{"id":46221,"date":"2026-05-05T18:24:17","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T18:24:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/3%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-jolts-%ea%b5%ac%ec%9d%b8-%ea%b1%b4%ec%88%98-686%eb%a7%8c6%ec%b2%9c%ea%b1%b4%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-683%eb%a7%8c%ea%b1%b4-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T18:24:17","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T18:24:17","slug":"3%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-jolts-%ea%b5%ac%ec%9d%b8-%ea%b1%b4%ec%88%98-686%eb%a7%8c6%ec%b2%9c%ea%b1%b4%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-683%eb%a7%8c%ea%b1%b4-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/3%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-jolts-%ea%b5%ac%ec%9d%b8-%ea%b1%b4%ec%88%98-686%eb%a7%8c6%ec%b2%9c%ea%b1%b4%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-683%eb%a7%8c%ea%b1%b4-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"3\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d JOLTS \uad6c\uc778 \uac74\uc218 686\ub9cc6\ucc9c\uac74\u2026\uc608\uc0c1\uce58 683\ub9cc\uac74 \uc0c1\ud68c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 3\uc6d4 JOLTS(\uad6c\uc778\u00b7\uc774\uc9c1 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c) \uae30\uc900 \uad6c\uc778 \uacf5\uace0(\ucc44\uc6a9 \uacf5\uc11d) \uac74\uc218\ub294 686\ub9cc6,000\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(683\ub9cc \uac74)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub178\ub3d9\ubd80\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \u2018\uad6c\uc778\u00b7\uc774\uc9c1 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(JOLTS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey)\u2019\ub2e4. \ud55c \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \ucc44\uc6b0\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud574 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub294 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac(\uad6c\uc778 \uacf5\uace0) \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac, \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900 \uc720\uc9c0<\/h3>\n<p>3\uc6d4 \uad6c\uc778 \uacf5\uace0\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc18c\ud3ed \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc640 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc0dd\uac01\ub9cc\ud07c \ube68\ub9ac \uc2dd\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900)\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc774\uc720\ub97c \uc904\uc778\ub2e4. \uc989 \u2018\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4(higher for longer)\u2019\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub0b4\ub7ec\ud2f0\ube0c(\ud574\uc11d)\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud558\uba74 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ud45c\uc0c1 \u2018\uad6c\uc778 \uacf5\uace0 \uc218\/\uc2e4\uc5c5\uc790 \uc218\u2019 \ube44\uc728\uc774 1.4 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4(\uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc790\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub9ce\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b). \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 4\uc6d4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 3.1%\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \u2018\ub048\uc801\ud55c(sticky) \ud750\ub984\u2019\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5ec\ub984\ucca0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\uba74, \uc7a5\u00b7\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \u2018\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uace1\uc120 \ud3c9\ud0c4\ud654\u2019\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd80 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 SOFR(\ub2f4\ubcf4\ubd80 \uc775\uc77c\uae08\ub9ac: \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2e4\uc81c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b0\ucd9c\ub418\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac) \uc635\uc158\uc774\ub098 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c(Fed Funds futures) \ub4f1\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 3\ubd84\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. JOLTS \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud55c 7\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 40%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c 25% \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 S&#038;P500\uc774\ub098 \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100 \uc9c0\uc218 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \uac19\uc740 \u2018\ubc29\uc5b4\uc6a9 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\ud5e4\uc9c0)\u2019\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019\ub85c \ubd88\ub9ac\ub294 VIX(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218)\uac00 14 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae34\ucd95 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uac10\ub0b4\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uba74 VIX\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc218\uc694 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \uc9c0\uc218 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc704\ud5d8<\/h3>\n<p>2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658(\ud53c\ubc97: \uae34\ucd95\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\ud654\ub85c \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ud658) \uc2dc\uc810\uc774 \ub2a6\ucdb0\uc84c\uace0, \uadf8 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc57d 7% \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ubc1b\uc740 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ubb34\ub108\uc9c8 \ub54c \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc545\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900 \uc148\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uacbd\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uba70, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucd98 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u201d \uacbd\uace0\ub4f1: 3\uc6d4 JOLTS \uad6c\uc778 686.6\ub9cc\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1 \uc0c1\ud68c, \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub0c9\uac01 \uc9c0\uc5f0. 7\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 25%\u2193, CPI\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uc8fc\uc758.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46221","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46221","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46221"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46221\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46221"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46221"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46221"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}