{"id":46432,"date":"2026-05-07T18:54:22","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T18:54:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%b4%9d%ec%84%a0-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%ec%99%80-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99%eb%b0%9c-%ed%97%a4%eb%93%9c%eb%9d%bc%ec%9d%b8%ec%97%90-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%ec%83%81%eb%8b%a8\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T18:54:22","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T18:54:22","slug":"%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%b4%9d%ec%84%a0-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%ec%99%80-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99%eb%b0%9c-%ed%97%a4%eb%93%9c%eb%9d%bc%ec%9d%b8%ec%97%90-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%ec%83%81%eb%8b%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%b4%9d%ec%84%a0-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%ec%99%80-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99%eb%b0%9c-%ed%97%a4%eb%93%9c%eb%9d%bc%ec%9d%b8%ec%97%90-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%ec%83%81%eb%8b%a8\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc601\uad6d \ucd1d\uc120 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uc911\ub3d9\ubc1c \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uc5d0 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc81c\ud55c\u2026EUR\/GBP 0.8640\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc \ubcf4\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/GBP\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 0.8641 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \ucd5c\uadfc 1\uc8fc\uc77c \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc601\uad6d \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70 \uacb0\uacfc\uc640 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc885\uc2dd\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \u2018\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ubcf4\ub3c4\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5ec\ub860\uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud0a4\uc5b4 \uc2a4\ud0c0\uba38 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uc758 \ub178\ub3d9\ub2f9\uc774 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \ud328\ubc30\ub97c \uacaa\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc601\uad6d \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6cc \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654(\uc601\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654)\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Market Drivers And Political Risk<\/h3>\n<p>\uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub3c4 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uacfc \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub974\uba74 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc790\uadf9\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB) 2.15%, \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE) 3.75%\ub85c, \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28(\ub450 \ub098\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774)\uac00 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 100\uc77c\u00b7200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA: \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \uc774\uc740 \uc120) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ud558\ub77d \uc6b0\uc704(\uc57d\uc138) \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc57d\uc138\ub2e4. RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218: \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d\uc758 \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c 0~100\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 40 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uba70, MACD \ud788\uc2a4\ud1a0\uadf8\ub7a8(MACD: \ub450 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0 \uac04 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \uc774\uc6a9\ud55c \ucd94\uc138 \uc9c0\ud45c, \ud788\uc2a4\ud1a0\uadf8\ub7a8\uc740 \uadf8 \ucc28\uc774\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654)\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74 0 \uc544\ub798(\uc74c\uc758 \uc601\uc5ed)\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 100\uc77c SMA\uc778 0.8687 \ubd80\uadfc\uacfc 200\uc77c SMA\uc778 0.8703 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.8600 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uba70, \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\uba74 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Trading Implications And Positioning<\/h3>\n<p>\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ucda9\ub3cc \uc694\uc778\uc740 \u2018\uc601\uad6d\uc758 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\u2019\uacfc \u2018\uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294(\ub048\uc801\ud55c) \uad6d\ub0b4 \ubb3c\uac00\u2019\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uc740 2.8%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc740 ECB\uc640 \ub2ec\ub9ac \ub354 \ube60\ub978 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc27d\uac8c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uace0, ECB\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub4f1 \uacbd\uae30 \ubd80\uc591 \uc5ec\uc9c0)\uac00 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uce21\uba74(\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uce21\uba74)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\uc810\uc774 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uacbd\uae30 \uae30\ucd08\uccb4\ub825\uc740 \uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d) \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \u2018\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\ud6a1\ubcf4 \uad6c\uac04)\u2019 \ub610\ub294 \u2018\uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\u2019\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub0b4\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 0.8650 \uc704\uc758 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\ub97c \ub454 \uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4(OTM call spread selling: \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uac00\uaca9\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc870\ud569\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uad6c\uc870)\ub294 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc740 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\ub97c \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc120\ubb3c(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\ub798\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ub9e4\ud558\uae30\ub85c \ud55c \uacc4\uc57d)\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0\ub294 \ud070 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uaddc\ubaa8) \uad6c\ucd95\uc5d0 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ud070 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc20f \uc2a4\ud034\uc988(\uacf5\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ubab0\ub824 \uc190\uc808\ub9e4\uac00 \uc5f0\uc1c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uae09\uaca9\ud558\uace0 \uc608\uce21\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(\uc911\uae30 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120) \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uac15\uc138 \uc2dc\ub3c4\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uc20f(\ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305) \uc9c4\uc785 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ub354 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ubc18\ub41c \uc7ac\ub8cc\uac00 \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc815\uce58\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 EUR\/GBP\u201d\u20260.8641 \ubcf4\ud569, \u82f1 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \ubd80\ub2f4. \uc720\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc57d\uc138. \uae30\uc220\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d \uc6b0\uc704, 0.8600 \uc774\ud0c8 \uc8fc\uc758.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46432","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46432","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46432"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46432\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46432"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46432"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46432"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}