{"id":46490,"date":"2026-05-08T14:24:30","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T14:24:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%ac%b4%ec%97%ad%ec%a0%81%ec%9e%90-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%eb%a5%bc-%ec%a7%93%eb%88%84%eb%a5%b4%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ed%95%9c-%ea%b3%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T14:24:30","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T14:24:30","slug":"%eb%ac%b4%ec%97%ad%ec%a0%81%ec%9e%90-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%eb%a5%bc-%ec%a7%93%eb%88%84%eb%a5%b4%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ed%95%9c-%ea%b3%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%ac%b4%ec%97%ad%ec%a0%81%ec%9e%90-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ea%b0%80-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%eb%a5%bc-%ec%a7%93%eb%88%84%eb%a5%b4%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ed%95%9c-%ea%b3%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790 \ud655\ub300\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9d3\ub204\ub974\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud750\ub984"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790 \ucd95\uc18c \ub178\ub825\uc740 \ud574\uc678\ub85c \ube60\uc838\ub098\uac00\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \uc904\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\uba74 \ud574\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd \ub4f1 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uad8c\uc744 \uc0ac\ub4e4\uc774\ub294 \u2018\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc7ac\uc21c\ud658(\ud574\uc678\ub85c \ub098\uac04 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0 \ub9e4\uc785\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uc624\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\u2019 \uaddc\ubaa8\uac00 \uac10\uc18c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uad6d\uc81c\uc218\uc9c0(\ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc758 \ub300\uc678 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc9d1\uacc4\ud55c \ud1b5\uacc4) \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc548\uc815\ub418\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(\ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218)\uac00 \ub7f0\ub358\uc2dc\uac04 \uc624\ud6c4 1\uc2dc30\ubd84(\ub274\uc695 \uc624\uc804 8\uc2dc30\ubd84)\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc774\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub294 3\uc6d4 +17\ub9cc8,000\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c +6\ub9cc5,000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub454\ud654, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.3%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc7a5\uae30 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d \uc694\uc778<\/h3>\n

3\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc6d4\ud3c9\uade0 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\ud3ed\uc740 6\ub9cc8,000\uba85\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900(\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4) \uc5f0\uad6c\ub178\ud2b8\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\ub825(\uc77c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc778\uad6c) \uc99d\uac00\uc138 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \u2018\uc190\uc775\ubd84\uae30 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\u2019 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \uc6d4\ud3c9\uade0 1\ub9cc8,000\uba85\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ucd94\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 65\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300(University of Michigan) \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ub7f0\ub358\uc2dc\uac04 \uc624\ud6c4 3\uc2dc(\ub274\uc695 \uc624\uc804 10\uc2dc)\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300(\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294\uc9c0)\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc11c \ub274\uc695 \uc5f0\uc740 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uae30\ub300 \uc124\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 3\ub144\u00b75\ub144 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 4\uc6d4\uc5d0 12\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(\ucd5c\uadfc 12\uac1c\uc6d4 \ud3c9\uade0) \uc218\uc900 \uc8fc\ubcc0\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb38 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790 \ucd95\uc18c \ubaa9\ud45c\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc7a5\uae30\uc801 \ud558\ub77d \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud574\uc678\ub85c \ub098\uac00\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc904\uba74, \ud574\uc678 \uc8fc\uccb4(\uc678\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\u00b7\uae30\uad00\u00b7\ud22c\uc790\uc790 \ub4f1)\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc0ac\ub4e4\uc5ec\uc57c \ud560 \ud544\uc694\ub3c4 \uc904\uc5b4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uc218\uc694(\uacbd\uc81c \uad6c\uc870\uc0c1 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc694)\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uc2e0(2026\ub144 3\uc6d4) \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0 \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\uac00 658\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc904\uc5b4 \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc644\ucda9\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc84\ud2f0\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \u2018\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(\uc644\ud654 \uc120\ud638)\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\uc120\ud68c\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \uc774\ub0a0 \uc624\uc804 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 4\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 7\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uace0, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.2%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \uc720\uc9c0\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uc6d4 1\ub9cc8,000\uba85 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ud604 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ub113\ud78c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\ud6a1\ubcf4) \ub9e4\ub9e4 \ud658\uacbd<\/h3>\n

\uc7a5\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc548\uc815\uc774 \ub9de\uc11c\ub294 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc774 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58)\uc740 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\uba70, Cboe \uc720\ub85c\ud1b5\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(EVZ)\ub294 \uc5f0\uc911 \uc800\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c \ub4f1) \uac70\ub798\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc744 \ub54c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 EUR\/USD\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \ub54c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \uc218\ucde8\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\u2019\uac00 \ud574\ub2f9\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2025\ub144\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, \uac15\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uc0c8\ub85c \ub192\uc774\ub294 \ub370\ub294 \uc2e4\ud328\ud55c \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uae08\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \uc190\uc775\ubd84\uae30 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4. \uc989 \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uc870\uae08\ub9cc \ub298\uc5b4\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \u2018\ubc14\ub2e5(\ud558\ubc29 \uc9c0\uc9c0)\u2019\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \u2018\ucc9c\uc7a5(\uc0c1\ubc29 \uc5ec\ub825)\u2019\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc624\ub298 \ub2a6\uac8c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218\ub3c4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uae30\ub300 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc8fc\ubaa9\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc804\ub0a0 \ub274\uc695 \uc5f0\uc740 \uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7a5\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \u2018\uace0\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4(\ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\u2019\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc654\uace0, \uc624\ub298 \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc774\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638)\u2019 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub0a0 \uc624\uc804 \uae30\uc900 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch) \ub3c4\uad6c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 35% \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub97c \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\u2019\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc5ec\ub825\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba74 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\uba74 \uae09\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc5b4\ub290 \uc815\ub3c4 \ub9c9\uc544\uc8fc\ub294 \uc5ed\ud560\ub3c4 \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790 \ucd95\uc18c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc7ac\uc21c\ud658\uc774 \uc904\uba74 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc57d\ud654\ub3fc \uc7a5\uae30 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \uacac\uc870\ud574 Fed \uae09\uc120\ud68c\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub0ae\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc7a5\uc138 \uc18d \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46490","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46490","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46490"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46490\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46490"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46490"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46490"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}