{"id":46232,"date":"2026-05-05T21:12:47","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T21:12:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%85%b8%eb%8f%99%ed%86%b5%ea%b3%84%ea%b5%adbls-3%ec%9b%94-%ea%b5%ac%ec%9d%b8%ea%b3%b5%ea%b3%a0-686%eb%a7%8c6%ec%b2%9c-%ea%b1%b4-2%ec%9b%94-692%eb%a7%8c2%ec%b2%9c-%ea%b1%b4\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T21:12:47","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T21:12:47","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%85%b8%eb%8f%99%ed%86%b5%ea%b3%84%ea%b5%adbls-3%ec%9b%94-%ea%b5%ac%ec%9d%b8%ea%b3%b5%ea%b3%a0-686%eb%a7%8c6%ec%b2%9c-%ea%b1%b4-2%ec%9b%94-692%eb%a7%8c2%ec%b2%9c-%ea%b1%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%85%b8%eb%8f%99%ed%86%b5%ea%b3%84%ea%b5%adbls-3%ec%9b%94-%ea%b5%ac%ec%9d%b8%ea%b3%b5%ea%b3%a0-686%eb%a7%8c6%ec%b2%9c-%ea%b1%b4-2%ec%9b%94-692%eb%a7%8c2%ec%b2%9c-%ea%b1%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(BLS) \u201c3\uc6d4 \uad6c\uc778\uacf5\uace0 686\ub9cc6\ucc9c \uac74, 2\uc6d4 692\ub9cc2\ucc9c \uac74\uc5d0\uc11c \uac10\uc18c\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(BLS)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 3\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6c\uc778 \uac74\uc218\ub294 686\ub9cc6,000\uac74\uc73c\ub85c, 2\uc6d4(\uc218\uc815\uce58 692\ub9cc2,000\uac74)\uc5d0\uc11c \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(683\ub9cc \uac74)\ub294 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04 \ucc44\uc6a9\uc740 560\ub9cc \uac74\uc73c\ub85c \ub298\uc5c8\uace0, \uc804\uccb4 \uc774\uc9c1\u00b7\uc2e4\uc9c1(\uace0\uc6a9 \ubd84\ub9ac, separations: \uc790\ubc1c\uc801 \ud1f4\uc0ac\u00b7\ud574\uace0\u00b7\uc740\ud1f4 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uace0\uc6a9\uad00\uacc4\uac00 \ub05d\ub09c \uac74\uc218)\uc740 540\ub9cc \uac74 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc790\uc9c4\ud1f4\uc0ac(quits: \uadfc\ub85c\uc790\uac00 \uc2a4\uc2a4\ub85c \uc9c1\uc7a5\uc744 \uadf8\ub9cc\ub454 \uac74\uc218)\ub294 320\ub9cc \uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uace0, \ud574\uace0\u00b7\uc815\ub9ac\ud574\uace0(layoffs and discharges: \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uace0\uc6a9\uc744 \uc885\ub8cc\ud55c \uac74\uc218)\ub3c4 190\ub9cc \uac74\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \ubc18\uc751<\/h3>\n<p>\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 98.46 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 PMI(\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218: \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\u00b7\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc124\ubb38 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ubc11\ub3c8 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2025\ub144 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, JOLTS(\uad6c\uc778\u00b7\uc774\uc9c1 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c: \uad6c\uc778, \ucc44\uc6a9, \ud1f4\uc0ac, \ud574\uace0 \ub4f1 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc218\uc694\u00b7\uc774\ub3d9\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ud1b5\uacc4)\uac00 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud558\uace0 ISM \uc218\uce58\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc57d\ud558\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc989\uac01 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc57d\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \u2018\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\u2019(dovish: \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uace0 \uc644\ud654 \ucabd\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4) \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774 \ub9ce\uc544, \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc18\uc751\ub3c4 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc9c0\uae08\uc740 \uad6c\uc870\uac00 \ub354 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud558\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 JOLTS \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc218\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uad6c\uc778 \uac74\uc218\uac00 810\ub9cc \uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud588\ub2e4. \ud32c\ub370\ubbf9 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc815\uc810 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 \ub454\ud654\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uacfc\uac70 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ube60\ub4ef\ud55c(\uad6c\uc778\uc774 \ub9ce\uc544 \uc778\ub825 \ud655\ubcf4\uac00 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4) \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uac1c\ubcc4 \uc9c0\ud45c \ud558\ub098\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \ub048\uc801\uc784\uc774\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218: \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc0ac\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\uc728)\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.1% \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \u2018\uad00\ub9dd\u2019 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \u2018\uace7\ubc14\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2e0\ud638\u2019\ub85c \ubcf4\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904\uc9c0\ub77c\ub294 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ud574\uc11d\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uac15\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives: \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1) \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. SOFR \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158(SOFR: \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb34\ub2f4\ubcf4 \uc775\uc77c\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac, \uc774\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\ub85c \ud55c \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \u2018\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(call spread: \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc190\uc775 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 4\ubd84\uae30 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc9c0\uc5f0\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucd98 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc8fc\uc2dd \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 VIX(CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218: S&#038;P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019)\uac00 17 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba70 \uc815\ucc45 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9 \uc911 \uc2dc\uac04\uac00\uce58)\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 S&#038;P500 \uc9c0\uc218\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money: \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \uc635\uc158) \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub97c \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucc28\uc785\ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub3c4 \uc774\uc81c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uac1c\ubcc4 \uc9c0\ud45c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28(\uc8fc\uc694\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900 \ucc28\uc774)\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc88c\uc6b0\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ubc1b\uc744 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c \ub610\ub294 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c DXY \ub9e4\uc218 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \ub2e4\ub978 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uac04 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4\ub294 \uac00\uc815\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 \uad6c\uc778 686\ub9cc\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc608\uc0c1 \uc0c1\ud68c, \ucc44\uc6a9\uc740 \uc99d\uac00. \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ub048\uc801\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900 \uad00\ub9dd, \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\uc5d0 \uc88c\uc6b0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46232","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com 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property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\ubbf8 \ub178\ub3d9\ud1b5\uacc4\uad6d(BLS) \u201c3\uc6d4 \uad6c\uc778\uacf5\uace0 686\ub9cc6\ucc9c \uac74, 2\uc6d4 692\ub9cc2\ucc9c \uac74\uc5d0\uc11c \uac10\uc18c\u201d - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\ubbf8 \uad6c\uc778 686\ub9cc\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc608\uc0c1 \uc0c1\ud68c, \ucc44\uc6a9\uc740 \uc99d\uac00. \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ub048\uc801\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900 \uad00\ub9dd, \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\uc5d0 \uc88c\uc6b0.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" 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