{"id":46412,"date":"2026-05-07T12:57:06","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T12:57:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ec%86%8d-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T12:57:06","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T12:57:06","slug":"%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ec%86%8d-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ec%86%8d-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9\/","title":{"rendered":"\uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d \uc18d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u2026\uc5f0\uc900, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158-\uace0\uc6a9 \u2018\uc5c7\ubc15\uc790\u2019 \uc9c1\uba74\uc5d0 \uc635\uc158 \uc218\uc694 \uae09\uc99d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\uac00 97.60 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ubbf8 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc57d 8bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 4.35%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0, S&P500 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uacbd\uc2e0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 ADP \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9\uc740 3\uc6d4 6\ub9cc1\ucc9c\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 10\ub9cc9\ucc9c\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4. ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \u2018\uc9c0\ubd88\uac00\uaca9(\uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubd88\ud558\ub294 \uc6d0\uac00\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825 \uc9c0\ud45c)\u2019\uc774 3\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uace0, \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uc120(50) \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00 \uc704\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc5c7\ubc15\uc790<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uacfc \uacbd\uae30\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 1\ub144\uac04 \ubbf8\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc6b4\uc6a9\uc740 \ub354 \uae4c\ub2e4\ub85c\uc6cc\uc9c8 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc11c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \ub2a6\ucd9c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c\ub97c \ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00\ub294 \uc9c4\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uc654\uace0, 4\uc6d4 30\uc77c \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810(126.41\ub2ec\ub7ec) \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 20% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uacfc\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \ubc0f \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(\uc911\ub3d9 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\ub85c) \uc815\uc0c1\ud654\ub97c \uaca8\ub0e5\ud55c \uc81c\uc548\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0 \uc911\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub3c4 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4. \uc81c\uc548 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc740 \u2018\ud575 \ub18d\ucd95(\uc6b0\ub77c\ub284 \ub18d\ucd95 \ub4f1 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8 \ud575\uc2ec \ud65c\ub3d9) \uc720\uc608\u2019\uc640 \u2018\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc81c\uc7ac \uc644\ud654\u2019\ub97c \ub9de\uad50\ud658\ud558\ub294 \ud615\ud0dc\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2025\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \u2018\uc815\ucc45 \ub51c\ub808\ub9c8\u2019\ub3c4 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubd80\uac01\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00(\uadfc\uc6d0 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ub4f1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 2.8% \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc880\ucc98\ub7fc \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \ucd5c\uadfc 2\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP\u00b7\ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\ubd80\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c)\uc740 15\ub9cc\uba85 \ubc11\ub3cc\uba70 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc744 4.2%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc798 \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub370 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900\uc744 \ub09c\ucc98\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798 \uae30\ud68c<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ub7f0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc774 \ub0ae\uac8c \ud3c9\uac00\ub410\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub2f9\uc7a5\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uacf5\uc0b0\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 2\ud68c \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300)\uc740 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 MOVE \uc9c0\uc218(\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 110\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c \uc7a5\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \ub54c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc644\ud654 \uad6d\uba74(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074)\uc744 \uc120\ubc18\uc601\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. DXY\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 104.2 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub354 \uc545\ud654\ub41c\ub2e4\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ucabd\uc774 \ub354 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc911\uae30 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158) \ub9e4\uc218\ub098 \u2018\uc57d\uc138 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub9ac\ubc84\uc124(\ucf5c\uc744 \ud314\uace0 \ud48b\uc744 \uc0ac\uc11c \ud558\ub77d \ubc29\ud5a5 \ub178\ucd9c\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc870\ud569)\u2019\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 S&P500\uc774 5,500 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc758 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \uae30\ub300\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc57d\ud654\uac00 \ub354 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc9c4\ud589\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc5ec\ub825\uc774 \uc0dd\uae30\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \uae30\uc5c5\uc774\uc775\uc774 \uba3c\uc800 \ud6fc\uc190\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ucde8\uc57d\uc810\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc870\uc815 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 VIX \ucf5c(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc774\ub098 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd98 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc804\ub7b5)\uac00 \ube44\uc6a9 \ub300\ube44 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc778 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8 \ud68c\ud53c) \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2025\ub144\uc744 \ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\uac00 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub97c 126\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \ub370 \uae30\uc5ec\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc218\uc694 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc881\uc740 \uac00\uaca9 \ubc94\uc704) \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae09\ub4f1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\uc81c\ud558\uc5d0, \uc720\uac00\uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc744 \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5)\ud558\ub294 \uc1fc\ud2b8 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc218\ucde8\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub85c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\ubbf810\ub144\ubb3c 4.35%\ub85c \uae09\ub77d\uc5d0 S&P500 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58. \ubb3c\uac00\uc555\ub825 vs \uace0\uc6a9\ub454\ud654 \u2018\uc815\ucc45 \ub51c\ub808\ub9c8\u2019 \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01, \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\ud558 \uc9c0\uc5f0 \uc804\ub9dd. \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7VIX \uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ubca0\ud305\u00b7\ud5e4\uc9c0 \uae30\ud68c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46412","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46412","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46412"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46412\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46412"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46412"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46412"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}