{"id":46121,"date":"2026-05-04T18:26:30","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T18:26:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/bnp%ed%8c%8c%eb%a6%ac%eb%b0%94-2026%eb%85%84-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-%ec%b6%94%ec%84%b8-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9dgdp-2\/"},"modified":"2026-05-04T18:26:30","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T18:26:30","slug":"bnp%ed%8c%8c%eb%a6%ac%eb%b0%94-2026%eb%85%84-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-%ec%b6%94%ec%84%b8-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9dgdp-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/bnp%ed%8c%8c%eb%a6%ac%eb%b0%94-2026%eb%85%84-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-%ec%b6%94%ec%84%b8-%ec%83%81%ed%9a%8c-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9dgdp-2\/","title":{"rendered":"BNP\ud30c\ub9ac\ubc14, 2026\ub144 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \u2018\ucd94\uc138 \uc0c1\ud68c\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd\u2026GDP 2.4%\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 3.3%, Fed \uae08\ub9ac 3.5~3.75% \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc608\uc0c1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>BNP\ud30c\ub9ac\ubc14\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 2026\ub144 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP\u00b7\ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub41c \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\ud569) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 2.4%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(2.1%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\u00b7\uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\uc740 3.3%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uad00\uc138(\uc218\uc785\ud488\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uae30\ub294 \uc138\uae08) \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c 2028\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ubc14\ub77c\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc218\uc900) \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Fed Funds\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \ucd08\ub2e8\uae30\ub85c \ub3c8\uc744 \ube4c\ub9ac\uace0 \ube4c\ub824\uc904 \ub54c \uc801\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \uae30\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac) \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub294 3.5%~3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uad6c)\uac00 \u201c\uc591\ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ub9dd(two-sided outlook\u00b7\ud544\uc694\ud558\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218\ub3c4, \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud0dc\ub3c4)\u201d\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud574 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub610\ub294 \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub3fc \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub0b4\uc6a9\ub3c4 \ud3ec\ud568\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc720\ub85c \ub300\ube44 \uc57d\uc138<\/h3>\n<p>BNP\ud30c\ub9ac\ubc14\ub294 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624(\uac00\uc7a5 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub294 \uc804\uc81c)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uc11c\uc11c\ud788 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654\ub418\uace0(\uc815\uc0c1\ud654\u00b7\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc644\ud654) \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c4\ub2e8\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>BNP\ud30c\ub9ac\ubc14\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec(EUR\/USD\u00b7\uc720\ub85c\ud654 1\uc720\ub85c\ub97c \uc0ac\ub294 \ub370 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc591) \ud658\uc728\uc774 2026\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 1.21, 2027\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 1.25\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc62c\ud574 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc131\uc7a5\ub960(\uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ubb34\ub9ac \uc5c6\uc774 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc18d\ub3c4)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\uba70 2.4%\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc5f0\uc728(\ud604\uc7ac \ubd84\uae30\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub97c 1\ub144 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud658\uc0b0\ud55c \uac12) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 2.6%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud604 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac(\uc774\uc790\uc728)\ub97c \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ubb34\ub9ac \uc5c6\uc774 \uac10\ub2f9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \uc62c\ud574 \ud3c9\uade0 3.3% \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04 3.5%~3.75%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>EUR\/USD \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \uc5ec\uac74\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc11c\uc11c\ud788 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uc6b0\uc704\uac00 \ub35c \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc9c0\uace0, \ubd84\uc0b0 \ud22c\uc790 \uc790\uae08 \ud750\ub984(\ud55c\ucabd \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0\ub9cc \ubab0\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc5ed\u00b7\ud1b5\ud654\ub85c \ub098\ub204\ub294 \uc790\uae08 \uc774\ub3d9)\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc740 \uc810\ucc28 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. BNP\ud30c\ub9ac\ubc14\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ub9d0 EUR\/USD 1.21\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uc57d 1.1850 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 EUR\/USD\uac00 \ucc9c\ucc9c\ud788 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub458 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \uc911 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uae34 \uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74, \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub178\ucd9c(\uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9(\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\u00b7\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub0b4\ub294 \uac12)\uc774 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ube44\uc2f8\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(SOFR\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub2f4\ubcf4\ubd80 \ud558\ub8e8\uc9dc\ub9ac \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac, \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\ubbf8\ub798\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ud314\uc544 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc744 \ub54c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \ub54c \ud65c\uc6a9\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc758 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \uc778\ub0b4\uc2ec\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub098\u201d BNP\ud30c\ub9ac\ubc14, \u7f8e 2026\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5 2.4%\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 3.3% \uc804\ub9dd. \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uad00\uc138\ub85c \ubaa9\ud45c \uc0c1\ud68c \uc9c0\uc18d, \uae08\ub9ac 3.5~3.75% \ub3d9\uacb0. EUR\/USD 2026\ub144\ub9d0 1.21\u00b72027\ub144\ub9d0 1.25.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46121","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46121","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46121"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46121\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46121"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46121"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46121"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}