\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 1\ubd84\uae30 \ub2e8\uc704\ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9(\uc0dd\uc0b0\ubb3c 1\ub2e8\uc704\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ub370 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9)\uc740 \uc5f0\uc728 2.3% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c1\uc804 \ubd84\uae30(4.4%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub2e8\uc704\ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9\uc740 \ud55c \ub2e8\uc704\ub97c \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac00\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uc774\uc804 \uae30\uac04\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc778\uac74\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc644\ub9cc\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub2e8\uc704\ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 2.3%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uac83\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ub9d0 4.4%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uba74\uc11c, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \uc6b0\ub824\ud588\ub358 \u2018\uc784\uae08\ubc1c(\u767c) \uace0\ucc29\uc801 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uc798 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 Fed\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0, \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc6b4\uc6a9\uc758 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ub113\ud78c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC\u00b7Fed\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \ud68c\uc758)\ub97c \ub354 \uc644\ud654\uc801(\u2018\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\u2019) \uc2dc\uac01\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub77c\ubcf4\uac8c \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc804\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 35% \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 50%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774 \uc81c\uae30\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub358 \uae34\ucd95(\u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\u2019) \uae30\uc870\uc640\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488, \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158(\uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc5d0 \uc3e0\ub9b0\ub2e4. Fed \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c 2\ub144\ubb3c \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac(\uc218\uc775\ub960) \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4 \u2018\ub9e4\uc218(\ub871) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\u2019\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubbf8 \uc774\ub0a0 \uc544\uce68 3.75%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uc628 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 3.5% \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. S&P500\uacfc \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100\ucc98\ub7fc \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ub9ce\uc774 \ubc1b\ub294(\uae08\ub9ac \ubbfc\uac10) \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc778\uac74\ube44 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc601\uc5c5\uc774\uc775\ub960(\ub9e4\ucd9c \ub300\ube44 \uc774\uc775 \ube44\uc728)\uc744 \uc9c1\uc811 \uac1c\uc120\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \ud329\ud2b8\uc14b(FactSet)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub450 \ubd84\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc774\uc775\ub960\uc774 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544\uc654\ub294\ub370, 2019\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc644\ub9cc\ud574\uc9c4 \ub4a4 \uc774\uc775\ub960 \uac1c\uc120\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9 \ub4f1\ub77d\uc758 \ud06c\uae30) \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\ub3c4 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc77c\ubd80\ub97c \ud574\uc18c\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX\u00b7S&P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019)\ub294 17\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c 14\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. VIX \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \uac19\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\ubbf8 1\ubd84\uae30 \ub2e8\uc704\ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9 2.3%\u2191\ub85c \ub454\ud654, \uc784\uae08\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc644\ud654. Fed \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc904\uba70 9\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9. 2\ub144\ubb3c \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc8fc\uac00 \uc6b0\ud638, VIX \ud558\ub77d \uc804\ub9dd.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46429","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46429","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46429"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46429\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46429"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46429"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46429"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}