{"id":46439,"date":"2026-05-07T21:27:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T21:27:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T21:27:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T21:27:03","slug":"ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%99%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85-%ea%b2%a9%ec%b0%a8-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"ECB \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0\ub85c \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\u2026\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1, 1.1825\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uc800\uc9c0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD\ub294 \ubd81\ubbf8 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc7a5(\ubaa9\uc694\uc77c)\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 0.2% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70, \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac(\uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ubc18\ub4f1 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1) \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 6\uc6d4 ECB \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 19bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b70.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8)\ub85c, 9\uc6d4\uc740 50bp\uc5d0 \uc57d\uac04 \ubabb \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub3c5\uc77c \uacf5\uc7a5 \uc8fc\ubb38(\uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc2e0\uaddc\uc218\uc8fc)\uc774 \uac1c\uc120\ub410\uace0 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uacac\uc870\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\/\ud68c\ud53c \uac19\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uac15\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \uc8fc\uc694 \uac00\uaca9\ub300<\/h3>\n<p>\ucc28\ud2b8\uc0c1 EUR\/USD\ub294 \uac15\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 1.16\ub300 \uc911\ubc18\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 1.1825\ub85c, \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(Fibonacci retracement\u00b7\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc774\uc804 \ud558\ub77d\ubd84\uc744 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294\uc9c0 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uae30\uc900) 61.8% \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>1.1825\ub97c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba74 \uc804 \uad6c\uac04 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\ud558\ub77d\ubd84\uc744 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \ud68c\ubcf5)\uacfc 1.20 \uc7ac\ub3cc\ud30c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 1.1720~1.1820 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc77c\uc815 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uac07\ud78c \ub4f1\ub77d) \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud574\ub2f9 \uae30\uc0ac\ub294 AI \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc791\uc131\ub410\uace0, \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uac00 \uac80\uc218\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\uc640 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c 1\ub144\uac04 \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc9c4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774(\uc815\ucc45 \ub514\ubc84\uc804\uc2a4\u00b7\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ubcc4 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uac00 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc 1.9%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c ECB\ub294 3\ubd84\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uacf5\uac1c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \ub048\uc801\ud55c \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00)\ub85c \uc778\ud574, \ucd5c\uadfc 3.1%\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\ub294 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138(\uae30\ucd08 \uc5ec\uac74) \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub354 \uc801\ud569\ud558\ub2e4. EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \ud55c\uc815(\uc815\uc758\ub41c \uc704\ud5d8)\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ud604\uc7ac 1.1200 \uc544\ub798 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ud558\uba74, 1.1000 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\ub77c\uc6b4\ub4dc \ub118\ubc84\ub85c \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ubab0\ub9ac\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28(\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28)\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \ud655\ub300\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c EUR\/USD \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58)\uc774 \uc911\uac04 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub77c\uba74, \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money\u00b7\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubc14\ub85c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294) \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(call spread\u00b7\ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0\/\ud314\uc544 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc218\uc775\uacfc \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870) \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub3c4 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud65c\uc6a9 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4. 1.1350 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc124\uc815\ud558\uba74 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ub300\uac00)\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc57d\uc138~\uc911\ub9bd \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ud45c\ud604\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc694 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD 0.2% \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0\ub3c4 ECB \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300 \uc57d\ud654. 1.16 \uc9c0\uc9c0\u00b71.1825 \uc800\ud56d \uc18d \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc804\ub9dd. \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub85c ECB \uc778\ud558, Fed \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2026\uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub7b5(\ud48b\u00b7\ucf5c\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc) \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46439","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46439","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46439"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46439\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46439"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46439"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46439"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}