{"id":46139,"date":"2026-05-04T22:57:04","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T22:57:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-eur-gbp-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4\/"},"modified":"2026-05-04T22:57:04","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T22:57:04","slug":"%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-eur-gbp-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-eur-gbp-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc911\ub3d9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uc18d EUR\/GBP \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026\uc601\uad6d \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/GBP\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc640 \uc601\uad6d \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc7a5\uc911 \uc800\uc810 0.8629\ub97c \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4 0.8645 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc544\ub78d\uc5d0\ubbf8\ub9ac\ud2b8(UAE) \ud478\uc790\uc774\ub77c(Fujairah)\uc758 \ud55c \uc11d\uc720 \uc2dc\uc124\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ub4dc\ub860 \uacf5\uaca9 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud654\uc7ac\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \ud30c\ub974\uc2a4(Fars) \ud1b5\uc2e0\uc740 \uc790\uc2a4\ud06c(Jask) \uc778\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8 \ud574\uad70 \ud568\uc815\uc774 \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c 2\ubc1c\uc5d0 \ub9de\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \ubbf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\ub294 \ud568\uc815\uc774 \ud53c\uaca9\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd80\uc778\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc561\uc2dc\uc624\uc2a4(Axios)\uac00 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uc720\uac00 \ucda9\uaca9<\/h3>\n

EUR\/GBP\ub294 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544\uc654\ub2e4. \uc804\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(Strait of Hormuz\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\ub85c) \uc120\ubc15 \uc6b4\ud56d\uc774 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc744 \ube5a\uc5c8\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc740 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc6d0\uc720 \uacf5\uae09\uc758 \uc57d 20%\uac00 \uc9c0\ub098\ub294 \uacf3\uc73c\ub85c, \uc601\uad6d\uc740 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc218\uc785 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\uac00 \ub0ae\uc740 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc790\uadf9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0, \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE)\uacfc \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ub354 \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uc740 BoE \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58(2%)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc624\ub974\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub450 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd5c\uc18c 2\ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1)\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub178\ub3d9\ub2f9(Labour)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2f9 \uc9c0\ub3c4\ubd80 \uacbd\uc120\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \uc694\uac74(\uc0ac\uc784 \ub610\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\ub2f9 \uc758\uc6d0\uc758 \ucd5c\uc18c 20% \uc9c0\uc9c0) \ucda9\uc871 \uc2dc \ucd09\ubc1c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2025\ub144\uc744 \ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \uc6d0\uc720 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c EUR\/GBP\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \uc9c1\uc811 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc740 \uc774\ud6c4 \u2018\uae34\uc7a5 \uc18d \ud734\uc804\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uc548\uc815\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc804\uc7c1\u00b7\ucda9\ub3cc \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc5b9\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uae30\uc900 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(Brent crude\u00b7\uc720\ub7fd \uae30\uc900 \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00)\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba70, \ud1b5\ud654\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub358 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28 \ud655\ub300\ub294 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. BoE\ub294 2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub354 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud588\uace0, \ud604\uc7ac \uc601\uad6d \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Bank Rate\u00b7BoE \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 5.75%\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 ECB\ub294 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba70 4.00%\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uc774 175bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b70.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \uc774\uc790\uc218\uc775(\uc218\uc775\ub960)\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \uc720\ub85c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654\uc640 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc124\uba85\ub41c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 1\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \uc601\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00(core inflation\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488 \ub4f1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00)\ub294 3.5%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uadfc\uc6d0 HICP(core HICP\u00b7\uc870\ud654\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uacf5\uc2dd \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc218\uce58)\ub294 2.4%\ub85c \ub354 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 ECB\uac00 BoE\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uba3c\uc800 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\uace0, \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138(\uae30\ucd08 \uc5ec\uac74)\uc0c1 EUR\/GBP\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488) \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \ud604\ubb3c(spot\u00b7\uc989\uc2dc \uacb0\uc81c\ub418\ub294 \ud658\uac70\ub798) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc2dc \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c(\uc18d\ubcf4\u00b7\uc0ac\uac74 \ub274\uc2a4\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uae09\ubcc0 \uc704\ud5d8)\ub97c \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \ub9cc\ud07c \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58)\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 EUR\/GBP\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money\u00b7\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4. 0.8500 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc740 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \uc9c4\uc785 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc601\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\uae09\ubc18\uc804) \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uacbd\uacc4\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \uc800\ub834\ud55c EUR\/GBP \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\ub97c \uc815\ud574\ub450\uace0 2022\ub144 \uc800\uc810 \uad6c\uac04\uc778 0.8300 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(support level\u00b7\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc798 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uad6c\uac04)\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc2ec\ub9ac \ubcc0\ud654 \uc2dc \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc815\uce58 \uc774\uc288\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc84c\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c \ub178\ub3d9\ub2f9\uc774 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uac70\ub454 \uc774\ud6c4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \ucd1d\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac14\ub2e4. \uc5ec\ub860\uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c \ud604 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc6b0\uc704\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba70 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uae30\ubbfc\ud558\uac8c \ub300\uc751\ud558\uace0, EUR\/GBP \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc77c\ubd80 \ud5e4\uc9c0(hedge\u00b7\uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc18\ub300 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158)\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc911\ub3d9\ubc1c \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uc804\uc7c1 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uc601\uad6d \uc815\uce58 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\uba70 EUR\/GBP\uac00 \ubc18\ub4f1(0.8629\u21920.8645). \ub2e4\ub9cc BoE\u00b7ECB \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub85c \uc911\uae30 \ud558\ubc29 \uc6b0\uc138, \ubc18\ub4f1 \ub9e4\ub3c4\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc81c\uc2dc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46139","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46139","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46139"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46139\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46139"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46139"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46139"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}