{"id":46200,"date":"2026-05-05T12:57:21","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T12:57:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%bd%94%eb%a9%94%eb%a5%b4%ec%b8%a0%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-rba-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98-%ec%9a%b0%ec%84%a0%ed%95%b4-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-4\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T12:57:21","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T12:57:21","slug":"%ec%bd%94%eb%a9%94%eb%a5%b4%ec%b8%a0%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-rba-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98-%ec%9a%b0%ec%84%a0%ed%95%b4-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%bd%94%eb%a9%94%eb%a5%b4%ec%b8%a0%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-rba-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98-%ec%9a%b0%ec%84%a0%ed%95%b4-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-4\/","title":{"rendered":"\ucf54\uba54\ub974\uce20\ubc29\ud06c \u201cRBA, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc6b0\uc120\ud574 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 4.35%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\u2026\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \uc720\uc9c0\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ud574 \uc138 \ubc88\uc9f8\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 4.35%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 3\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uac00 \ub454\ud654(\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9d0)\ud588\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4, **\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300**(\uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uacfc \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc640 **2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09 \uc704\ud5d8**(\uc784\uae08 \uc778\uc0c1\u2192\uae30\uc5c5 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\u2192\uac00\uaca9 \uc7ac\uc778\uc0c1\ucc98\ub7fc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uc744 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

RBA\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\uc774 \uc5f0\uc911(\uc911\ubc18) 4.8%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 3\uc6d4 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 4.6%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc5f0\uc911 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704(2~3%)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \ud658\uc728 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n

RBA\ub294 \uc62c\ud574\uc640 \ub0b4\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4. \ud654\uc11d\uc5f0\ub8cc \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\uace0, \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c **\uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc704\ud5d8**(\uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \ub610\ub294 \uc800\uc131\uc7a5\uacfc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669)\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud574\ub2f9 \uae30\uc0ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD)\uc5d0 \ubd80\uc815\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5 \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc791\uc131\ud55c \ub4a4 \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uac00 \uac80\ud1a0\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2025\ub144 \ubd84\uc11d\uc744 \ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, RBA\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.35%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc62c\ub9b0 \ubc30\uacbd\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 4.8%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc6b0\uc120\ud588\uace0, \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uad00\uc810\uc740 2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \ub9de\uc544\ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c \ud798\uc744 \ubc1b\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\uace0, \uacb0\uad6d 0.6300 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc800\uc810\ub3c4 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud588\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \ud638\uc8fc \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP\u00b7\ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub41c \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\uc561) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 1.2%\uc5d0 \uadf8\uccd0, **\uae34\ucd95 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45**(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub3c8\uc758 \uacf5\uae09\uc744 \uc904\uc5ec \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)\uc774 \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \uc228\ud1b5\uc744 \uc870\uc600\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ud655\uc778\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 **\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589**(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc774\ub77c\ub3c4 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uc2ec\ud574\uc9c0\uba74 \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 \uac15\ud574\uc9c4\ub2e4\uace0 \ub2e8\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2026\ub144 \ub9d0 \ub9cc\uae30 \uc635\uc158 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n

2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ud604\uc7ac \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \ubcf8\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30 CPI\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.4%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uac1c\uc120\uc774\uba70 RBA \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \ud6e8\uc52c \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c4 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub824 \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)\uc758 \uc2dc\uc810\uacfc \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac14\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 **\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798\uc790**(\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uacb0\uc815\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790) \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\uc720\ub294 1\ub144 \uc804\uacfc \ub2e4\ub974\ub2e4. RBA\uac00 \ucde8\uc57d\ud55c \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 3\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658(\uc644\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638)\uc744 \ub0b4\uc57c \ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\ubc95\uc740 **AUD\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option)** \ub9e4\uc218\ub2e4. \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc740 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \ub9cc\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c, \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ud558\ub77d(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138)\ud560 \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub9cc\uae30\ub97c 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\ub85c \ub450\uba74 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uad00\uc810\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc704\ud5d8\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\uace0, \ub9cc\uc57d Fed\uac00 RBA\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube60\ub978 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba74 **\uae08\ub9ac\ucc28**(\ub450 \ub098\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ucc28\uc774)\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0(\ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \ud798)\uac00 \uc0dd\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 **\ud48b\uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc**(\ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\uc548\ub3c4 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RBA, CPI \ub454\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac 4.35%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\u2026\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uae30\ub300\u00b72\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09 \uc6b0\ub824. 2025\ub144 AUD \uc57d\uc138 \uc7ac\ud604? 2026\ub144\uc5d4 \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ud658 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\uc0b0, AUD\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46200","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46200","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46200"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46200\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46200"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46200"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46200"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}