{"id":46230,"date":"2026-05-05T21:07:30","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T21:07:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/rba-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-4-35%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ed%96%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%eb%94%b0%eb%9d%bc-%ec%9d%bc%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a4%91%eb%8b%a8\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T21:07:30","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T21:07:30","slug":"rba-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-4-35%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ed%96%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%eb%94%b0%eb%9d%bc-%ec%9d%bc%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a4%91%eb%8b%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/rba-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-4-35%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ed%96%88%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%eb%94%b0%eb%9d%bc-%ec%9d%bc%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a4%91%eb%8b%a8\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 4.35%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \u201c\ub370\uc774\ud130 \ub530\ub77c \uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8\u201d \uc2dc\uc0ac\u2026\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d, \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \uc81c\ud55c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc740 \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b70.01%p) \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 4.35%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\uace0, 8\ub300 1 \ud45c\uacb0 \uc774\ud6c4 \u201c\uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uacb0\uc815\u201d\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uba70 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8(\uc7a0\uc815 \ub3d9\uacb0) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\ub798 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 80%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>RBA\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\uc774 \ud55c\ub3d9\uc548 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uace0, \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc0c1\ubc29(\ub354 \uc624\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131)\uc5d0 \uce58\uc6b0\uccd0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300(\uac00\uacc4\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00, \uc2e4\uc81c \uac00\uaca9\u00b7\uc784\uae08 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc90c)\ub3c4 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc808\uc0ac\ud3c9\uade0 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud574 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00)\uac00 2~3% \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc624\ub294 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \uae30\uc874 \u20182026\ub144 \ub9d0\u2019\uc5d0\uc11c \u20182027\ub144 \uc911\ubc18\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ub2a6\ucdb0 \uc7a1\uc558\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ub8cc \uad00\ub828 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0 \uc804\uac00\ub418\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Market Pricing And Growth Outlook<\/h3>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 35bp \uc62c\ub77c 4.70%\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc9c8 GDP(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc81c\uac70\ud55c \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd \uae30\uac04 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc131\uc7a5\ub960(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc790\uadf9 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\ub960)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uac8c \ud750\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD)\ub294 \uacb0\uc815 \uc9c1\ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, AUD\/USD(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)\ub294 0.7200 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\uc9c0 \ud751\uc790(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 \uc218\uc785\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9ce\uc544 \ubc8c\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc774\ub294 \uc21c\uc774\uc775)\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc640 \uc5d4 \ub300\ube44 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Implications For Volatility And Positioning<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2f9\uc2dc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub358 \u2018\ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac 4.70%\u2019\ub294 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc624\ud788\ub824 RBA\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ub9c9\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud574 \ud604\uc7ac 3.85%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc798 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uacfc \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c(\uc644\ud654 \uc120\ud638) \uc131\ud5a5\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c \ub4f1 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488) \uac70\ub798\uc790 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubb3c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58)\uc774 \ub0ae\uac8c \ucc45\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 0.7200\uc744 \ub118\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 \ud604\uc7ac 0.6750 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 1\ub144 \ub118\uac8c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uacbd\uacc4\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc131\uc7a5 \ub610\ub294 RBA \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uba74 \uc774 \uad6c\ub3c4\uac00 \ubc14\ub014 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 AUD\/USD\uc5d0\uc11c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc635\uc158 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \ud589\uc0ac\ud560 \ud658\uc728) 0.6900 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ub9e4\uc218\uad8c)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 RBA\uc758 \uc644\ud654\uc801 \ud0dc\ub3c4\uc640 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\ub825\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775(\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub85c \ubc1b\uc740 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc740 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ube44\uc6a9\uc73c\ub85c \uc4f0\uac70\ub098 \uc2dc\uac04\uac00\uce58 \uac10\uc18c(\ub9cc\uae30 \uc811\uadfc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uce58 \ud558\ub77d)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\uc9c0 \ud751\uc790\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0 \ud751\uc790(\uc218\ucd9c-\uc218\uc785 \ucc28\uc774)\ub294 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc218\ucd9c \ud638\uc870\ub85c 112\uc5b5 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc8fc\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\ub808\uc778\uc9c0) \uc804\ub7b5\uc778 \uc20f \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974(\uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc, \ud558\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4 \ud6a1\ubcf4\uc5d0\uc11c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc870\ud569) \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 AUD\/USD\uac00 \ud558\ub2e8 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uacfc \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc800\ud56d\uc120 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub974\uba74 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBA, \uae08\ub9ac 4.35% \uc778\uc0c1 \ud6c4 \u2018\uc9c0\ud45c \ub530\ub77c\u2019 \uba48\ucda4 \uc2dc\uc0ac. \ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubcf5\uadc0 2027\ub144\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc5f0, \uc131\uc7a5 \ud558\ud5a5. AUD\/USD 0.72 \ub9c9\ud788\uba70 0.675. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub0ae\uc544 \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4\u00b7\ub808\uc778\uc9c0 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46230","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46230","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46230"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46230\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46230"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46230"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46230"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}