{"id":46499,"date":"2026-05-08T16:57:12","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T16:57:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9a%b0%ec%9c%84-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%eb%9e%a0%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a3%bc%ec%b6%a4%ec%98%b5%ec%85%98-%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%90\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T16:57:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T16:57:12","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9a%b0%ec%9c%84-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%eb%9e%a0%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a3%bc%ec%b6%a4%ec%98%b5%ec%85%98-%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9a%b0%ec%9c%84-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ec%97%90-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ed%99%94-%eb%9e%a0%eb%a6%ac-%ec%a3%bc%ec%b6%a4%ec%98%b5%ec%85%98-%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%90\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uc6b0\uc704 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ub7a0\ub9ac \uc8fc\ucda4\u2026\uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud050\ub294 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 0.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, G10 \ud1b5\ud654(\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uc720\ub85c\u00b7\uc5d4\u00b7\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\u00b7\uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\ud504\ub791\u00b7\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uc2a4\uc6e8\ub374\ud06c\ub85c\ub098\u00b7\ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774\ud06c\ub85c\ub124) \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc911\uac04 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ub3c5\uc77c \ubb34\uc5ed \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubbf8\uad6d\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uac08\ub4f1\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \ubd84\uc704\uae30(\uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub354 \uc0ac\ub824\ub294 \uc2ec\ub9ac)\uac00 \uc720\ub85c\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc720\ub85c\uc874\uacfc \ub2e4\ub978 \ub098\ub77c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \ucc28\uc774)\ub294 \uc881\ud600\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 ECB(\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub4f1 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub354 \ube61\ube61\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \uac83) \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 6\uc6d4\uc5d0 19bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 1bp=0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8)\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, 4\uc6d4 30\uc77c \uc815\ucc45\ud68c\uc758 \ud6c4 \uc815\uc810 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 10bp \ub0ae\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubcc0\ud654<\/h3>\n<p>\uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub9ac\ubc84\uc124(\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9 \ucc28\uc774\ub85c, \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uac15\ud55c\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc774 \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ubcf4\ud638 \uc218\uc694 \uac10\uc18c\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9) \uc911\uc2ec\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ubcf4\ud638(\uc720\ub85c \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158) \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uacfc 2026\ub144 \ucd08\uc5d0 \uad00\ucc30\ub410\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub3c5\uc77c \ubb34\uc5ed \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 3\uc6d4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\uc785 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\ub294 7\uc6d4 4\uc77c\uc744 \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubb34\uc5ed \uae34\uc7a5\uacfc \uad00\uc138 \uc704\ud611 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0\ub294 \ud070 \ubc18\uc751\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c(EUR\/USD \ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900), \ud658\uc728\uc740 1.16\ub300 \uc911\ud6c4\ubc18\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 1~3\uc6d4 \ud558\ub77d\ubd84\uc758 38.2% \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uc218\uc900(\ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \ube44\uc728\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ud754\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uad6c\uac04) \uadfc\ucc98\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 1.1746\uc758 \uc911\uac04 \uc9c0\uc810\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4 61.8% \uc218\uc900\uc778 1.1825\ub97c \ud5a5\ud574 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218, \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d\uc758 \ud798\uc744 0~100\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 50\ub300 \ud6c4\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c, \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc94\uc704\ub294 1.1720~1.1820\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ub410\uace0, 1.20\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 1\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810 \uc7ac\ub3c4\uc804 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc5f4\ub824 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud604\uc7ac \uac70\uc2dc \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc2e0\uc911\ub860\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c<\/h3>\n<p>2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uba70, 1\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810\uc774\uc5c8\ub358 1.20 \ubd80\uadfc \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc81c\uae30\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \uad6c\uac04 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\uc640 RSI \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub410\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud558\ubc29 \ubcf4\ud638 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \uc2e4\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 8\uc77c \ud604\uc7ac, \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28(\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc7a5\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28)\uac00 \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud0c4\ub825\uc774 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \uaebe\uc600\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 4\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(Non-farm payrolls, \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc740 25\ub9cc \uba85\uc744 \ub118\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc7a0\uc815 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 1.9%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uba70 ECB\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub2a6\ucdc4\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ucd94\uac00 \uc720\ub85c \uac15\uc138\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c \ub4f1 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488) \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ucf5c(\uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158) \ub9e4\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704) \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ubc14\ub00c\uc5c8\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74, \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28 \ud655\ub300 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c EUR\/USD\uac00 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 5% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc801\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub9ac\ubc84\uc124\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uc720\ub85c \ud48b(\ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \ubd99\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec, 2025\ub144 \ub9d0~2026\ub144 \ucd08\uc758 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uc640\ub294 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd5c\uadfc \ub3c5\uc77c IFO \uae30\uc5c5\uacbd\uae30\uc9c0\uc218(\uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \uccb4\uac10\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub3c4 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc778 92.5\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574, 3\uc6d4\uc758 \ub3c5\uc77c \ubb34\uc5ed \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \uc77c\ud68c\uc131\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\uc5c8\uc74c\uc744 \ud655\uc778\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810\uc778 1.1980 \ubd80\uadfc \uc704\ucabd \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\ub97c \ub454 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 1.1720 \uc218\uc900 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec 0.4% \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, ECB \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ucd95\uc18c. \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01, \ub3c5\uc77c \uc9c0\ud45c \ubd80\uc9c4 \uc9c0\uc18d. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub860 1.1720~1.1820, \uc7ac\ud558\ub77d \uacbd\uacc4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46499","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46499","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46499"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46499\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46499"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46499"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46499"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}