{"id":46487,"date":"2026-05-08T13:57:21","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T13:57:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-%ec%b1%84%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ed%9d%94%eb%93%a4%eb%a7%a4\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T13:57:21","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T13:57:21","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-%ec%b1%84%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ed%9d%94%eb%93%a4%eb%a7%a4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-%ec%b1%84%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ed%9d%94%eb%93%a4%eb%a7%a4\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 TD\uc99d\uad8c \ucc44\uc6a9 \uc804\ub9dd \u2018\ud754\ub4e4\u2019\u2026\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00 \ud655\uc0b0, \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc804\ub7b5 \uac15\ud654"},"content":{"rendered":"

TD\uc99d\uad8c(TD Securities) \uc804\ub7b5\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 4\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9(Nonfarm Payrolls\u00b7\ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc804\uccb4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218) \uc99d\uac00\ud3ed\uc744 8\ub9cc\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 6\ub9cc5,000\uba85\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. \uc138\ubd80\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubbfc\uac04 \uace0\uc6a9 8\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00, \uc815\ubd80 \uace0\uc6a9 5,000\uba85 \uac10\uc18c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \uc758\ub8cc(\ud5ec\uc2a4\ucf00\uc5b4) \ubd80\ubb38\uc774 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\ub825\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\uc73c\uba70, \uc5c5\uc885\ubcc4 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574\uc640 \ube44\uc2b7\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960(\uc77c\ud560 \uc758\uc0ac\uac00 \uc788\ub294\ub370\ub3c4 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \uad6c\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \uc0ac\ub78c\uc758 \ube44\uc728)\uc740 4.3%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1(4.3%)\uacfc \uac19\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

4\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n

\ub610\ud55c \ubc18\uc62c\ub9bc \uc804(\uc6d0\uc790\ub8cc \uae30\uc900) \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uac04\ub2f9 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc784\uae08(Average Hourly Earnings\u00b7\uadfc\ub85c\uc790 \uc784\uae08\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c, \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc740 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.2% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 0.3%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac04\ub2f9 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc784\uae08\uc744 3.7%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

4\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c, \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uc57d 8\ub9cc\uba85 \ub298 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc2e4\uc81c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub85c \ubb34\ub108\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uacf5\uac1c\ub41c 4\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 17\ub9cc5,000\uba85\uc758 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ud558\uba70 \ud6e8\uc52c \uac15\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)\ud560 \u2018\ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uae38\u2019\uc774 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uad00\uce21\ub3c4 \ud754\ub4e4\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \u2018\uc0c1\ubc29 \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988(\uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc88b\uc740 \uc9c0\ud45c)\u2019\ub85c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubcf4\uc218\uc801 \ud22c\uc790) \uc7ac\uac80\ud1a0\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac 4.2%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \uc2dc\uac04\ub2f9 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc784\uae08\uc740 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc758 \ub450 \ubc30\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ucd08 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uc9c0\uc218(\ubbf8 \uacf5\uae09\uad00\ub9ac\ud611\ud68c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uacbd\uae30 \uccb4\uac10 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub3c4 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacac\uc870\ud574, \uae30\ucd08 \uccb4\ub825\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uba87 \uc8fc \uc804 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc624\ub798, \ub354 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6b4\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5)\u2019\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n

\uc5ec\ub984\ucca0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uace0, \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \uc2dc\uc810\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0(\ud639\uc740 \uc544\uc608 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131)\ub85c \ubc00\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00(\uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9 \uc870\uc815)\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac(\ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uc9e7\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\ub97c \uc0b4\ud3b4\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(SOFR\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubb34\ub2f4\ubcf4 \ucd08\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778 \u2018\ub2f4\ubcf4\ubd80 \uc775\uc77c\uae08\ub9ac\u2019\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money\u00b7\ub2f9\uc7a5 \ud589\uc0ac\ud574\ub3c4 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc218\uc900)\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \ud6c4\ud1f4\uc2dc\ud0ac \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub294 3\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub358 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\ub3c4 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc790\uadf9\ud588\ub2e4. VIX \uc9c0\uc218(\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4 \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019\ub85c \ubd88\ub9bc)\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uc774\ud6c4 13\uc5d0\uc11c 16 \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub2e4. 6\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc800\ub834\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc704\ud5d8 \ud68c\ud53c \uc218\ub2e8)\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc8fc\uc2dd \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc8fc\uac00\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\ub85c \ud55c \uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c \ub4f1) \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub358 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ed\ud559\uc774 \ubc14\ub00c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uac15\ud55c \uacbd\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub35c \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uacbd\uae30\ubbfc\uac10 \uc5c5\uc885(\uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc2e4\uc801\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc5c5\uc885)\uc778 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0, \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \ubbfc\uac10 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc(\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc) \ub178\ucd9c\uc740 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc73c\ub85c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub4e4 \uc5c5\uc885\uc740 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uc5ed\ud48d(\ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd)\uc774 \ub354 \uac15\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uace0\uc6a9 \uc1fc\ud06c\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \u2018\uae09\ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\u2019. TD\ub294 NFP 8\ub9cc\u00b7\uc784\uae08 0.2% \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e4\uc81c 17.5\ub9cc\u00b7\uc784\uae08 0.4%, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 4.2%\ub85c \uac15\uc138\u2026\ub9e4\ud30c \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46487","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46487","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46487"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46487\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46487"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46487"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46487"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}