798\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud588\ub2e4. CME FedWatch Tool(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uce74\uace0\uc0c1\ud488\uac70\ub798\uc18c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\u00b7\uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960 \ucd94\uc815 \ub3c4\uad6c) \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 7\uc6d4 FOMC \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub2e8\ud589\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804 70%\ub97c \ub118\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 15% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5)\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ubc14\uafb8\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984)\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uba48\ucd98 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub3c4 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \u2018\uace0\ucc29\ud654\u2019(\ub192\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc77c\ubd80 FOMC \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc758 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uac00 \uc624\ub798 \uac08\uc218\ub85d \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ubc14\uafb8\uae30 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \u2018\ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub798\u2019 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\ub3c4 \uc81c\uae30\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uc120\ubb3c \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158) \uac70\ub798\uac00 \ub298\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ucc44\uad8c \uac00\uaca9 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d(\uc989 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub610\ub294 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\uc18d)\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc120\ud0dd \ud3ed\uc744 \uc881\ud788\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc644\ud654 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654(\ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc720\uc9c0, \ub2e4\ub978 \ub098\ub77c\ub294 \uc644\ud654 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uae30 \uc27d\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4. DXY(\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc14\uc2a4\ucf13\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158) \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \uc774\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c(\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\uac00 \uac15\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uc640 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u201c\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ubd09\uc1c4+\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\u201d\uc774 \ubbf8 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654? \ucf54\uba54\ub974\uce20\ubc29\ud06c, CPI 3.9%\uc5d0 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc870\uae30\uc778\ud558 \ub09c\ud56d\u00b7\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654 \uacbd\uace0. 7\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558\ud655\ub960 70%\u219215%, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc9c0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46635","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46635","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46635"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46635\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46635"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46635"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46635"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}