{"id":46365,"date":"2026-05-07T03:00:23","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T03:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ec%84%9c%ed%94%84%eb%9d%bc%ec%9d%b4%ec%a6%88%ec%99%80-rba-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%ec%97%90-aud-usd-4%eb%85%84%eb%9e%98\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T03:00:23","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T03:00:23","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ec%84%9c%ed%94%84%eb%9d%bc%ec%9d%b4%ec%a6%88%ec%99%80-rba-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%ec%97%90-aud-usd-4%eb%85%84%eb%9e%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ec%84%9c%ed%94%84%eb%9d%bc%ec%9d%b4%ec%a6%88%ec%99%80-rba-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%ec%97%90-aud-usd-4%eb%85%84%eb%9e%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019\uc640 RBA \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 AUD\/USD 4\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 \ub7a0\ub9ac \ud6c4\ud1f4"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc57d 0.8% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 0.7280\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uc9c0\ub9cc 0.7250 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubc84\ud2f0\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\uace0, \uacb0\uad6d 0.7240 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. 4\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \uace0\uc810 \uad6c\uac04\uc774\uba70, \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc717\uaf2c\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ucc28\ub840 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc\ub3c4 \ub4a4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \ud30c\ud0a4\uc2a4\ud0c4 \uc911\uc7ac\ub85c \uc9c4\ud589\ub41c \uc774\ub780\uacfc\uc758 \ub300\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \u2018\ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8 \ud504\ub9ac\ub364\u2019 \uc791\uc804(\ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uba85\uba85\ud55c \uad70\uc0ac\u00b7\uc548\ubcf4 \uc791\uc804)\uc744 \uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc740 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc81c\uc548\uc744 \uacf5\uc2dd \ub2f5\ubcc0 \uc5c6\uc774 \uac80\ud1a0 \uc911\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc 4\uc6d4 8\uc77c \ud734\uc804 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc740 \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc6a9 \uc120\ubc15 \ud1b5\ud56d\uc774 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \ub9c9\ud600 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Risk On Focus Shifts To Key Data<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d 4\uc6d4 ADP \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9(\ubbf8\uad6d \ubbfc\uac04\uc5c5\uccb4 ADP\uac00 \uc9d1\uacc4\ud558\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc740 10\ub9cc9000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 9\ub9cc9000\uba85\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc218\uce58 \uc790\uccb4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638(risk-on, \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\uace0\uc704\ud5d8 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub4f1 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30)\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud588\ub2e4. \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 3\uc6d4 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0(\uc218\ucd9c\uc785 \ucc28\uc774)\uc640 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP, \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c)\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac14\uc73c\uba70, NFP \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 6\ub9cc\uba85(\uc774\uc804 17\ub9cc8000\uba85)\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>15\ubd84 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c AUD\/USD\ub294 0.7239\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, \ub2f9\uc77c \uc2dc\uac00 0.7205 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI(\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uacfc\uc5f4\u00b7\uce68\uccb4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 60 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 0.7239\ub85c 50\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA, \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub450\ub294 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0) 0.7072\uc640 200\uc77c EMA 0.6826 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI\ub294 53 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA) \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c(\uc5f0 2~3%), \uc911\uad6d \uc218\uc694, \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uaf3d\ud78c\ub2e4. \ucca0\uad11\uc11d\uc740 2021\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \uc5f0\uac04 1180\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub41c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0\uc640 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub3c4 \ud658\uc728\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2025\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, AUD\/USD\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud0c4\ub825\uc774 0.7240 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\uc810\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uc640 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2f9\uc2dc \ud3ec\ucc29\ub41c \ud0c4\ub825 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uacbd\uace0 \uc2e0\ud638\uc600\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uc728\uc774 0.6550 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \ub2f9\uc2dc 4\ub144 \uace0\uc810\uc740 \uacfc\uac70\uc758 \uc77c\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>What Changed After The Peak<\/h3>\n<p>\uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc804\ud658\uc810\uc740 2025\ub144 4\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP)\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 6\ub9cc\uba85 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc57d\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e4\uc81c\uce58\ub294 24\ub9cc5000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\ub410\uace0, \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\ub358 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub3c4 \uc885\ub8cc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc0ac\uac74\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc14\ub014 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\uace0, 0.7250 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \u2018\uc18c\uc9c4 \uc2e0\ud638(\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud798\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uc9d5\ud6c4)\u2019\uac00 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f, \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158) \uae30\ud68c\uc600\uc74c\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ud6c4 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\ub3c4 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc92c\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uc18c\ube44 \uc9c0\ucd9c \uc57d\ud654\ub97c \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\ud558\ud574 4.10%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 5.50%\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub410\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \u2018\uce90\ub9ac(\uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0dd\uae30\ub294 \uc774\uc790 \uc190\uc775)\u2019 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c AUD\/USD \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ubcf4\uc720\ub97c \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610 2025\ub144 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\ub358 \uc911\uad6d \uacbd\uae30 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ub418\uba70 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9d3\ub20c\ub800\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc99d\uac00\uc138\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub410\uace0, \ubd80\ub3d9\uc0b0 \ubd80\ubb38 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \uc131\uc7a5\uc758 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc791\ub144 \ud1a4\ub2f9 120\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud604\uc7ac \uc57d 105\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \ucca0\uad11\uc11d\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc218\ucd9c\ud488\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74 \uc545\ud654\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc838 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uacbd\ub85c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 AUD\/USD\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcfc \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(\ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0) \ubd80\uadfc(\ud604\uc7ac \uc57d 0.6610)\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4. \ud655\ub9bd\ub41c \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud560 \ub54c, \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\ub97c \uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0\uc11c \uba40\ub9ac \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubca0\ud305 \uc635\uc158) \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub294 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud3ed\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uac83\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub410\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uc57d\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc57d\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc2dc \uae30\uc874 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ud558\ub77d \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub354 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124<\/a>\ud558\uace0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791<\/a>\ud558\uc138\uc694. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c4\ub144 \uace0\uc810\uc774 \ud568\uc815\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4\u201d AUD\/USD, 0.7280 \ucc0d\uace0 \uc717\uaf2c\ub9ac \uc18d 0.7240 \ub9c8\uac10. \uc774\ud6c4 \uac15\ud55c \u7f8e NFP\u00b7RBA \uc778\ud558\u00b7\uc911\uad6d\ub454\ud654\u00b7\ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \ucd94\uc138 \uae09\ubc18\uc804, \ubc18\ub4f1 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46365","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46365","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46365"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46365\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46365"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46365"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46365"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}