{"id":46447,"date":"2026-05-07T23:27:14","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T23:27:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%89%b4%ec%9a%95%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%84%a4%eb%ac%b8%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac-%eb%8b%a8%ea%b8%b0-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T23:27:14","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T23:27:14","slug":"%eb%89%b4%ec%9a%95%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%84%a4%eb%ac%b8%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac-%eb%8b%a8%ea%b8%b0-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%89%b4%ec%9a%95%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%84%a4%eb%ac%b8%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac-%eb%8b%a8%ea%b8%b0-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%8b%a0%ed%98%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub274\uc695\uc5f0\uc900 \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2e0\ud638\u2026\uc2dc\uc7a5, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub85c \u2018\ud53c\ubc97\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ub274\uc695 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589(\uc5f0\uc900)\uc740 4\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uae30\ub300\uc870\uc0ac \uacb0\uacfc, \ubbf8\uad6d \uac00\uacc4\uac00 **\ub2e8\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub192\uac8c** \ubd24\uc9c0\ub9cc **\uc911\uae30\u00b7\uc7a5\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4**\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uc0ac\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uacf5\uac1c\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud5a5\ud6c4 12\uac1c\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \uae30\ub300\uce58\ub294 3\uc6d4 3.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 4\uc6d4 3.6%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. 3\ub144 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 3.1%, 5\ub144 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 3%\ub85c \uac01\uac01 \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e8\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00 \uae30\ub300<\/h3>\n

\uac00\uacc4\ub294 3\uc6d4 \ud718\ubc1c\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 9.4%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub978 \ub4a4, \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c **\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9(\uc804\uc7c1\u00b7\uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)**\uacfc \uc5f0\uacb0\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

4\uc6d4 \uac1c\uc778 \uc7ac\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud3c9\uac00\ub294 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub2e4. \uc751\ub2f5\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc790\uc2e0\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uace0, 3\uc6d4\ubcf4\ub2e4 **\uc2e0\uc6a9(\ub300\ucd9c\u00b7\uce74\ub4dc \ub4f1 \uc790\uae08 \uc870\ub2ec)**\uc744 \uc5bb\uae30 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ucc44\uc6a9, \uc784\uae08, \uc18c\ub4dd \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \ud63c\uc870\uc600\ub2e4. \uc751\ub2f5\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 1\ub144 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c\uc758 \uc804\ud658<\/h3>\n

\uc624\ub298\ub0a0 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 **\uae34\ucd95 \uc815\ucc45(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \ucd95\uc18c \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uc2dd\ud788\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)** \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4\uc758 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 **\uadfc\uc6d0 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\uac00 \uc5f0\uc728 2.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc18\uba74 2025\ub144\uc5d0 \uc81c\uae30\ub410\ub358 **\uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc57d\ud654 \uc6b0\ub824**\ub294 \ub354 \uc911\uc694\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 3.5%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \ub4a4, \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c 3.9%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \ubb3c\uac00\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \ub354 \ud070 \uc704\ud5d8\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \ubc14\ub014 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubc29\uc5b4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uc640 **\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ubb34\uac8c\uac00 \uc62e\uaca8\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00 \ucc44\uad8c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\ub370, **\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 ETF \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 ETF\ub97c \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)**\uc774 \ud55c \uc608\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c **VIX \uc635\uc158(VIX\ub294 S&P500 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c \/ \uc635\uc158\uc740 \uadf8 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac)**\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uac70\ub798\ub3c4 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc81c\uc548\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

**\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc2dc\uc7a5(\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5)**\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7f0 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. **\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed funds futures: \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c \uacc4\uc57d)**\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uac8c \ubc18\uc601 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc774\ub904\uc9c8 \ud655\ub960\uc744 70% \ub118\uac8c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 1\ub144 \uc804\uc758 **\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae34\ucd95\uc801) \uae30\uc870**\uc640 \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub610\ud55c \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c\uae30\ub41c \u2018\ub300\ucd9c\uc774 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c8 \uac83\u2019\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc **\uc120\uc784\ub300\ucd9c\ub2f4\ub2f9\uc790 \uc758\uacac\uc870\uc0ac(SLOOS: \uc740\ud589 \ub300\ucd9c \ub2f4\ub2f9\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ub300\ucd9c \uae30\uc900\u00b7\uc218\uc694 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubb3b\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc124\ubb38)**\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc740 **\uc0c1\uc5c5\u00b7\uc0b0\uc5c5 \ub300\ucd9c(\uae30\uc5c5 \uc6b4\uc601\uc790\uae08 \ub4f1 \uae30\uc5c5\ub300\ucd9c)**\uc758 \ub300\ucd9c \uae30\uc900\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \uac15\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \ucde8\uc57d \uc5c5\uc885\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 **\uc2e0\uc6a9\ubd80\ub3c4\uc2a4\uc651(CDS: \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ubd80\ub3c4\ub0a0 \ub54c \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \ubcf4\uc804\ubc1b\ub3c4\ub85d \ud558\ub294 \u2018\ubd80\ub3c4 \ubcf4\ud5d8\u2019 \uc131\uaca9\uc758 \uacc4\uc57d)**\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ud638\ub97c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c1\ub144 \ubb3c\uac00 \uae30\ub300 3.6%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\u201d \ub274\uc695 \uc5f0\uc740 \uc870\uc0ac: \uc911\u00b7\uc7a5\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uace0\uc815. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9 \ud6c4 \uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654 \uc6b0\ub824 \ud655\uc0b0, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\u00b7\ucc44\uad8c\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\uc2e0\uc6a9 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46447","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46447","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46447"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46447\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46447"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46447"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46447"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}