{"id":46265,"date":"2026-05-06T05:24:32","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T05:24:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b8%ed%84%b0%eb%b2%a4%ec%85%98-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%eb%a7%a4\/"},"modified":"2026-05-06T05:24:32","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T05:24:32","slug":"%ec%9d%b8%ed%84%b0%eb%b2%a4%ec%85%98-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%eb%a7%a4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b8%ed%84%b0%eb%b2%a4%ec%85%98-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%eb%a7%a4\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc778\ud130\ubca4\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc644\ud654\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc18d \ub9e4\uc218\uc138 160.00\uc120 \uc7ac\ub3c4\uc804, 157.91\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c 0.48% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc57d 157.91\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc740 \uc57d 2.50%, \uac70\uc758 400\ud54d(pip\u00b7\ud658\uc728\uc758 \ucd5c\uc18c \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ub2e8\uc704) \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \ud734\uc804\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(Strait of Hormuz\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud574\uc0c1 \ud1b5\ub85c)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc120\ubc15 \ud638\uc1a1\uc774 \uc774\ub904\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(\uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 98.48\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569\uc774\uc5c8\uace0 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 10\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 0.14% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 4.426%\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Market Data And Risk Backdrop<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 4\uc6d4 \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub2e4\uc18c \ub454\ud654\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 PMI(\ubbf8 \uacf5\uae09\uad00\ub9ac\ud611\ud68c\uac00 \uc9d1\uacc4\ud558\ub294 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218\u00b750\uc744 \ub118\uc73c\uba74 \ud655\uc7a5)\ub294 3\uc6d4 54.0\uc5d0\uc11c 4\uc6d4 53.6\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9 \ud558\uc704\uc9c0\uc218(\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc138\ubd80 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 45.2\uc5d0\uc11c 48.0\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uace0, \uc9c0\ubd88\uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\uc218(prices paid\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ud22c\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\ub294 70.7\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub3fc 2022\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>3\uc6d4 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0\ub294 \uc218\uc785\uc774 3.6%, \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 3.1% \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc801\uc790\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4. JOLTS \uad6c\uc778 \uac74\uc218(JOLTS openings\u00b7\ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\ubd80\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc778 \uacf5\uace0 \uc218\ub85c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 692.2\ub9cc \uac74\uc5d0\uc11c 686.6\ub9cc \uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud574(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1 683\ub9cc \uac74) \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc77c\ubcf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc0c1\uc740 5\uc6d4 4\uc77c \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc5d4\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4(\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\ub3c4\u00b7\uc5d4 \ub9e4\uc218) \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 \uc57d 350\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 157.89 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c, 158.69 \uadfc\ucc98\uc758 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(moving average\u00b7\uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uac00\uaca9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4. RSI(14)(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218\u00b714\uc77c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uacfc\uc5f4\/\uce68\uccb4\ub97c \uac00\ub2a0, 70 \uc774\uc0c1 \uacfc\uc5f4\u00b730 \uc774\ud558 \uce68\uccb4)\ub294 45 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120(\uc704\ub85c \ub9c9\ud788\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc740 158.69\uc640 160.00, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uc544\ub798\ub85c \ubc84\ud2f0\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc740 155.38, 153.45, 148.40 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Options Strategy And Intervention Risk<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ub294 1\ub144 \uc804\uc778 2024\ub144 4\uc6d4 \ub9d0~5\uc6d4 \ucd08, \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc774 \ucc98\uc74c 160\uc120\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud588\uc744 \ub54c\uc640 \uac70\uc758 \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uacf5\uc2dd \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc740 \ud55c \ub2ec \ub9cc\uc5d0 9.79\uc870 \uc5d4(60\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1)\uc744 \ud22c\uc785\ud574 \uc790\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654(\uc5d4\ud654)\ub97c \ubc29\uc5b4\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5d4\ud654 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \uc624\ub798\uac00\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\uace0, \uac1c\uc785\uc740 \uac15\ud55c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \u2018\ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uae30\u2019\ubcf4\ub2e4 \u2018\ub2a6\ucd94\ub294\u2019 \ub370 \uadf8\uce5c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ud655\uc778\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \uc804\ub840\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58)\uc740 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uae30\uc2b5 \uac1c\uc785 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc0c1\uc874\ud574 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0, \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uacbd\uace0\uc131 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubbfc\uac10\ud574\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub124\uc774\ud0a4\ub4dc \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4(naked options\u00b7\ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud30c\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd)\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc704\ud5d8\ud558\ub2e4. \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uae09\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc190\uc2e4\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ubc29\uc2dd\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(option spreads\u00b7\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\ub9e4\ud574 \uc190\uc775 \ubc94\uc704\uc640 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub85c \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uace0\uc810 \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread\u00b7\ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218\uc640 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c \uacb0\ud569\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc804\ub9dd \uc804\ub7b5)\ub294 160 \uac19\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud5a5\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc9c0\ubd88\ud55c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc758 \uc774\uc810\uc744 \uc5bb\uc73c\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uac1c\uc785\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uae09\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74, \uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ud48b(out-of-the-money puts\u00b7\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ud5e4\uc9c0(hedge\u00b7\uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4) \ub610\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubca0\ud305\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ube44\uc6a9\uc740 \ub0ae\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uac1c\uc785\ud574 \uc218\ubc31 \ud54d \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc7ac\ud604\ub418\uba74 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \uad6c\ub450 \uacbd\uace0(verbal warnings\u00b7\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubcf4\ub0b4\ub294 \uacbd\uace0\uc131 \ubc1c\uc5b8)\ub294 \uc2e4\uc81c \ud589\ub3d9\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \ub098\uc624\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc544 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae5c\uc9dd \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 157.9\ub300\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1, 160 \uc7ac\ub3c4\uc804 \uc8fc\ubaa9. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uc644\ud654 \uc18d \u7f8e\uc9c0\ud45c \ub454\ud654\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00\uc555\ub825\uacfc \u65e5\ucd94\uac00 \uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4\ub85c \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uace0\uc870, \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\u00b7\ud48b \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46265","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46265","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46265"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46265\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46265"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46265"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46265"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}