{"id":46206,"date":"2026-05-05T14:28:20","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T14:28:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-rba-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-25bp-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ed%95%b4-4-35%eb%b6%88%eb%a1%9d-%ec%b4%9d%ec%9e%ac-%ec%9d%bc%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a4%91\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T14:28:20","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T14:28:20","slug":"td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-rba-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-25bp-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ed%95%b4-4-35%eb%b6%88%eb%a1%9d-%ec%b4%9d%ec%9e%ac-%ec%9d%bc%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a4%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-rba-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-25bp-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ed%95%b4-4-35%eb%b6%88%eb%a1%9d-%ec%b4%9d%ec%9e%ac-%ec%9d%bc%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a4%91\/","title":{"rendered":"TD\uc99d\uad8c \u201cRBA, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 4.35%\u2026\ubd88\ub85d \ucd1d\uc7ac \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8\u2019 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc5d0 AUD\/USD \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc57d\ud654\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac(\ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7cash rate)\ub97c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b70.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 4.35%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud55c \uacb0\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. \ud45c\uacb0\uc740 8\ub300 1\ub85c \uc774\ub904\uc84c\uace0, \ucd1d\uc7ac \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \u2018\ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uba48\ucd9c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131(\ub3d9\uacb0) \ucabd\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>AUD\/USD(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)\uac00 0.72\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\ub824\uba74 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \ud68c\uc758)\uc5d0\uc11c \uae34\ucd95 \uc131\ud5a5(\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801) \ubc18\ub300 \uc758\uacac\uc774 \ub098\uc654\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \ud3ed\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c 8\uc6d4 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacac\ud574\ub97c \ub2e4\ub978 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\ud604\ud558\uba74 AUD\/NZD(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)\uac00 1.24\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud558\uba70, \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \ubd84\ud560 \ub9e4\uc218(\uac12\uc774 \ube60\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc0ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>RBA\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b0 \ub4a4 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(\uc644\ud654 \uc131\ud5a5) \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \ub0b4\ub193\ub294 \ub4f1 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d) \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub54c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9bc)\uc744 \ub0ae\uac8c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5, \uc608\ucee8\ub300 AUD\/USD\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uc20f \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(short strangle)\u2019 \uac19\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc20f \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00\uc740 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uad8c\ub9ac\ud589\uc0ac \uac00\uaca9)\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc624\ub97c \ub54c \uc774\uc775)\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ub0b4\ub9b4 \ub54c \uc774\uc775)\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ud30c\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c, \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \ub54c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \uc218\uc775\uc73c\ub85c \ub178\ub9b0\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc7ac\ud655\uc0b0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc5b4 \uacbd\uacc4\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 1\uc77c\uc790 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 24\ub9cc \uba85 \ub298\uba70 \uac15\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc838 AUD\/USD \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub9c9\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc774\uc720\uc5d0\uc11c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \u2018\uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\u2019 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ub610\ub294 \u2018\ubca0\uc5b4 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bear call spread)\u2019 \uad6c\ucd95 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc678\uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uc728\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c(\uc2e4\ud589\ud574\ub3c4 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294) \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub97c \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubca0\uc5b4 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub294 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc744 \ud314\uace0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc744 \uc0ac\uc11c \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\ub97c \uc815\ud558\ub294(\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294) \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\uba70, \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c\ub294 0.7000 \uc704 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc774 \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>AUD\/NZD\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911<\/h3>\n<p>\ub354 \uc720\ub9dd\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uc740 3.9%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub3fc RBA\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc740 \uc218\uc694 \ub454\ud654 \uc18d\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074(\uc778\uc0c1 \uad6d\uba74)\uc774 \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \uadfc\uac70\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ucc28\uc774(\uc815\ucc45 \ub514\ucee4\ud50c\ub9c1)\ub294 AUD\/NZD \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uba70, \uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 1.24\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ub300\uc548\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 RBA \ubaa9\ud45c(\ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18(8\uc6d4 \uac00\ub2a5) \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc30\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uac15\uc870\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c, \ub2e8\uc21c \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c AUD\/USD \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc4f0\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870)\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\uba70, RBA\uac00 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uae34\ucd95 \uc2e0\ud638(\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc804\ud658)\ub97c \ub0bc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacfc\uac70 2024~2025\ub144\ucc98\ub7fc \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub358 \uc2dc\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 AUD\/NZD \uac19\uc740 \ud06c\ub85c\uc2a4 \ud1b5\ud654(\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uac70\uce58\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ub450 \ud1b5\ud654 \uac04 \ud658\uc728)\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \ub2ec\uc740 AUD\/NZD \uc120\ubb3c\ud658(\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uacc4\uc57d\u00b7\ubbf8\ub798 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \ud658\uc728\ub85c \ubc14\uafb8\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d) \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac70\ub798\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5(\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131)\uc744 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub35c \ubc1b\uc73c\uba74\uc11c, \ud638\uc8fc\uc640 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uac15\ub3c4 \ucc28\uc774\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\ub294 \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBA \uae08\ub9ac 4.35%\ub85c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\u2026\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \u2018\ub3d9\uacb0 \uc2dc\uc0ac\u2019\uc5d0 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uacbd\uace0. AUD\/USD \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc81c\ud55c, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc720\ub9ac. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc815\ucc45 \ub514\ucee4\ud50c\ub9c1\uc5d0 AUD\/NZD \ub871\u00b71.24 \ucf5c \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46206","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46206","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46206"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46206\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46206"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46206"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46206"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}