{"id":46403,"date":"2026-05-07T10:54:32","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T10:54:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%8a%a4%ec%9c%84%ec%8a%a4%ed%94%84%eb%9e%91-%eb%af%b8-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%c2%b7%ec%95%88%ec%a0%84\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T10:54:32","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T10:54:32","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%8a%a4%ec%9c%84%ec%8a%a4%ed%94%84%eb%9e%91-%eb%af%b8-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%c2%b7%ec%95%88%ec%a0%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%8a%a4%ec%9c%84%ec%8a%a4%ed%94%84%eb%9e%91-%eb%af%b8-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%c2%b7%ec%95%88%ec%a0%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\ud504\ub791, \ubbf8-\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694 \ub454\ud654\ub85c 0.7800\uc120 \ud558\ud68c"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 0.15% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 0.7775 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc18d\uc5d0 0.7800 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758(\uc804\uc7c1\u00b7\uac08\ub4f1\uc744 \ub05d\ub0b4\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc678\uad50\uc801 \ud569\uc758) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\ub3c4\uac00 \ub098\uc628 \ub4a4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc720\ub85c, \uc5d4 \ub4f1 6\uac1c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uac15\ud55c\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 97.90 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c 0.1% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780 \uac04 \uc678\uad50(\uad70\uc0ac \ucda9\ub3cc \ub300\uc2e0 \ud611\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \ud478\ub294 \uacfc\uc815)\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uc678\uad50\uac00 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n

\uc54c\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc57c \uacc4\uc5f4 \ucc44\ub110\uc778 \uc54c\ud558\ub2e4\uc2a4(Al-Hadath)\ub294 X\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c(\uc120\ubc15 \ud1b5\ud589 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654)\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uac15\ub3c4 \ub192\uc740 \uc18c\ud1b5\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc740 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09\uc758 \uc57d 20%\uc640 \uc5f0\uacb0\ub41c \ud575\uc2ec \ud56d\ub85c\uc774\uba70, \ud574\ub2f9 \uac8c\uc2dc\ubb3c\uc740 \uadf8\uacf3\uc5d0 \ubc1c\uc774 \ubb36\uc778 \uc120\ubc15\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud574 \uc218\uc2dc\uac04 \ub0b4 \ub3cc\ud30c\uad6c(\uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ubc14\ub00c\ub294 \uacb0\uc815\uc801 \uc9c4\uc804)\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638(\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub354 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30)\uac00 \uc0b4\uc544\ub098\uba74\uc11c, \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(\uc704\uae30 \ub54c \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac19\uc740 \uc790\uc0b0)\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\ub294 \uc904\uc5c8\uace0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300(\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1)\ub3c4 \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ub3c8\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc870\uc774\ub294 \uc815\ucc45) \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub358 \ub3d9\ub825\ub3c4 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\ud504\ub791\uc740 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\uad6d\ub9bd\uc740\ud589(SNB\u00b7\uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\uc81c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 4\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(Nonfarm Payrolls\u00b7\ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 2025\ub144\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758 \uae30\ub300\uac00 USD\/CHF\ub97c 0.7800 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uc555\ubc15\ud558\ub358 \uad6d\uba74\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 97.90 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1) \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \ud2b9\uc815 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\uc74c \u2018\ub370\uc774\ud130 \ucd09\ub9e4\u2019(\ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ubd80\ub974\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud30c\uc0dd \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654(\uad70\uc0ac\u00b7\uc815\uce58\uc801 \ucda9\ub3cc \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669)\ub294 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 2015\ub144 JCPOA(\uc774\ub780 \ud575\ud569\uc758\u00b7\uc774\ub780\uc758 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8 \uc81c\ud55c\uacfc \uc81c\uc7ac \uc644\ud654\ub97c \ub9de\ubc14\uafbc \ud569\uc758) \ucd08\uae30 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \ud55c \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 WTI(\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900 \uc720\uc885) \uc6d0\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 8% \ub118\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc774\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc6d0\uc720 ETF(\uc5ec\ub7ec \uc885\ubaa9\uc744 \ubb36\uc5b4 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\uc7a5\uc9c0\uc218\ud380\ub4dc) \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uac70\ub098, \uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\ub798 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubd88\uc548\uc744 \uc904\uc5ec, Fed\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc2dd\ud78c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(\uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uad00\ucc30\ub418\ub294\ub370, \uacfc\uac70 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc644\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(SOFR\u00b7\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \ub2f4\ubcf4 \ucd08\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\ub85c \ud55c \uc0c1\ud488)\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \u20186\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4 Fed \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\u2019\uc774 20%\uc5d0\uc11c 50% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud574 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c\uc774\ub098 Fed Funds \uc120\ubb3c(\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub41c \uc120\ubb3c)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc218\ub85d(\uc989 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

USD\/CHF\ub294 \ud558\ubc29(\ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d) \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \uc635\uc158 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub9ac\ubc84\uc124(risk reversal\u00b7\ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ucc28\uc774\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\/\ud558\ub77d \uc3e0\ub9bc\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc774 -0.6%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00, \ucf5c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud48b\uc758 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc774 \ub354 \ube44\uc2fc \u2018\ud558\ub77d \uc3e0\ub9bc\u2019\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 USD\/CHF \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c, \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4(\ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4)\ub97c \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub4a4\uc9d1\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 USD\/CHF 1\uc8fc\uc77c \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131)\uc740 \ubcf4\ud1b5 2~3%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 8.5% \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uc11c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305) \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle\u00b7\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uc11c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305) \ub9e4\uc218\uac00, \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0\uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791<\/a>\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc7ac\uac1c \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ud754\ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4. USD\/CHF 0.7800 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ubc00\ub9ac\uba70 DXY \uc57d\uc138. \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ubca0\ud305, \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uc18d NFP\uac00 \ubd84\uc218\ub839.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46403","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46403","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46403"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46403\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46403"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46403"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46403"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}