{"id":46521,"date":"2026-05-08T23:24:26","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T23:24:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%84%bc%ec%b6%94%eb%a6%ac-%ec%95%8c%eb%a3%a8%eb%af%b8%eb%8a%84-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%80-%ec%95%8c%eb%a3%a8%eb%af%b8%eb%8a%84-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-53%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%a7%80\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T23:24:26","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T23:24:26","slug":"%ec%84%bc%ec%b6%94%eb%a6%ac-%ec%95%8c%eb%a3%a8%eb%af%b8%eb%8a%84-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%80-%ec%95%8c%eb%a3%a8%eb%af%b8%eb%8a%84-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-53%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%a7%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%84%bc%ec%b6%94%eb%a6%ac-%ec%95%8c%eb%a3%a8%eb%af%b8%eb%8a%84-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%80-%ec%95%8c%eb%a3%a8%eb%af%b8%eb%8a%84-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-53%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%a7%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc13c\ucd94\ub9ac \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284 \uc8fc\uac00, \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284 \uac00\uaca9 \uc57d\uc138 \uc18d 53\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\u00b765~68\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uc8fc\ubaa9"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uc13c\ucd94\ub9ac \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284(CENX)\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0ac\uc5c5\uc744 \ud558\ub294 1\ucc28 \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284(\uc6d0\uad11\u00b7\uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub098\ub97c \uc804\ud574\ud574 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc18c\uc7ac) \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc5c5\uccb4\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uac00\ub294 \uc624\ub298 \uc624\uc804 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, 3\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uc57d 46\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 4\uc6d4 \ucd08 68~69\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \ub4a4 \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d\uc138 \ubc18\uc804(\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uaebe\uc774\uba70 \ud558\ub77d \uc804\ud658)\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

4\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc8fc\uac00\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uacfc \uc800\ud56d\uc120(\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\ub2e4. \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 1\ucc28 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 53.25\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac2d \uba54\uc6c0(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\u00b7\uae09\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \uc0dd\uae34 \u2018\ube48 \uad6c\uac04\u2019\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ucc44\uc6b0\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)\uc774\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac\uac00 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 10~11% \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Key Support Levels<\/h3>\n

\uadf8 \uc544\ub798\ub85c 0.786 \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\uc774\uc804 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc758 78.6%\ub97c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9b0 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \ud6c4\ubcf4\ub85c \uc790\uc8fc \uc0ac\uc6a9)\uc774 51.13\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc788\uace0, \ud53c\ubc97(\uc774\uc804 \uace0\uc810\u00b7\uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uacc4\uc0b0\u00b7\ud655\uc778\ub418\ub294 \uae30\uc900 \uac00\uaca9\ub300) \uc218\uc900\uacfc \uacb9\uce5c\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 46.65\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac2d \uba54\uc6c0\uc73c\ub85c, \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \uc218\uc900 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc0c1\ubc29\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc2dc \ub450 \uac1c\uc758 \uc800\ud56d \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uccab \ubc88\uc9f8\ub294 65.61\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac2d \uba54\uc6c0\uc73c\ub85c, \ud604\uc7ac\uac00 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 8% \uc704\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc800\ud56d \uad6c\uac04\uc740 68.29\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac00\uaca9\ub300\ub294 \ub354\ube14 \ud1b1(\ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uace0\uc810\uc744 \ub450 \ubc88 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uaebe\uc774\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \uc2e0\ud638)\uacfc \uc774\uc804 \ud53c\ubc97 \uace0\uc810\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\uba70, 4\uc6d4 \ucd08 \ubc18\uc804 \uad6c\uac04\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uac00 \uc704\ub85c\uc758 \ub3cc\ud30c\ub294 \u2018\ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3(\uc911\uc694 \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \ub118\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2e0\ud638)\u2019\uc73c\ub85c, \uc704\ud5d8 \uad00\ub9ac\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

3~4\uc6d4 \uae09\ub4f1 \uc774\ud6c4 CENX\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \uc7a1\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub7f0\ub358\uae08\uc18d\uac70\ub798\uc18c(LME) \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 5% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \ud1a4\ub2f9 2,550\ub2ec\ub7ec \uadfc\ucc98\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc628 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \uc790\uc5f0\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc8fc\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294\uc9c0 \uad00\ucc30\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \ub178\ub9b0\ub2e4\uba74 53.25\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac2d \uba54\uc6c0\uc774 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \ub9e4\ub9e4\uc758 1\ucc28 \uad00\uc2ec \uad6c\uac04\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub098 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc190\uc2e4 \uc704\ud5d8) \uac19\uc740 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \ub2e8\uae30 \uae09\ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \uc804\uc81c\ub85c \ud55c \uace0\uc704\ud5d8 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9 \ub4f1\ub77d \ud3ed)\uc774 \ud070 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub7f0 \ucd08\uae30 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc57d\uc138 \uc18d\uc5d0 \uc27d\uac8c \ubb34\ub108\uc9c4 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Short Setup And Risk Control<\/h3>\n

\ub354 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc740 46.65\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 \uac2d \uba54\uc6c0\uacfc \ud575\uc2ec \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uacb9\uccd0 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ubc14\ub2e5(\ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uba48\ucd9c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uac00\uaca9\ub300) \ud6c4\ubcf4\ub85c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uadfc\uac70\uac00 \ub354 \uac15\ud558\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218, 50 \uc774\uc0c1\uc774\uba74 \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\u00b7\ubbf8\ub9cc\uc774\uba74 \uc704\ucd95)\uac00 49.8\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc704\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a4\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub9e4\uc218\uc5d0\ub294 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uadfc\uac70\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc704\ud5d8 \ub300\ube44 \uae30\ub300\uc218\uc775(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c-\ub9ac\uc6cc\ub4dc) \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud2b9\ud788 \u2018\uc548\ub3c4 \ub7a0\ub9ac(\uae09\ub77d \ub4a4 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc)\u2019\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud558\ub77d(\uc20f) \ucabd\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 65.61\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac2d \uba54\uc6c0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c\uc624\uba74 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \uacf5\ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc744 \ube4c\ub824 \ud314\uace0, \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba74 \uc0ac\uc11c \uac1a\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \uc9c4\uc785 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c \uc2e4\uc801 \ubc1c\ud45c \ucee8\ud37c\ub7f0\uc2a4\ucf5c\uc5d0\uc11c \ud68c\uc0ac\uac00 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc218\uc694\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4(\uc804\ub9dd)\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c \uc810\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud575\uc2ec \uacf5\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 4\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ubc00\ub824\ub09c 68.29\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc \ub354\ube14 \ud1b1 \uc601\uc5ed\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc2e4\ud328\ud558\uba74 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7a1\uc740 \uc20f \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uac00 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uc5d0 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud55c \uc2a4\ud1b1(\uc190\uc808\ub9e4 \uae30\uc900)\uc744 \ub450\ub294 \uac8c \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uace0\uc810\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba74 \uc57d\uc138 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \ubb34\ud6a8\uac00 \ub418\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uae09\ub4f1 \ub4a4 \uc228\uace0\ub978 CENX, \ucd94\uc138\ub294 \ud558\ubc29. 53.25\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac2d\u00b751.13\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud53c\ubcf4 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc8fc\ubaa9, \ubd95\uad34 \ub550 46.65\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f4\ub824. \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc800\ud56d 65.61\u00b768.29\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ub3cc\ud30c \uc804\uae4c\uc9c4 \uc20f \uc6b0\uc704.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46521","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46521","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46521"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46521\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46521"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46521"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46521"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}