{"id":46093,"date":"2026-05-04T11:26:40","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T11:26:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-2026%eb%85%84-2-7-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d2027%eb%85%84-2-1%eb%a1%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-2028%eb%85%84-2\/"},"modified":"2026-05-04T11:26:40","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T11:26:40","slug":"%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-2026%eb%85%84-2-7-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d2027%eb%85%84-2-1%eb%a1%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-2028%eb%85%84-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-2026%eb%85%84-2-7-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d2027%eb%85%84-2-1%eb%a1%9c-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-2028%eb%85%84-2\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, 2026\ub144 2.7% \uc804\ub9dd\u20262027\ub144 2.1%\ub85c \ub454\ud654, 2028\ub144 2%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>ECB(\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \ubd84\uae30\ubcc4 \u2018\uc804\ubb38\uac00 \uc608\uce21\uc870\uc0ac(Survey of Professional Forecasters)\u2019\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\uc740 2026\ub144 \ud3c9\uade0 2.7%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 2027\ub144 2.1%, 2028\ub144 2.0%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP\u00b7\ud55c \uad6d\uac00\uc758 \ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0\/\uc131\uc7a5 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \ub73b\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc740 2026\ub144 1.0% \uc131\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c1\uc804 \uc870\uc0ac(1.2%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uc218\uce58\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec(EUR\/USD\u00b7\uc720\ub85c\ud654 1\uc720\ub85c\ub97c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud658\uc0b0\ud55c \ud658\uc728)\uac00 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. 1.1710\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, \ub2f9\uc77c \uae30\uc900 \uc57d 0.1% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2025\ub144 \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 2.7%\ub85c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 ECB\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub79c \uae30\uac04 \uae34\ucd95(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ube61\ube61\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\ub824\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uacb0\ub410\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ud604\uc7ac \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \ub2e4\ub974\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc720\ub85c\uc2a4\ud0c0\ud2b8(Eurostat\u00b7EU \ud1b5\uacc4\uae30\uad00)\uc758 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 \u2018\uc18d\ubcf4\uce58(\ud50c\ub798\uc2dc \ucd94\uc815\uce58\u00b7\ucd5c\uc885\uce58 \uc804 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc758 \ube60\ub978 \uc608\ube44 \ud1b5\uacc4)\u2019\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 2.4%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098, \uc5f0\ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub358 2.7%\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ubc11\ub3c4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \u2018\uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \ud558\ud68c(\uc2dc\uc7a5\u00b7\uc804\ubb38\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uac8c \ub098\uc628 \ud604\uc0c1)\u2019\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uad00\uc2ec\uc0ac\uac00 \ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba74 ECB\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub824 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\ub294 \uc870\uce58)\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc904\uace0, \uc62c\ud574 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub824 \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \ubd80\uc591\ud558\ub294 \uc870\uce58) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ub2eb\ud788\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \u2018\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub798 \uac08 \uac83\u2019\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\ud22c\uc790 \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubcf4\uc720 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651(\uc774\uc790\uc728\uc2a4\uc651\u00b7\uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc11c\ub85c \uad50\ud658\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488)\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\ucde8(receive fixed\u00b7\uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294 \ucabd\uc5d0 \uc11c\ub294 \uac70\ub798)\u2019 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucde8\ud574, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac(\uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc624\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud55c\ud3b8 2025\ub144\uc5d0 \uc5b8\uae09\ub418\ub358 1.1710 \uc218\uc900\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud558\uba74 \ud658\uc728 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc14\ub00c\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \ubd10\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac EUR\/USD\ub294 1.0850 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uacfc\uac70 \uae30\ub300\ud588\ub358 \uace0\uc810\ub300\ub85c \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 1.0800 \uc544\ub798\ub85c\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c, \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ub9c9\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ubc29\uc5b4(\ud5e4\uc9c0\u00b7\uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uac70\ub798)\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc131\uc7a5 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc791\ub144\uc758 \ube44\uad00\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd(1.0% \uc131\uc7a5)\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub2e4\uc18c \ub098\uc740 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uc804\uae30 \ub300\ube44 0.4%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc131\uc7a5\ud574 \uae30\ub300\uce58\ub97c \uc57d\uac04 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294\ub370 \uc131\uc7a5\uc740 \ubb34\ub108\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 \ud574\uc11d\uc774 \uc5c7\uac08\ub824 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubb3c\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \uc131\uc7a5 \uc548\uc815\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uae34\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \ud3ed)\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc720\ub85c\uc2a4\ud1a1\uc2a450(Euro Stoxx 50\u00b7\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ub300\ud45c 50\uac1c \ub300\ud615\uc8fc\uc758 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \ub9e4\uc218(\ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub85c \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc11c, \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\uac70\ub098 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\ub3c4 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \ucde8\ud558\uba74, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub0b4 \ud604\uc7ac \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uac07\ud78c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)\uc744 \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \ub54c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ECB \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\uc120 2026\ub144 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808 2.7%\uc9c0\ub9cc, 4\uc6d4 \uc18d\ubcf4\uce58 2.4%\ub85c \u2018\ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\u2019 \uac00\uc18d. \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uc555\ub825 \uc644\ud654\u00b7\ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300, \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46093","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"ECB \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\uc120 2026\ub144 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808 2.7%\uc9c0\ub9cc, 4\uc6d4 \uc18d\ubcf4\uce58 2.4%\ub85c \u2018\ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\u2019 \uac00\uc18d. \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1 \uc555\ub825 \uc644\ud654\u00b7\ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300, \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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